- 统一使用配置模型属性访问替代字典下标 - 完善百分比模式买卖的日志记录和错误处理 - 代码格式化和死代码清理 - 更新 notebook 数据及测试脚本
2517 lines
180 KiB
Plaintext
2517 lines
180 KiB
Plaintext
{
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"cells": [
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 1,
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"id": "79a7758178bafdd3",
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"metadata": {
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"ExecuteTime": {
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"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:46:06.987506Z",
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"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:46:06.259551Z"
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},
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"jupyter": {
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"source_hidden": true
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}
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},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock\n"
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]
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"%load_ext autoreload\n",
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"%autoreload 2\n",
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"# %load_ext cudf.pandas\n",
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"\n",
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"import gc\n",
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"import os\n",
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"import sys\n",
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"sys.path.append('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/')\n",
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"print(os.getcwd())\n",
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"import pandas as pd\n",
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"from main.factor.factor import get_rolling_factor, get_simple_factor\n",
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"from main.utils.factor import read_industry_data\n",
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"from main.utils.factor_processor import calculate_score\n",
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"from main.utils.utils import read_and_merge_h5_data, merge_with_industry_data\n",
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"\n",
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"import warnings\n",
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"\n",
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"warnings.filterwarnings(\"ignore\")\n"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 2,
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"id": "4a481c60",
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"# 设置使用核心\n",
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"import os\n",
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"os.environ[\"MODIN_CPUS\"] = \"4\"\n"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 3,
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||
"id": "a79cafb06a7e0e43",
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||
"metadata": {
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||
"ExecuteTime": {
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||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:00.212859Z",
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||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:46:06.998047Z"
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||
},
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"scrolled": true
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||
},
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||
"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"daily data\n",
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"daily basic\n",
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"inner merge on ['ts_code', 'trade_date']\n",
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"stk limit\n",
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"left merge on ['ts_code', 'trade_date']\n",
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"money flow\n",
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"left merge on ['ts_code', 'trade_date']\n",
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"cyq perf\n",
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"left merge on ['ts_code', 'trade_date']\n",
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"<class 'pandas.core.frame.DataFrame'>\n",
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"RangeIndex: 9267817 entries, 0 to 9267816\n",
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"Data columns (total 33 columns):\n",
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" # Column Dtype \n",
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"--- ------ ----- \n",
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" 0 ts_code object \n",
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" 1 trade_date datetime64[ns]\n",
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" 2 open float64 \n",
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" 3 close float64 \n",
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" 4 high float64 \n",
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" 5 low float64 \n",
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" 6 vol float64 \n",
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" 7 amount float64 \n",
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" 8 pct_chg float64 \n",
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" 9 turnover_rate float64 \n",
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" 10 pe_ttm float64 \n",
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" 11 circ_mv float64 \n",
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" 12 total_mv float64 \n",
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" 13 volume_ratio float64 \n",
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" 14 is_st bool \n",
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" 15 up_limit float64 \n",
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" 16 down_limit float64 \n",
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" 17 buy_sm_vol float64 \n",
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" 18 sell_sm_vol float64 \n",
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" 19 buy_lg_vol float64 \n",
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" 20 sell_lg_vol float64 \n",
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" 21 buy_elg_vol float64 \n",
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" 22 sell_elg_vol float64 \n",
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" 23 net_mf_vol float64 \n",
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" 24 his_low float64 \n",
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" 25 his_high float64 \n",
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" 26 cost_5pct float64 \n",
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" 27 cost_15pct float64 \n",
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" 28 cost_50pct float64 \n",
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" 29 cost_85pct float64 \n",
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" 30 cost_95pct float64 \n",
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" 31 weight_avg float64 \n",
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" 32 winner_rate float64 \n",
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"dtypes: bool(1), datetime64[ns](1), float64(30), object(1)\n",
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"memory usage: 2.2+ GB\n",
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"None\n"
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]
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}
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||
],
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"source": [
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"from main.utils.utils import read_and_merge_h5_data\n",
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"\n",
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"print('daily data')\n",
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"df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/daily_data.h5', key='daily_data',\n",
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" columns=['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'open', 'close', 'high', 'low', 'vol', 'amount', 'pct_chg'],\n",
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" df=None)\n",
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"\n",
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"print('daily basic')\n",
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"df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/daily_basic.h5', key='daily_basic',\n",
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" columns=['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'turnover_rate', 'pe_ttm', 'circ_mv', 'total_mv', 'volume_ratio',\n",
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" 'is_st'], df=df, join='inner')\n",
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"\n",
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"print('stk limit')\n",
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"df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/stk_limit.h5', key='stk_limit',\n",
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" columns=['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'pre_close', 'up_limit', 'down_limit'],\n",
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" df=df)\n",
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"print('money flow')\n",
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"df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/money_flow.h5', key='money_flow',\n",
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" columns=['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'buy_sm_vol', 'sell_sm_vol', 'buy_lg_vol', 'sell_lg_vol',\n",
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" 'buy_elg_vol', 'sell_elg_vol', 'net_mf_vol'],\n",
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" df=df)\n",
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"print('cyq perf')\n",
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"df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/cyq_perf.h5', key='cyq_perf',\n",
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" columns=['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'his_low', 'his_high', 'cost_5pct', 'cost_15pct',\n",
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" 'cost_50pct',\n",
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" 'cost_85pct', 'cost_95pct', 'weight_avg', 'winner_rate'],\n",
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" df=df)\n",
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"print(df.info())"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 4,
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||
"id": "cac01788dac10678",
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||
"metadata": {
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||
"ExecuteTime": {
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||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:10.527104Z",
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||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:00.488715Z"
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||
}
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||
},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"industry\n"
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]
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"print('industry')\n",
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"industry_df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/industry_data.h5', key='industry_data',\n",
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" columns=['ts_code', 'l2_code', 'in_date'],\n",
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" df=None, on=['ts_code'], join='left')\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"def merge_with_industry_data(df, industry_df):\n",
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" # 确保日期字段是 datetime 类型\n",
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" df['trade_date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['trade_date'])\n",
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" industry_df['in_date'] = pd.to_datetime(industry_df['in_date'])\n",
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"\n",
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" # 对 industry_df 按 ts_code 和 in_date 排序\n",
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" industry_df_sorted = industry_df.sort_values(['in_date', 'ts_code'])\n",
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"\n",
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" # 对原始 df 按 ts_code 和 trade_date 排序\n",
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" df_sorted = df.sort_values(['trade_date', 'ts_code'])\n",
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"\n",
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" # 使用 merge_asof 进行向后合并\n",
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" merged = pd.merge_asof(\n",
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" df_sorted,\n",
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" industry_df_sorted,\n",
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" by='ts_code', # 按 ts_code 分组\n",
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" left_on='trade_date',\n",
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" right_on='in_date',\n",
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" direction='backward'\n",
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" )\n",
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"\n",
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" # 获取每个 ts_code 的最早 in_date 记录\n",
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" min_in_date_per_ts = (industry_df_sorted\n",
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" .groupby('ts_code')\n",
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" .first()\n",
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" .reset_index()[['ts_code', 'l2_code']])\n",
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"\n",
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" # 填充未匹配到的记录(trade_date 早于所有 in_date 的情况)\n",
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" merged['l2_code'] = merged['l2_code'].fillna(\n",
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" merged['ts_code'].map(min_in_date_per_ts.set_index('ts_code')['l2_code'])\n",
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" )\n",
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"\n",
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" # 保留需要的列并重置索引\n",
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" result = merged.reset_index(drop=True)\n",
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" return result\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"# 使用示例\n",
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"df = merge_with_industry_data(df, industry_df)\n",
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"# print(mdf[mdf['ts_code'] == '600751.SH'][['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'l2_code']])"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 5,
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||
"id": "c4e9e1d31da6dba6",
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||
"metadata": {
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||
"ExecuteTime": {
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||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:10.719252Z",
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||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:10.541247Z"
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||
},
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||
"jupyter": {
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||
"source_hidden": true
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||
}
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||
},
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||
"outputs": [],
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||
"source": [
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||
"from main.factor.factor import *\n",
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"\n",
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"def calculate_indicators(df):\n",
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" \"\"\"\n",
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" 计算四个指标:当日涨跌幅、5日移动平均、RSI、MACD。\n",
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" \"\"\"\n",
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" df = df.sort_values('trade_date')\n",
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" df['daily_return'] = (df['close'] - df['pre_close']) / df['pre_close'] * 100\n",
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" # df['5_day_ma'] = df['close'].rolling(window=5).mean()\n",
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" delta = df['close'].diff()\n",
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" gain = delta.where(delta > 0, 0)\n",
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" loss = -delta.where(delta < 0, 0)\n",
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" avg_gain = gain.rolling(window=14).mean()\n",
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" avg_loss = loss.rolling(window=14).mean()\n",
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" rs = avg_gain / avg_loss\n",
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" df['RSI'] = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))\n",
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"\n",
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" # 计算MACD\n",
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" ema12 = df['close'].ewm(span=12, adjust=False).mean()\n",
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" ema26 = df['close'].ewm(span=26, adjust=False).mean()\n",
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" df['MACD'] = ema12 - ema26\n",
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" df['Signal_line'] = df['MACD'].ewm(span=9, adjust=False).mean()\n",
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" df['MACD_hist'] = df['MACD'] - df['Signal_line']\n",
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"\n",
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" # 4. 情绪因子1:市场上涨比例(Up Ratio)\n",
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" df['up_ratio'] = df['daily_return'].apply(lambda x: 1 if x > 0 else 0)\n",
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" df['up_ratio_20d'] = df['up_ratio'].rolling(window=20).mean() # 过去20天上涨比例\n",
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"\n",
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" # 5. 情绪因子2:成交量变化率(Volume Change Rate)\n",
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" df['volume_mean'] = df['vol'].rolling(window=20).mean() # 过去20天的平均成交量\n",
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" df['volume_change_rate'] = (df['vol'] - df['volume_mean']) / df['volume_mean'] * 100 # 成交量变化率\n",
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"\n",
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" # 6. 情绪因子3:波动率(Volatility)\n",
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" df['volatility'] = df['daily_return'].rolling(window=20).std() # 过去20天的日收益率标准差\n",
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"\n",
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" # 7. 情绪因子4:成交额变化率(Amount Change Rate)\n",
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" df['amount_mean'] = df['amount'].rolling(window=20).mean() # 过去20天的平均成交额\n",
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" df['amount_change_rate'] = (df['amount'] - df['amount_mean']) / df['amount_mean'] * 100 # 成交额变化率\n",
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"\n",
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" # df = sentiment_panic_greed_index(df)\n",
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" # df = sentiment_market_breadth_proxy(df)\n",
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" # df = sentiment_reversal_indicator(df)\n",
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"\n",
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" return df\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"def generate_index_indicators(h5_filename):\n",
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" df = pd.read_hdf(h5_filename, key='index_data')\n",
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" df['trade_date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['trade_date'], format='%Y%m%d')\n",
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" df = df.sort_values('trade_date')\n",
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"\n",
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" # 计算每个ts_code的相关指标\n",
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" df_indicators = []\n",
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" for ts_code in df['ts_code'].unique():\n",
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" df_index = df[df['ts_code'] == ts_code].copy()\n",
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" df_index = calculate_indicators(df_index)\n",
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" df_indicators.append(df_index)\n",
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"\n",
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" # 合并所有指数的结果\n",
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" df_all_indicators = pd.concat(df_indicators, ignore_index=True)\n",
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"\n",
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" # 保留trade_date列,并将同一天的数据按ts_code合并成一行\n",
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" df_final = df_all_indicators.pivot_table(\n",
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" index='trade_date',\n",
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" columns='ts_code',\n",
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" values=['daily_return', \n",
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" 'RSI', 'MACD', 'Signal_line', 'MACD_hist', \n",
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" # 'sentiment_panic_greed_index',\n",
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" 'up_ratio_20d', 'volume_change_rate', 'volatility',\n",
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" 'amount_change_rate', 'amount_mean'],\n",
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" aggfunc='last'\n",
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" )\n",
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"\n",
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" df_final.columns = [f\"{col[1]}_{col[0]}\" for col in df_final.columns]\n",
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" df_final = df_final.reset_index()\n",
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"\n",
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" return df_final\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"# 使用函数\n",
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"h5_filename = '/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/index_data.h5'\n",
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"index_data = generate_index_indicators(h5_filename)\n",
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"index_data = index_data.dropna()\n"
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||
]
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||
},
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||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
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||
"execution_count": 6,
|
||
"id": "a735bc02ceb4d872",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:10.821169Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:10.751831Z"
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||
}
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||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
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||
"source": [
|
||
"import talib\n",
|
||
"import numpy as np"
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||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 7,
|
||
"id": "53f86ddc0677a6d7",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:15.944254Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:10.826179Z"
|
||
},
|
||
"jupyter": {
|
||
"source_hidden": true
|
||
},
|
||
"scrolled": true
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"from main.utils.factor import get_act_factor\n",
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||
"\n",
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||
"\n",
|
||
"def read_industry_data(h5_filename):\n",
|
||
" # 读取 H5 文件中所有的行业数据\n",
|
||
" industry_data = pd.read_hdf(h5_filename, key='sw_daily', columns=[\n",
|
||
" 'ts_code', 'trade_date', 'open', 'close', 'high', 'low', 'pe', 'pb', 'vol'\n",
|
||
" ]) # 假设 H5 文件的键是 'industry_data'\n",
|
||
" industry_data = industry_data.sort_values(by=['ts_code', 'trade_date'])\n",
|
||
" industry_data = industry_data.reindex()\n",
|
||
" industry_data['trade_date'] = pd.to_datetime(industry_data['trade_date'], format='%Y%m%d')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" grouped = industry_data.groupby('ts_code', group_keys=False)\n",
|
||
" industry_data['obv'] = grouped.apply(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: pd.Series(talib.OBV(x['close'].values, x['vol'].values), index=x.index)\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
" industry_data['return_5'] = grouped['close'].apply(lambda x: x / x.shift(5) - 1)\n",
|
||
" industry_data['return_20'] = grouped['close'].apply(lambda x: x / x.shift(20) - 1)\n",
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||
"\n",
|
||
" industry_data = get_act_factor(industry_data, cat=False)\n",
|
||
" industry_data = industry_data.sort_values(by=['trade_date', 'ts_code'])\n",
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"\n",
|
||
" # # 计算每天每个 ts_code 的因子和当天所有 ts_code 的中位数的偏差\n",
|
||
" # factor_columns = ['obv', 'return_5', 'return_20', 'act_factor1', 'act_factor2', 'act_factor3', 'act_factor4'] # 因子列\n",
|
||
" # \n",
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||
" # for factor in factor_columns:\n",
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||
" # if factor in industry_data.columns:\n",
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||
" # # 计算每天每个 ts_code 的因子值与当天所有 ts_code 的中位数的偏差\n",
|
||
" # industry_data[f'{factor}_deviation'] = industry_data.groupby('trade_date')[factor].transform(\n",
|
||
" # lambda x: x - x.mean())\n",
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||
"\n",
|
||
" industry_data['return_5_percentile'] = industry_data.groupby('trade_date')['return_5'].transform(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: x.rank(pct=True))\n",
|
||
" industry_data['return_20_percentile'] = industry_data.groupby('trade_date')['return_20'].transform(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: x.rank(pct=True))\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # cs_rank_intraday_range(industry_data)\n",
|
||
" # cs_rank_close_pos_in_range(industry_data)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" industry_data = industry_data.drop(columns=['open', 'close', 'high', 'low', 'pe', 'pb', 'vol'])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" industry_data = industry_data.rename(\n",
|
||
" columns={col: f'industry_{col}' for col in industry_data.columns if col not in ['ts_code', 'trade_date']})\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" industry_data = industry_data.rename(columns={'ts_code': 'cat_l2_code'})\n",
|
||
" return industry_data\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"industry_df = read_industry_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/sw_daily.h5')\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 8,
|
||
"id": "dbe2fd8021b9417f",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:15.969344Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:15.963327Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"['ts_code', 'open', 'close', 'high', 'low', 'amount', 'circ_mv', 'total_mv', 'is_st', 'up_limit', 'down_limit', 'buy_sm_vol', 'sell_sm_vol', 'buy_lg_vol', 'sell_lg_vol', 'buy_elg_vol', 'sell_elg_vol', 'net_mf_vol', 'his_low', 'his_high', 'cost_5pct', 'cost_15pct', 'cost_50pct', 'cost_85pct', 'cost_95pct', 'weight_avg', 'in_date']\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"origin_columns = df.columns.tolist()\n",
|
||
"origin_columns = [col for col in origin_columns if\n",
|
||
" col not in ['turnover_rate', 'pe_ttm', 'volume_ratio', 'vol', 'pct_chg', 'l2_code', 'winner_rate']]\n",
|
||
"origin_columns = [col for col in origin_columns if col not in index_data.columns]\n",
|
||
"origin_columns = [col for col in origin_columns if 'cyq' not in col]\n",
|
||
"print(origin_columns)"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 9,
|
||
"id": "85c3e3d0235ffffa",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:16.089879Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:15.990101Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"fina_indicator_df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/fina_indicator.h5', key='fina_indicator',\n",
|
||
" columns=['ts_code', 'ann_date', 'undist_profit_ps', 'ocfps', 'bps', 'roa', 'roe'],\n",
|
||
" df=None)\n",
|
||
"cashflow_df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/cashflow.h5', key='cashflow',\n",
|
||
" columns=['ts_code', 'ann_date', 'n_cashflow_act'],\n",
|
||
" df=None)\n",
|
||
"balancesheet_df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/balancesheet.h5', key='balancesheet',\n",
|
||
" columns=['ts_code', 'ann_date', 'money_cap', 'total_liab'],\n",
|
||
" df=None)\n",
|
||
"top_list_df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/top_list.h5', key='top_list',\n",
|
||
" columns=['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'reason'],\n",
|
||
" df=None)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"top_list_df = top_list_df.sort_values(by='trade_date', ascending=False).drop_duplicates(subset=['ts_code', 'trade_date'], keep='first').sort_values(by='trade_date')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"stk_holdertrade_df = read_and_merge_h5_data('/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/data/stk_holdertrade.h5', key='stk_holdertrade',\n",
|
||
" columns=['ts_code', 'ann_date', 'in_de', 'change_ratio', 'after_ratio'],\n",
|
||
" df=None)"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 10,
|
||
"id": "92d84ce15a562ec6",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:01.612695Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T12:47:16.121802Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"警告: 从 financial_data_subset 中移除了 366 行,因为其 'ts_code' 或 'ann_date' 列存在空值。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"警告: 从 financial_data_subset 中移除了 366 行,因为其 'ts_code' 或 'ann_date' 列存在空值。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"警告: 从 financial_data_subset 中移除了 366 行,因为其 'ts_code' 或 'ann_date' 列存在空值。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"警告: 从 financial_data_subset 中移除了 366 行,因为其 'ts_code' 或 'ann_date' 列存在空值。\n",
|
||
"开始计算因子: AR, BR (原地修改)...\n",
|
||
"因子 AR, BR 计算成功。\n",
|
||
"因子 AR, BR 计算流程结束。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"使用 'ann_date' 作为财务数据生效日期。\n",
|
||
"警告: 从 financial_data_subset 中移除了 366 行,因为其 'ts_code' 或 'ann_date' 列存在空值。\n",
|
||
"计算 BBI...\n",
|
||
"--- 计算日级别偏离度 (使用 pct_chg) ---\n",
|
||
"--- 计算日级别动量基准 (使用 pct_chg) ---\n",
|
||
"日级别动量基准计算完成 (使用 pct_chg)。\n",
|
||
"日级别偏离度计算完成 (使用 pct_chg)。\n",
|
||
"--- 计算日级别行业偏离度 (使用 pct_chg 和行业基准) ---\n",
|
||
"--- 计算日级别行业动量基准 (使用 pct_chg 和 cat_l2_code) ---\n",
|
||
"错误: 计算日级别行业动量基准需要以下列: ['pct_chg', 'cat_l2_code', 'trade_date', 'ts_code']。\n",
|
||
"错误: 计算日级别行业偏离度需要以下列: ['pct_chg', 'daily_industry_positive_benchmark', 'daily_industry_negative_benchmark']。请先运行 daily_industry_momentum_benchmark(df)。\n",
|
||
"Index(['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'open', 'close', 'high', 'low', 'vol',\n",
|
||
" 'amount', 'pct_chg', 'turnover_rate', 'pe_ttm', 'circ_mv', 'total_mv',\n",
|
||
" 'volume_ratio', 'is_st', 'up_limit', 'down_limit', 'buy_sm_vol',\n",
|
||
" 'sell_sm_vol', 'buy_lg_vol', 'sell_lg_vol', 'buy_elg_vol',\n",
|
||
" 'sell_elg_vol', 'net_mf_vol', 'his_low', 'his_high', 'cost_5pct',\n",
|
||
" 'cost_15pct', 'cost_50pct', 'cost_85pct', 'cost_95pct', 'weight_avg',\n",
|
||
" 'winner_rate', 'l2_code', 'undist_profit_ps', 'ocfps', 'roa', 'roe',\n",
|
||
" 'AR', 'BR', 'AR_BR', 'log_circ_mv', 'cashflow_to_ev_factor',\n",
|
||
" 'book_to_price_ratio', 'turnover_rate_mean_5', 'variance_20',\n",
|
||
" 'bbi_ratio_factor', 'daily_deviation', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol',\n",
|
||
" 'flow_lg_elg_intensity', 'sm_net_buy_vol', 'flow_divergence_diff',\n",
|
||
" 'flow_divergence_ratio', 'total_buy_vol', 'lg_elg_buy_prop',\n",
|
||
" 'flow_struct_buy_change', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol_change',\n",
|
||
" 'flow_lg_elg_accel', 'chip_concentration_range', 'chip_skewness',\n",
|
||
" 'floating_chip_proxy', 'cost_support_15pct_change',\n",
|
||
" 'cat_winner_price_zone', 'flow_chip_consistency',\n",
|
||
" 'profit_taking_vs_absorb', '_is_positive', '_is_negative',\n",
|
||
" 'cat_is_positive', '_pos_returns', '_neg_returns', '_pos_returns_sq',\n",
|
||
" '_neg_returns_sq', 'upside_vol', 'downside_vol', 'vol_ratio',\n",
|
||
" 'return_skew', 'return_kurtosis', 'volume_change_rate',\n",
|
||
" 'cat_volume_breakout', 'turnover_deviation', 'cat_turnover_spike',\n",
|
||
" 'avg_volume_ratio', 'cat_volume_ratio_breakout', 'vol_spike',\n",
|
||
" 'vol_std_5', 'atr_14', 'atr_6', 'obv'],\n",
|
||
" dtype='object')\n",
|
||
"Calculating lg_flow_mom_corr_20_60...\n",
|
||
"Finished lg_flow_mom_corr_20_60.\n",
|
||
"Calculating lg_flow_accel...\n",
|
||
"Finished lg_flow_accel.\n",
|
||
"Calculating profit_pressure...\n",
|
||
"Finished profit_pressure.\n",
|
||
"Calculating underwater_resistance...\n",
|
||
"Finished underwater_resistance.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cost_conc_std_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished cost_conc_std_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating profit_decay_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished profit_decay_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating vol_amp_loss_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished vol_amp_loss_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating vol_drop_profit_cnt_5...\n",
|
||
"Finished vol_drop_profit_cnt_5.\n",
|
||
"Calculating lg_flow_vol_interact_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished lg_flow_vol_interact_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cost_break_confirm_cnt_5...\n",
|
||
"Finished cost_break_confirm_cnt_5.\n",
|
||
"Calculating atr_norm_channel_pos_14...\n",
|
||
"Finished atr_norm_channel_pos_14.\n",
|
||
"Calculating turnover_diff_skew_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished turnover_diff_skew_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating lg_sm_flow_diverge_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished lg_sm_flow_diverge_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating pullback_strong_20_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished pullback_strong_20_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating vol_wgt_hist_pos_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished vol_wgt_hist_pos_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating vol_adj_roc_20...\n",
|
||
"Finished vol_adj_roc_20.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_net_lg_flow_val...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_net_lg_flow_val.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_flow_divergence...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_flow_divergence.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_ind_adj_lg_flow...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_ind_adj_lg_flow.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_elg_buy_ratio...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_elg_buy_ratio.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_rel_profit_margin...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_rel_profit_margin.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_cost_breadth...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_cost_breadth.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_dist_to_upper_cost...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_dist_to_upper_cost.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_winner_rate...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_winner_rate.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_intraday_range...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_intraday_range.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_close_pos_in_range...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_close_pos_in_range.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_opening_gap...\n",
|
||
"Error calculating cs_rank_opening_gap: Missing 'pre_close' column. Assigning NaN.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_pos_in_hist_range...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_pos_in_hist_range.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_vol_x_profit_margin...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_vol_x_profit_margin.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_lg_flow_price_concordance...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_lg_flow_price_concordance.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_turnover_per_winner...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_turnover_per_winner.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_ind_cap_neutral_pe (Placeholder - requires statsmodels)...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_ind_cap_neutral_pe (Placeholder).\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_volume_ratio...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_volume_ratio.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_elg_buy_sell_sm_ratio...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_elg_buy_sell_sm_ratio.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_cost_dist_vol_ratio...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_cost_dist_vol_ratio.\n",
|
||
"Calculating cs_rank_size...\n",
|
||
"Finished cs_rank_size.\n",
|
||
"<class 'pandas.core.frame.DataFrame'>\n",
|
||
"RangeIndex: 4987750 entries, 0 to 4987749\n",
|
||
"Columns: 181 entries, ts_code to cs_rank_size\n",
|
||
"dtypes: bool(10), datetime64[ns](1), float64(165), int64(3), object(2)\n",
|
||
"memory usage: 6.4+ GB\n",
|
||
"None\n",
|
||
"['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'open', 'close', 'high', 'low', 'vol', 'amount', 'pct_chg', 'turnover_rate', 'pe_ttm', 'circ_mv', 'total_mv', 'volume_ratio', 'is_st', 'up_limit', 'down_limit', 'buy_sm_vol', 'sell_sm_vol', 'buy_lg_vol', 'sell_lg_vol', 'buy_elg_vol', 'sell_elg_vol', 'net_mf_vol', 'his_low', 'his_high', 'cost_5pct', 'cost_15pct', 'cost_50pct', 'cost_85pct', 'cost_95pct', 'weight_avg', 'winner_rate', 'cat_l2_code', 'undist_profit_ps', 'ocfps', 'roa', 'roe', 'AR', 'BR', 'AR_BR', 'log_circ_mv', 'cashflow_to_ev_factor', 'book_to_price_ratio', 'turnover_rate_mean_5', 'variance_20', 'bbi_ratio_factor', 'daily_deviation', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol', 'flow_lg_elg_intensity', 'sm_net_buy_vol', 'flow_divergence_diff', 'flow_divergence_ratio', 'total_buy_vol', 'lg_elg_buy_prop', 'flow_struct_buy_change', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol_change', 'flow_lg_elg_accel', 'chip_concentration_range', 'chip_skewness', 'floating_chip_proxy', 'cost_support_15pct_change', 'cat_winner_price_zone', 'flow_chip_consistency', 'profit_taking_vs_absorb', 'cat_is_positive', 'upside_vol', 'downside_vol', 'vol_ratio', 'return_skew', 'return_kurtosis', 'volume_change_rate', 'cat_volume_breakout', 'turnover_deviation', 'cat_turnover_spike', 'avg_volume_ratio', 'cat_volume_ratio_breakout', 'vol_spike', 'vol_std_5', 'atr_14', 'atr_6', 'obv', 'maobv_6', 'rsi_3', 'return_5', 'return_20', 'std_return_5', 'std_return_90', 'std_return_90_2', 'act_factor1', 'act_factor2', 'act_factor3', 'act_factor4', 'rank_act_factor1', 'rank_act_factor2', 'rank_act_factor3', 'cov', 'delta_cov', 'alpha_22_improved', 'alpha_003', 'alpha_007', 'alpha_013', 'vol_break', 'weight_roc5', 'price_cost_divergence', 'smallcap_concentration', 'cost_stability', 'high_cost_break_days', 'liquidity_risk', 'turnover_std', 'mv_volatility', 'volume_growth', 'mv_growth', 'momentum_factor', 'resonance_factor', 'log_close', 'cat_vol_spike', 'up', 'down', 'obv_maobv_6', 'std_return_5_over_std_return_90', 'std_return_90_minus_std_return_90_2', 'cat_af2', 'cat_af3', 'cat_af4', 'act_factor5', 'act_factor6', 'active_buy_volume_large', 'active_buy_volume_big', 'active_buy_volume_small', 'buy_lg_vol_minus_sell_lg_vol', 'buy_elg_vol_minus_sell_elg_vol', 'ctrl_strength', 'low_cost_dev', 'asymmetry', 'lock_factor', 'cat_vol_break', 'cost_atr_adj', 'cat_golden_resonance', 'mv_turnover_ratio', 'mv_adjusted_volume', 'mv_weighted_turnover', 'nonlinear_mv_volume', 'mv_volume_ratio', 'mv_momentum', 'lg_flow_mom_corr_20_60', 'lg_flow_accel', 'profit_pressure', 'underwater_resistance', 'cost_conc_std_20', 'profit_decay_20', 'vol_amp_loss_20', 'vol_drop_profit_cnt_5', 'lg_flow_vol_interact_20', 'cost_break_confirm_cnt_5', 'atr_norm_channel_pos_14', 'turnover_diff_skew_20', 'lg_sm_flow_diverge_20', 'pullback_strong_20_20', 'vol_wgt_hist_pos_20', 'vol_adj_roc_20', 'cs_rank_net_lg_flow_val', 'cs_rank_flow_divergence', 'cs_rank_ind_adj_lg_flow', 'cs_rank_elg_buy_ratio', 'cs_rank_rel_profit_margin', 'cs_rank_cost_breadth', 'cs_rank_dist_to_upper_cost', 'cs_rank_winner_rate', 'cs_rank_intraday_range', 'cs_rank_close_pos_in_range', 'cs_rank_opening_gap', 'cs_rank_pos_in_hist_range', 'cs_rank_vol_x_profit_margin', 'cs_rank_lg_flow_price_concordance', 'cs_rank_turnover_per_winner', 'cs_rank_ind_cap_neutral_pe', 'cs_rank_volume_ratio', 'cs_rank_elg_buy_sell_sm_ratio', 'cs_rank_cost_dist_vol_ratio', 'cs_rank_size']\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"import numpy as np\n",
|
||
"from main.factor.factor import *\n",
|
||
"from main.factor.money_factor import *\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def filter_data(df):\n",
|
||
" # df = df.groupby('trade_date').apply(lambda x: x.nlargest(1000, 'act_factor1'))\n",
|
||
" # df = df[df['trade_date'] <= '2025-06-01']\n",
|
||
" df = df[~df['is_st']]\n",
|
||
" df = df[~df['ts_code'].str.endswith('BJ')]\n",
|
||
" df = df[~df['ts_code'].str.startswith('30')]\n",
|
||
" df = df[~df['ts_code'].str.startswith('68')]\n",
|
||
" df = df[~df['ts_code'].str.startswith('8')]\n",
|
||
" df = df[df['trade_date'] >= '2019-01-01']\n",
|
||
" if 'in_date' in df.columns:\n",
|
||
" df = df.drop(columns=['in_date'])\n",
|
||
" df = df.reset_index(drop=True)\n",
|
||
" return df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"gc.collect()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"df = filter_data(df)\n",
|
||
"df = df.sort_values(by=['ts_code', 'trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# df = price_minus_deduction_price(df, n=120)\n",
|
||
"# df = price_deduction_price_diff_ratio_to_sma(df, n=120)\n",
|
||
"# df = cat_price_vs_sma_vs_deduction_price(df, n=120)\n",
|
||
"# df = cat_reason(df, top_list_df)\n",
|
||
"# df = cat_is_on_top_list(df, top_list_df)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# df = ts_turnover_rate_acceleration_5_20(df)\n",
|
||
"# df = ts_vol_sustain_10_30(df)\n",
|
||
"# df = cs_turnover_rate_relative_strength_20(df)\n",
|
||
"# df = cs_amount_outlier_10(df)\n",
|
||
"# df = holder_trade_factors(stk_holdertrade_df, df)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"df = add_financial_factor(df, fina_indicator_df, factor_value_col='undist_profit_ps')\n",
|
||
"df = add_financial_factor(df, fina_indicator_df, factor_value_col='ocfps')\n",
|
||
"df = add_financial_factor(df, fina_indicator_df, factor_value_col='roa')\n",
|
||
"df = add_financial_factor(df, fina_indicator_df, factor_value_col='roe')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"calculate_arbr(df, N=26)\n",
|
||
"df['log_circ_mv'] = np.log(df['circ_mv'])\n",
|
||
"df = calculate_cashflow_to_ev_factor(df, cashflow_df, balancesheet_df)\n",
|
||
"df = caculate_book_to_price_ratio(df, fina_indicator_df)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"df = turnover_rate_n(df, n=5)\n",
|
||
"df = variance_n(df, n=20)\n",
|
||
"df = bbi_ratio_factor(df)\n",
|
||
"df = daily_deviation(df)\n",
|
||
"df = daily_industry_deviation(df)\n",
|
||
"df, _ = get_rolling_factor(df)\n",
|
||
"df, _ = get_simple_factor(df)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"df = df.rename(columns={'l1_code': 'cat_l1_code'})\n",
|
||
"df = df.rename(columns={'l2_code': 'cat_l2_code'})\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"lg_flow_mom_corr(df, N=20, M=60)\n",
|
||
"lg_flow_accel(df)\n",
|
||
"profit_pressure(df)\n",
|
||
"underwater_resistance(df)\n",
|
||
"cost_conc_std(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"profit_decay(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"vol_amp_loss(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"vol_drop_profit_cnt(df, N=20, M=5)\n",
|
||
"lg_flow_vol_interact(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"cost_break_confirm_cnt(df, M=5)\n",
|
||
"atr_norm_channel_pos(df, N=14)\n",
|
||
"turnover_diff_skew(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"lg_sm_flow_diverge(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"pullback_strong(df, N=20, M=20)\n",
|
||
"vol_wgt_hist_pos(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"vol_adj_roc(df, N=20)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_net_lg_flow_val(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_flow_divergence(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_industry_adj_lg_flow(df) # Needs cat_l2_code\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_elg_buy_ratio(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_rel_profit_margin(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_cost_breadth(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_dist_to_upper_cost(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_winner_rate(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_intraday_range(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_close_pos_in_range(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_opening_gap(df) # Needs pre_close\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_pos_in_hist_range(df) # Needs his_low, his_high\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_vol_x_profit_margin(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_lg_flow_price_concordance(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_turnover_per_winner(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_ind_cap_neutral_pe(df) # Placeholder - needs external libraries\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_volume_ratio(df) # Needs volume_ratio\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_elg_buy_sell_sm_ratio(df)\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_cost_dist_vol_ratio(df) # Needs volume_ratio\n",
|
||
"cs_rank_size(df) # Needs circ_mv\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# df = df.merge(index_data, on='trade_date', how='left')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"print(df.info())\n",
|
||
"print(df.columns.tolist())"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 11,
|
||
"id": "b87b938028afa206",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:03.658725Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:02.469611Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"from scipy.stats import ks_2samp, wasserstein_distance\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def remove_shifted_features(train_data, test_data, feature_columns, ks_threshold=0.05, wasserstein_threshold=0.1,\n",
|
||
" importance_threshold=0.05):\n",
|
||
" dropped_features = []\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # **统计数据漂移**\n",
|
||
" numeric_columns = train_data.select_dtypes(include=['float64', 'int64']).columns\n",
|
||
" numeric_columns = [col for col in numeric_columns if col in feature_columns]\n",
|
||
" for feature in numeric_columns:\n",
|
||
" ks_stat, p_value = ks_2samp(train_data[feature], test_data[feature])\n",
|
||
" wasserstein_dist = wasserstein_distance(train_data[feature], test_data[feature])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if p_value < ks_threshold or wasserstein_dist > wasserstein_threshold:\n",
|
||
" dropped_features.append(feature)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(f\"检测到 {len(dropped_features)} 个可能漂移的特征: {dropped_features}\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # **应用阈值进行最终筛选**\n",
|
||
" filtered_features = [f for f in feature_columns if f not in dropped_features]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return filtered_features, dropped_features\n",
|
||
"\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 12,
|
||
"id": "f4f16d63ad18d1bc",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:03.670700Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:03.665739Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"import numpy as np\n",
|
||
"import statsmodels.api as sm # 用于中性化回归\n",
|
||
"from tqdm import tqdm # 可选,用于显示进度条\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# --- 常量 ---\n",
|
||
"epsilon = 1e-10 # 防止除零\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# --- 1. 中位数去极值 (MAD) ---\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def cs_mad_filter(df: pd.DataFrame,\n",
|
||
" features: list,\n",
|
||
" k: float = 3.0,\n",
|
||
" scale_factor: float = 1.4826):\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 对指定特征列进行截面 MAD 去极值处理 (原地修改)。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" 方法: 对每日截面数据,计算 median 和 MAD,\n",
|
||
" 将超出 [median - k * scale * MAD, median + k * scale * MAD] 范围的值\n",
|
||
" 替换为边界值 (Winsorization)。\n",
|
||
" scale_factor=1.4826 使得 MAD 约等于正态分布的标准差。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df (pd.DataFrame): 输入 DataFrame,需包含 'trade_date' 和 features 列。\n",
|
||
" features (list): 需要处理的特征列名列表。\n",
|
||
" k (float): MAD 的倍数,用于确定边界。默认为 3.0。\n",
|
||
" scale_factor (float): MAD 的缩放因子。默认为 1.4826。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" WARNING: 此函数会原地修改输入的 DataFrame 'df'。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" print(f\"开始截面 MAD 去极值处理 (k={k})...\")\n",
|
||
" if not all(col in df.columns for col in features):\n",
|
||
" missing = [col for col in features if col not in df.columns]\n",
|
||
" print(f\"错误: DataFrame 中缺少以下特征列: {missing}。跳过去极值处理。\")\n",
|
||
" return\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" grouped = df.groupby('trade_date')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for col in tqdm(features, desc=\"MAD Filtering\"):\n",
|
||
" try:\n",
|
||
" # 计算截面中位数\n",
|
||
" median = grouped[col].transform('median')\n",
|
||
" # 计算截面 MAD (Median Absolute Deviation from Median)\n",
|
||
" mad = (df[col] - median).abs().groupby(df['trade_date']).transform('median')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算上下边界\n",
|
||
" lower_bound = median - k * scale_factor * mad\n",
|
||
" upper_bound = median + k * scale_factor * mad\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 原地应用 clip\n",
|
||
" df[col] = np.clip(df[col], lower_bound, upper_bound)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" except KeyError:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 列 '{col}' 可能不存在或在分组中出错,跳过此列的 MAD 处理。\")\n",
|
||
" except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 处理列 '{col}' 时发生错误: {e},跳过此列的 MAD 处理。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(\"截面 MAD 去极值处理完成。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# --- 2. 行业市值中性化 ---\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"from tqdm import tqdm\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def cs_neutralize_market_cap_numpy(df: pd.DataFrame,\n",
|
||
" features: list,\n",
|
||
" market_cap_col: str = 'circ_mv'):\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 对 DataFrame 中的指定特征进行截面市值中性化 (NumPy 优化)。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df (pd.DataFrame): 包含数据的 DataFrame,需要有 'trade_date' 和 market_cap_col 列。\n",
|
||
" features (list): 需要进行市值中性化的特征列名列表。\n",
|
||
" market_cap_col (str): 包含市值数据的列名,默认为 'circ_mv'。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" print(\"开始截面市值中性化 (NumPy 优化)...\")\n",
|
||
" required_cols = features + ['trade_date', market_cap_col]\n",
|
||
" if not all(col in df.columns for col in required_cols):\n",
|
||
" missing = [col for col in required_cols if col not in df.columns]\n",
|
||
" print(f\"错误: DataFrame 中缺少必需列: {missing}。无法进行中性化。\")\n",
|
||
" return\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" df_copy = df\n",
|
||
" log_cap_col = '_log_market_cap'\n",
|
||
" df_copy[log_cap_col] = np.log1p(df_copy[market_cap_col])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 创建一个 DataFrame 来存储所有日期的残差结果\n",
|
||
" residuals_container = pd.DataFrame(index=df_copy.index, columns=features, dtype=float)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for date, group_df in tqdm(df_copy.groupby('trade_date'), desc=\"Neutralizing by Date (NumPy)\"):\n",
|
||
" # 准备 X 矩阵 (自变量):常数项和对数市值\n",
|
||
" X_daily = np.concatenate([np.ones((len(group_df), 1)), group_df[[log_cap_col]].values], axis=1)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for feature_col in features:\n",
|
||
" Y_daily = group_df[feature_col].values\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 处理 NaN:只对有效数据对进行回归\n",
|
||
" valid_mask_y = ~np.isnan(Y_daily)\n",
|
||
" valid_mask_x = ~np.isnan(X_daily).any(axis=1)\n",
|
||
" valid_mask = valid_mask_y & valid_mask_x\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" current_feature_indices = group_df.index[valid_mask]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if np.sum(valid_mask) < X_daily.shape[1] + 1:\n",
|
||
" # 有效数据不足,此特征在此日期保持 NaN\n",
|
||
" continue\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Y_valid = Y_daily[valid_mask]\n",
|
||
" X_valid = X_daily[valid_mask, :]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" try:\n",
|
||
" # 使用 np.linalg.lstsq 进行 OLS 计算\n",
|
||
" beta, sum_sq_resid, rank, s = np.linalg.lstsq(X_valid, Y_valid, rcond=None)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算预测值 Y_hat = X_valid @ beta\n",
|
||
" Y_hat_valid = X_valid @ beta\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算残差 residuals = Y_valid - Y_hat_valid\n",
|
||
" residuals_valid = Y_valid - Y_hat_valid\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 将计算得到的残差放回 residuals_container\n",
|
||
" residuals_container.loc[current_feature_indices, feature_col] = residuals_valid\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" except np.linalg.LinAlgError:\n",
|
||
" pass\n",
|
||
" except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" pass\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 将所有计算得到的残差更新回原始的 df (原地修改)\n",
|
||
" for feature_col in features:\n",
|
||
" df[feature_col] = residuals_container[feature_col]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 清理临时列\n",
|
||
" df.drop(columns=[log_cap_col], inplace=True, errors='ignore')\n",
|
||
" print(\"截面市值中性化完成 (NumPy 优化)。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# --- 3. Z-Score 标准化 ---\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def cs_zscore_standardize(df: pd.DataFrame, features: list, epsilon: float = 1e-10):\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 对指定特征列进行截面 Z-Score 标准化 (原地修改)。\n",
|
||
" 方法: Z = (value - cross_sectional_mean) / (cross_sectional_std + epsilon)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df (pd.DataFrame): 输入 DataFrame,需包含 'trade_date' 和 features 列。\n",
|
||
" features (list): 需要处理的特征列名列表。\n",
|
||
" epsilon (float): 防止除以零的小常数。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" WARNING: 此函数会原地修改输入的 DataFrame 'df'。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" print(\"开始截面 Z-Score 标准化...\")\n",
|
||
" if not all(col in df.columns for col in features):\n",
|
||
" missing = [col for col in features if col not in df.columns]\n",
|
||
" print(f\"错误: DataFrame 中缺少以下特征列: {missing}。跳过标准化处理。\")\n",
|
||
" return\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" grouped = df.groupby('trade_date')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for col in tqdm(features, desc=\"Standardizing\"):\n",
|
||
" try:\n",
|
||
" # 使用 transform 计算截面均值和标准差\n",
|
||
" mean = grouped[col].transform('mean')\n",
|
||
" std = grouped[col].transform('std')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算 Z-Score 并原地赋值\n",
|
||
" df[col] = (df[col] - mean) / (std + epsilon)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" except KeyError:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 列 '{col}' 可能不存在或在分组中出错,跳过此列的标准化处理。\")\n",
|
||
" except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 处理列 '{col}' 时发生错误: {e},跳过此列的标准化处理。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(\"截面 Z-Score 标准化完成。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def fill_nan_with_daily_median(df: pd.DataFrame, feature_columns: list[str]) -> pd.DataFrame:\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 对指定特征列进行每日截面中位数填充缺失值 (NaN)。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" 参数:\n",
|
||
" df (pd.DataFrame): 包含多日数据的DataFrame,需要包含 'trade_date' 和 feature_columns 中的列。\n",
|
||
" feature_columns (list[str]): 需要进行缺失值填充的特征列名称列表。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" 返回:\n",
|
||
" pd.DataFrame: 包含缺失值填充后特征列的DataFrame。在输入DataFrame的副本上操作。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" processed_df = df.copy() # 在副本上操作,保留原始数据\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 确保 trade_date 是 datetime 类型以便正确分组\n",
|
||
" processed_df['trade_date'] = pd.to_datetime(processed_df['trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" def _fill_daily_nan(group):\n",
|
||
" # group 是某一个交易日的 DataFrame\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 遍历指定的特征列\n",
|
||
" for feature_col in feature_columns:\n",
|
||
" # 检查列是否存在于当前分组中\n",
|
||
" if feature_col in group.columns:\n",
|
||
" # 计算当日该特征的中位数\n",
|
||
" median_val = group[feature_col].median()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 使用当日中位数填充该特征列的 NaN 值\n",
|
||
" # inplace=True 会直接修改 group DataFrame\n",
|
||
" group[feature_col].fillna(median_val, inplace=True)\n",
|
||
" # else:\n",
|
||
" # print(f\"Warning: Feature column '{feature_col}' not found in daily group for {group['trade_date'].iloc[0]}. Skipping.\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return group\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 按交易日期分组,并应用每日填充函数\n",
|
||
" # group_keys=False 避免将分组键添加到结果索引中\n",
|
||
" filled_df = processed_df.groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False).apply(_fill_daily_nan)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return filled_df"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 13,
|
||
"id": "40e6b68a91b30c79",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:04.694262Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T13:08:03.694904Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"def remove_outliers_label_percentile(label: pd.Series, lower_percentile: float = 0.01, upper_percentile: float = 0.99,\n",
|
||
" log=True):\n",
|
||
" if not (0 <= lower_percentile < upper_percentile <= 1):\n",
|
||
" raise ValueError(\"Percentile values must satisfy 0 <= lower_percentile < upper_percentile <= 1.\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # Calculate lower and upper bounds based on percentiles\n",
|
||
" lower_bound = label.quantile(lower_percentile)\n",
|
||
" upper_bound = label.quantile(upper_percentile)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # Filter out values outside the bounds\n",
|
||
" filtered_label = label[(label >= lower_bound) & (label <= upper_bound)]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # Print the number of removed outliers\n",
|
||
" if log:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"Removed {len(label) - len(filtered_label)} outliers.\")\n",
|
||
" return filtered_label\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def calculate_risk_adjusted_target(df, days=5):\n",
|
||
" df = df.sort_values(by=['ts_code', 'trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" df['future_close'] = df.groupby('ts_code')['close'].shift(-days)\n",
|
||
" df['future_open'] = df.groupby('ts_code')['open'].shift(-1)\n",
|
||
" df['future_return'] = (df['future_close'] - df['future_open']) / df['future_open']\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" df['future_volatility'] = df.groupby('ts_code')['future_return'].rolling(days, min_periods=1).std().reset_index(\n",
|
||
" level=0, drop=True)\n",
|
||
" sharpe_ratio = df['future_return'] * df['future_volatility']\n",
|
||
" sharpe_ratio.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan, inplace=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return sharpe_ratio\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def calculate_score(df, days=5, lambda_param=1.0):\n",
|
||
" def calculate_max_drawdown(prices):\n",
|
||
" peak = prices.iloc[0] # 初始化峰值\n",
|
||
" max_drawdown = 0 # 初始化最大回撤\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for price in prices:\n",
|
||
" if price > peak:\n",
|
||
" peak = price # 更新峰值\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" drawdown = (peak - price) / peak # 计算当前回撤\n",
|
||
" max_drawdown = max(max_drawdown, drawdown) # 更新最大回撤\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return max_drawdown\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" def compute_stock_score(stock_df):\n",
|
||
" stock_df = stock_df.sort_values(by=['trade_date'])\n",
|
||
" future_return = stock_df['future_return']\n",
|
||
" # 使用已有的 pct_chg 字段计算波动率\n",
|
||
" volatility = stock_df['pct_chg'].rolling(days).std().shift(-days)\n",
|
||
" max_drawdown = stock_df['close'].rolling(days).apply(calculate_max_drawdown, raw=False).shift(-days)\n",
|
||
" score = future_return - lambda_param * max_drawdown\n",
|
||
" return score\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # # 确保 DataFrame 按照股票代码和交易日期排序\n",
|
||
" # df = df.sort_values(by=['ts_code', 'trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 对每个股票分别计算 score\n",
|
||
" df['score'] = df.groupby('ts_code').apply(compute_stock_score).reset_index(level=0, drop=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return df['score']\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def remove_highly_correlated_features(df, feature_columns, threshold=0.9):\n",
|
||
" numeric_features = df[feature_columns].select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).columns.tolist()\n",
|
||
" if not numeric_features:\n",
|
||
" raise ValueError(\"No numeric features found in the provided data.\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" corr_matrix = df[numeric_features].corr().abs()\n",
|
||
" upper = corr_matrix.where(np.triu(np.ones(corr_matrix.shape), k=1).astype(bool))\n",
|
||
" to_drop = [column for column in upper.columns if any(upper[column] > threshold)]\n",
|
||
" remaining_features = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in to_drop\n",
|
||
" or 'act' in col or 'af' in col]\n",
|
||
" return remaining_features\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def cross_sectional_standardization(df, features):\n",
|
||
" df_sorted = df.sort_values(by='trade_date') # 按时间排序\n",
|
||
" df_standardized = df_sorted.copy()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for date in df_sorted['trade_date'].unique():\n",
|
||
" # 获取当前时间点的数据\n",
|
||
" current_data = df_standardized[df_standardized['trade_date'] == date]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 只对指定特征进行标准化\n",
|
||
" scaler = StandardScaler()\n",
|
||
" standardized_values = scaler.fit_transform(current_data[features])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 将标准化结果重新赋值回去\n",
|
||
" df_standardized.loc[df_standardized['trade_date'] == date, features] = standardized_values\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return df_standardized\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def neutralize_manual_revised(df: pd.DataFrame, features: list, industry_col: str, mkt_cap_col: str) -> pd.DataFrame:\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 手动实现简单回归以提升速度,通过构建 Series 确保索引对齐。\n",
|
||
" 对特征在行业内部进行市值中性化。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df: 输入的 DataFrame,包含特征、行业分类和市值列。\n",
|
||
" features: 需要进行中性化的特征列名列表。\n",
|
||
" industry_col: 行业分类列的列名。\n",
|
||
" mkt_cap_col: 市值列的列名。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Returns:\n",
|
||
" 中性化后的 DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" df[mkt_cap_col] = pd.to_numeric(df[mkt_cap_col], errors='coerce')\n",
|
||
" df_cleaned = df.dropna(subset=[mkt_cap_col]).copy()\n",
|
||
" df_cleaned = df_cleaned[df_cleaned[mkt_cap_col] > 0].copy()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if df_cleaned.empty:\n",
|
||
" print(\"警告: 清理市值异常值后 DataFrame 为空。\")\n",
|
||
" return df # 返回原始或空df,取决于清理前的状态\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" processed_df = df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" for col in features:\n",
|
||
" if col not in df_cleaned.columns:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 特征列 '{col}' 不存在于清理后的 DataFrame 中,已跳过。\")\n",
|
||
" # 对于原始 df 中该列不存在的,在结果 df 中也保持原样(可能全是NaN)\n",
|
||
" processed_df[col] = df[col] if col in df.columns else np.nan\n",
|
||
" continue\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 跳过对控制变量本身进行中性化\n",
|
||
" if col == mkt_cap_col or col == industry_col:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 特征列 '{col}' 是控制变量或内部使用的列,跳过中性化。\")\n",
|
||
" # 在结果 df 中也保持原样\n",
|
||
" processed_df[col] = df[col] if col in df.columns else np.nan\n",
|
||
" continue\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" residual_series = pd.Series(index=df_cleaned.index, dtype=float)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 在分组前处理特征列的 NaN,只对有因子值的行进行回归计算\n",
|
||
" df_subset_factor = df_cleaned.dropna(subset=[col]).copy()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if not df_subset_factor.empty:\n",
|
||
" for industry, group in df_subset_factor.groupby(industry_col):\n",
|
||
" x = group[mkt_cap_col] # 市值对数\n",
|
||
" y = group[col] # 因子值\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 确保有足够的数据点 (>1) 且市值对数有方差 (>0) 进行回归计算\n",
|
||
" # 检查 np.var > 一个很小的正数,避免浮点数误差导致的零方差判断问题\n",
|
||
" if len(group) > 1 and np.var(x) > 1e-9:\n",
|
||
" try:\n",
|
||
" beta = np.cov(y, x)[0, 1] / np.var(x)\n",
|
||
" alpha = np.mean(y) - beta * np.mean(x)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算残差\n",
|
||
" resid = y - (alpha + beta * x)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 将计算出的残差存储到 residual_series 中,通过索引自动对齐\n",
|
||
" residual_series.loc[resid.index] = resid\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" # 捕获可能的计算异常,例如np.cov或np.var因为极端数据报错\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 在行业 {industry} 计算回归时发生错误: {e}。该组残差将设为原始值或 NaN。\")\n",
|
||
" # 此时该组的残差会保持 residual_series 初始化时的 NaN 或后续处理\n",
|
||
" # 也可以选择保留原始值:residual_series.loc[group.index] = group[col]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" residual_series.loc[group.index] = group[col] # 保留原始因子值\n",
|
||
" processed_df.loc[residual_series.index, col] = residual_series\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" processed_df[col] = np.nan # 或 df[col] if col in df.columns else np.nan\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return processed_df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"import gc\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"gc.collect()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def mad_filter(df, features, n=3):\n",
|
||
" for col in features:\n",
|
||
" median = df[col].median()\n",
|
||
" mad = np.median(np.abs(df[col] - median))\n",
|
||
" upper = median + n * mad\n",
|
||
" lower = median - n * mad\n",
|
||
" df[col] = np.clip(df[col], lower, upper) # 截断极值\n",
|
||
" return df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def percentile_filter(df, features, lower_percentile=0.01, upper_percentile=0.99):\n",
|
||
" for col in features:\n",
|
||
" # 按日期分组计算上下百分位数\n",
|
||
" lower_bound = df.groupby('trade_date')[col].transform(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: x.quantile(lower_percentile)\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
" upper_bound = df.groupby('trade_date')[col].transform(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: x.quantile(upper_percentile)\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
" # 截断超出范围的值\n",
|
||
" df[col] = np.clip(df[col], lower_bound, upper_bound)\n",
|
||
" return df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"from scipy.stats import iqr\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def iqr_filter(df, features):\n",
|
||
" for col in features:\n",
|
||
" df[col] = df.groupby('trade_date')[col].transform(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: (x - x.median()) / iqr(x) if iqr(x) != 0 else x\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
" return df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def quantile_filter(df, features, lower_quantile=0.01, upper_quantile=0.99, window=60):\n",
|
||
" df = df.copy()\n",
|
||
" for col in features:\n",
|
||
" # 计算 rolling 统计量,需要按日期进行 groupby\n",
|
||
" rolling_lower = df.groupby('trade_date')[col].transform(lambda x: x.rolling(window=min(len(x), window)).quantile(lower_quantile))\n",
|
||
" rolling_upper = df.groupby('trade_date')[col].transform(lambda x: x.rolling(window=min(len(x), window)).quantile(upper_quantile))\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 对数据进行裁剪\n",
|
||
" df[col] = np.clip(df[col], rolling_lower, rolling_upper)\n",
|
||
" \n",
|
||
" return df\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def select_top_features_by_rankic(df: pd.DataFrame, feature_columns: list, n: int, target_column: str = 'future_return') -> list:\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 计算给定特征与目标列的 RankIC,并返回 RankIC 绝对值最高的 n 个特征。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df: 包含特征列和目标列的 Pandas DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" feature_columns: 包含所有待评估特征列名的列表。\n",
|
||
" n: 希望选取的 RankIC 绝对值最高的特征数量。\n",
|
||
" target_column: 目标列的名称,用于计算 RankIC。默认为 'future_return'。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Returns:\n",
|
||
" 包含 RankIC 绝对值最高的 n 个特征列名的列表。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" numeric_columns = df.select_dtypes(include=['float64', 'int64']).columns\n",
|
||
" numeric_columns = [col for col in numeric_columns if col in feature_columns]\n",
|
||
" if target_column not in df.columns:\n",
|
||
" raise ValueError(f\"目标列 '{target_column}' 不存在于 DataFrame 中。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" rankic_scores = {}\n",
|
||
" for feature in numeric_columns:\n",
|
||
" if feature not in df.columns:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 特征列 '{feature}' 不存在于 DataFrame 中,已跳过。\")\n",
|
||
" continue\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算特征与目标列的 RankIC (斯皮尔曼相关系数)\n",
|
||
" # dropna() 是为了处理缺失值,确保相关性计算不失败\n",
|
||
" valid_data = df[[feature, target_column]].dropna()\n",
|
||
" if len(valid_data) > 1: # 确保有足够的数据点进行相关性计算\n",
|
||
" # 计算斯皮尔曼相关性\n",
|
||
" correlation = valid_data[feature].corr(valid_data[target_column], method='spearman')\n",
|
||
" rankic_scores[feature] = abs(correlation) # 使用绝对值来衡量相关性强度\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" rankic_scores[feature] = 0 # 数据不足,RankIC设为0或跳过\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 将 RankIC 分数转换为 Series 便于排序\n",
|
||
" rankic_series = pd.Series(rankic_scores)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 按 RankIC 绝对值降序排序,选取前 n 个特征\n",
|
||
" # handle case where n might be larger than available features\n",
|
||
" n_actual = min(n, len(rankic_series))\n",
|
||
" top_features = rankic_series.sort_values(ascending=False).head(n_actual).index.tolist()\n",
|
||
" top_features = [col for col in feature_columns if col in top_features or col not in numeric_columns]\n",
|
||
" return top_features\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def create_deviation_within_dates(df, feature_columns):\n",
|
||
" groupby_col = 'cat_l2_code' # 使用 trade_date 进行分组\n",
|
||
" new_columns = {}\n",
|
||
" ret_feature_columns = feature_columns[:]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 自动选择所有数值型特征\n",
|
||
" num_features = [col for col in feature_columns if 'cat' not in col and 'index' not in col]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # num_features = ['vol', 'pct_chg', 'turnover_rate', 'volume_ratio', 'cat_vol_spike', 'obv', 'maobv_6', 'return_5', 'return_10', 'return_20', 'std_return_5', 'std_return_15', 'std_return_90', 'std_return_90_2', 'act_factor1', 'act_factor2', 'act_factor3', 'act_factor4', 'act_factor5', 'act_factor6', 'rank_act_factor1', 'rank_act_factor2', 'rank_act_factor3', 'active_buy_volume_large', 'active_buy_volume_big', 'active_buy_volume_small', 'alpha_022', 'alpha_003', 'alpha_007', 'alpha_013']\n",
|
||
" num_features = [col for col in num_features if 'cat' not in col and 'industry' not in col]\n",
|
||
" num_features = [col for col in num_features if 'limit' not in col]\n",
|
||
" num_features = [col for col in num_features if 'cyq' not in col]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 遍历所有数值型特征\n",
|
||
" for feature in num_features:\n",
|
||
" if feature == 'trade_date': # 不需要对 'trade_date' 计算偏差\n",
|
||
" continue\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # grouped_mean = df.groupby(['trade_date'])[feature].transform('mean')\n",
|
||
" # deviation_col_name = f'deviation_mean_{feature}'\n",
|
||
" # new_columns[deviation_col_name] = df[feature] - grouped_mean\n",
|
||
" # ret_feature_columns.append(deviation_col_name)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" grouped_mean = df.groupby(['trade_date', groupby_col])[feature].transform('mean')\n",
|
||
" deviation_col_name = f'deviation_mean_{feature}'\n",
|
||
" new_columns[deviation_col_name] = df[feature] - grouped_mean\n",
|
||
" ret_feature_columns.append(deviation_col_name)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 将新计算的偏差特征与原始 DataFrame 合并\n",
|
||
" df = pd.concat([df, pd.DataFrame(new_columns)], axis=1)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # for feature in ['obv', 'return_20', 'act_factor1', 'act_factor2', 'act_factor3', 'act_factor4']:\n",
|
||
" # df[f'deviation_industry_{feature}'] = df[feature] - df[f'industry_{feature}']\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return df, ret_feature_columns\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 14,
|
||
"id": "47c12bb34062ae7a",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T14:57:50.841165Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T14:49:25.889057Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"days = 5\n",
|
||
"validation_days = 120\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"import gc\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"gc.collect()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"df = df.sort_values(by=['ts_code', 'trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"df['future_return'] = df.groupby('ts_code', group_keys=False)['close'].apply(lambda x: x.shift(-days) / x - 1)\n",
|
||
"# df['future_return'] = (df.groupby('ts_code')['close'].shift(-days) - df.groupby('ts_code')['open'].shift(-1)) / \\\n",
|
||
"# df.groupby('ts_code')['open'].shift(-1)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"df['cat_up_limit'] = df['pct_chg'] > 5\n",
|
||
"df['label'] = df.groupby('ts_code')['cat_up_limit'].rolling(window=5, min_periods=1).max().groupby('ts_code').shift(-5).fillna(0).astype(int).reset_index(level=0, drop=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"filter_index = df['future_return'].between(df['future_return'].quantile(0.01), df['future_return'].quantile(0.99))\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# for col in [col for col in df.columns]:\n",
|
||
"# train_data[col] = train_data[col].astype('str')\n",
|
||
"# test_data[col] = test_data[col].astype('str')"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 15,
|
||
"id": "29221dde",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"191\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in df.head(10).merge(industry_df, on=['cat_l2_code', 'trade_date'], how='left').merge(index_data, on='trade_date', how='left').columns]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in ['trade_date',\n",
|
||
" 'ts_code',\n",
|
||
" 'label']]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'future' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'label' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'score' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'gen' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'is_st' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'pe_ttm' not in col]\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'volatility' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'circ_mv' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if 'code' not in col]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in origin_columns]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if not col.startswith('_')]\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in ['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'vol_std_5', 'cov', 'delta_cov', 'alpha_22_improved', 'alpha_007', 'consecutive_up_limit', 'mv_volatility', 'volume_growth', 'mv_growth', 'arbr']]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in ['intraday_lg_flow_corr_20', \n",
|
||
" 'cap_neutral_cost_metric', \n",
|
||
" 'hurst_net_mf_vol_60', \n",
|
||
" 'complex_factor_deap_1', \n",
|
||
" 'lg_buy_consolidation_20',\n",
|
||
" 'cs_rank_ind_cap_neutral_pe',\n",
|
||
" 'cs_rank_opening_gap',\n",
|
||
" 'cs_rank_ind_adj_lg_flow']]\n",
|
||
"feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in ['roa', 'roe']]\n",
|
||
"print(len(feature_columns))"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 16,
|
||
"id": "03ee5daf",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"# df = fill_nan_with_daily_median(df, feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"for feature_col in [col for col in feature_columns if col in df.columns]:\n",
|
||
" # median_val = df[feature_col].median()\n",
|
||
" df[feature_col].fillna(0, inplace=True)"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": null,
|
||
"id": "b76ea08a",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
" ts_code trade_date log_circ_mv\n",
|
||
"0 000001.SZ 2019-01-02 16.574219\n",
|
||
"1 000001.SZ 2019-01-03 16.583965\n",
|
||
"2 000001.SZ 2019-01-04 16.633371\n",
|
||
"['vol', 'pct_chg', 'turnover_rate', 'volume_ratio', 'winner_rate', 'undist_profit_ps', 'ocfps', 'AR', 'BR', 'AR_BR', 'cashflow_to_ev_factor', 'book_to_price_ratio', 'turnover_rate_mean_5', 'variance_20', 'bbi_ratio_factor', 'daily_deviation', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol', 'flow_lg_elg_intensity', 'sm_net_buy_vol', 'total_buy_vol', 'lg_elg_buy_prop', 'flow_struct_buy_change', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol_change', 'flow_lg_elg_accel', 'chip_concentration_range', 'chip_skewness', 'floating_chip_proxy', 'cost_support_15pct_change', 'cat_winner_price_zone', 'flow_chip_consistency', 'profit_taking_vs_absorb', 'cat_is_positive', 'upside_vol', 'downside_vol', 'vol_ratio', 'return_skew', 'return_kurtosis', 'volume_change_rate', 'cat_volume_breakout', 'turnover_deviation', 'cat_turnover_spike', 'avg_volume_ratio', 'cat_volume_ratio_breakout', 'vol_spike', 'vol_std_5', 'atr_14', 'atr_6', 'obv', 'maobv_6', 'rsi_3', 'return_5', 'return_20', 'std_return_5', 'std_return_90', 'std_return_90_2', 'act_factor1', 'act_factor2', 'act_factor3', 'act_factor4', 'rank_act_factor1', 'rank_act_factor2', 'rank_act_factor3', 'cov', 'delta_cov', 'alpha_22_improved', 'alpha_003', 'alpha_007', 'alpha_013', 'vol_break', 'weight_roc5', 'smallcap_concentration', 'cost_stability', 'high_cost_break_days', 'liquidity_risk', 'turnover_std', 'mv_volatility', 'volume_growth', 'mv_growth', 'momentum_factor', 'resonance_factor', 'log_close', 'cat_vol_spike', 'up', 'down', 'obv_maobv_6', 'std_return_5_over_std_return_90', 'std_return_90_minus_std_return_90_2', 'cat_af2', 'cat_af3', 'cat_af4', 'act_factor5', 'act_factor6', 'active_buy_volume_large', 'active_buy_volume_big', 'active_buy_volume_small', 'buy_lg_vol_minus_sell_lg_vol', 'buy_elg_vol_minus_sell_elg_vol', 'ctrl_strength', 'low_cost_dev', 'asymmetry', 'lock_factor', 'cat_vol_break', 'cost_atr_adj', 'cat_golden_resonance', 'mv_turnover_ratio', 'mv_adjusted_volume', 'mv_weighted_turnover', 'nonlinear_mv_volume', 'mv_volume_ratio', 'mv_momentum', 'lg_flow_mom_corr_20_60', 'lg_flow_accel', 'profit_pressure', 'underwater_resistance', 'cost_conc_std_20', 'profit_decay_20', 'vol_amp_loss_20', 'vol_drop_profit_cnt_5', 'lg_flow_vol_interact_20', 'cost_break_confirm_cnt_5', 'atr_norm_channel_pos_14', 'turnover_diff_skew_20', 'lg_sm_flow_diverge_20', 'pullback_strong_20_20', 'vol_wgt_hist_pos_20', 'vol_adj_roc_20', 'cs_rank_net_lg_flow_val', 'cs_rank_elg_buy_ratio', 'cs_rank_rel_profit_margin', 'cs_rank_cost_breadth', 'cs_rank_dist_to_upper_cost', 'cs_rank_winner_rate', 'cs_rank_intraday_range', 'cs_rank_close_pos_in_range', 'cs_rank_pos_in_hist_range', 'cs_rank_vol_x_profit_margin', 'cs_rank_lg_flow_price_concordance', 'cs_rank_turnover_per_winner', 'cs_rank_volume_ratio', 'cs_rank_elg_buy_sell_sm_ratio', 'cs_rank_cost_dist_vol_ratio', 'cs_rank_size', 'cat_up_limit', 'industry_obv', 'industry_return_5', 'industry_return_20', 'industry__ema_5', 'industry__ema_13', 'industry__ema_20', 'industry__ema_60', 'industry_act_factor1', 'industry_act_factor2', 'industry_act_factor3', 'industry_act_factor4', 'industry_act_factor5', 'industry_act_factor6', 'industry_rank_act_factor1', 'industry_rank_act_factor2', 'industry_rank_act_factor3', 'industry_return_5_percentile', 'industry_return_20_percentile', '000852.SH_MACD', '000905.SH_MACD', '399006.SZ_MACD', '000852.SH_MACD_hist', '000905.SH_MACD_hist', '399006.SZ_MACD_hist', '000852.SH_RSI', '000905.SH_RSI', '399006.SZ_RSI', '000852.SH_Signal_line', '000905.SH_Signal_line', '399006.SZ_Signal_line', '000852.SH_amount_change_rate', '000905.SH_amount_change_rate', '399006.SZ_amount_change_rate', '000852.SH_amount_mean', '000905.SH_amount_mean', '399006.SZ_amount_mean', '000852.SH_daily_return', '000905.SH_daily_return', '399006.SZ_daily_return', '000852.SH_up_ratio_20d', '000905.SH_up_ratio_20d', '399006.SZ_up_ratio_20d', '000852.SH_volatility', '000905.SH_volatility', '399006.SZ_volatility', '000852.SH_volume_change_rate', '000905.SH_volume_change_rate', '399006.SZ_volume_change_rate']\n",
|
||
"去除极值\n",
|
||
"开始截面 MAD 去极值处理 (k=3.0)...\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stderr",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"MAD Filtering: 100%|██████████| 131/131 [00:09<00:00, 13.87it/s]\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"截面 MAD 去极值处理完成。\n",
|
||
"开始截面 MAD 去极值处理 (k=3.0)...\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stderr",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"MAD Filtering: 100%|██████████| 131/131 [00:20<00:00, 6.50it/s]\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"截面 MAD 去极值处理完成。\n",
|
||
"开始截面 MAD 去极值处理 (k=3.0)...\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stderr",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"MAD Filtering: 0it [00:00, ?it/s]\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"截面 MAD 去极值处理完成。\n",
|
||
"开始截面 MAD 去极值处理 (k=3.0)...\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stderr",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"MAD Filtering: 0it [00:00, ?it/s]\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"截面 MAD 去极值处理完成。\n",
|
||
"feature_columns: ['vol', 'pct_chg', 'turnover_rate', 'volume_ratio', 'winner_rate', 'undist_profit_ps', 'ocfps', 'AR', 'BR', 'AR_BR', 'cashflow_to_ev_factor', 'book_to_price_ratio', 'turnover_rate_mean_5', 'variance_20', 'bbi_ratio_factor', 'daily_deviation', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol', 'flow_lg_elg_intensity', 'sm_net_buy_vol', 'total_buy_vol', 'lg_elg_buy_prop', 'flow_struct_buy_change', 'lg_elg_net_buy_vol_change', 'flow_lg_elg_accel', 'chip_concentration_range', 'chip_skewness', 'floating_chip_proxy', 'cost_support_15pct_change', 'cat_winner_price_zone', 'flow_chip_consistency', 'profit_taking_vs_absorb', 'cat_is_positive', 'upside_vol', 'downside_vol', 'vol_ratio', 'return_skew', 'return_kurtosis', 'volume_change_rate', 'cat_volume_breakout', 'turnover_deviation', 'cat_turnover_spike', 'avg_volume_ratio', 'cat_volume_ratio_breakout', 'vol_spike', 'vol_std_5', 'atr_14', 'atr_6', 'obv', 'maobv_6', 'rsi_3', 'return_5', 'return_20', 'std_return_5', 'std_return_90', 'std_return_90_2', 'act_factor1', 'act_factor2', 'act_factor3', 'act_factor4', 'rank_act_factor1', 'rank_act_factor2', 'rank_act_factor3', 'cov', 'delta_cov', 'alpha_22_improved', 'alpha_003', 'alpha_007', 'alpha_013', 'vol_break', 'weight_roc5', 'smallcap_concentration', 'cost_stability', 'high_cost_break_days', 'liquidity_risk', 'turnover_std', 'mv_volatility', 'volume_growth', 'mv_growth', 'momentum_factor', 'resonance_factor', 'log_close', 'cat_vol_spike', 'up', 'down', 'obv_maobv_6', 'std_return_5_over_std_return_90', 'std_return_90_minus_std_return_90_2', 'cat_af2', 'cat_af3', 'cat_af4', 'act_factor5', 'act_factor6', 'active_buy_volume_large', 'active_buy_volume_big', 'active_buy_volume_small', 'buy_lg_vol_minus_sell_lg_vol', 'buy_elg_vol_minus_sell_elg_vol', 'ctrl_strength', 'low_cost_dev', 'asymmetry', 'lock_factor', 'cat_vol_break', 'cost_atr_adj', 'cat_golden_resonance', 'mv_turnover_ratio', 'mv_adjusted_volume', 'mv_weighted_turnover', 'nonlinear_mv_volume', 'mv_volume_ratio', 'mv_momentum', 'lg_flow_mom_corr_20_60', 'lg_flow_accel', 'profit_pressure', 'underwater_resistance', 'cost_conc_std_20', 'profit_decay_20', 'vol_amp_loss_20', 'vol_drop_profit_cnt_5', 'lg_flow_vol_interact_20', 'cost_break_confirm_cnt_5', 'atr_norm_channel_pos_14', 'turnover_diff_skew_20', 'lg_sm_flow_diverge_20', 'pullback_strong_20_20', 'vol_wgt_hist_pos_20', 'vol_adj_roc_20', 'cs_rank_net_lg_flow_val', 'cs_rank_elg_buy_ratio', 'cs_rank_rel_profit_margin', 'cs_rank_cost_breadth', 'cs_rank_dist_to_upper_cost', 'cs_rank_winner_rate', 'cs_rank_intraday_range', 'cs_rank_close_pos_in_range', 'cs_rank_pos_in_hist_range', 'cs_rank_vol_x_profit_margin', 'cs_rank_lg_flow_price_concordance', 'cs_rank_turnover_per_winner', 'cs_rank_volume_ratio', 'cs_rank_elg_buy_sell_sm_ratio', 'cs_rank_cost_dist_vol_ratio', 'cs_rank_size', 'cat_up_limit', 'industry_obv', 'industry_return_5', 'industry_return_20', 'industry__ema_5', 'industry__ema_13', 'industry__ema_20', 'industry__ema_60', 'industry_act_factor1', 'industry_act_factor2', 'industry_act_factor3', 'industry_act_factor4', 'industry_act_factor5', 'industry_act_factor6', 'industry_rank_act_factor1', 'industry_rank_act_factor2', 'industry_rank_act_factor3', 'industry_return_5_percentile', 'industry_return_20_percentile', '000852.SH_MACD', '000905.SH_MACD', '399006.SZ_MACD', '000852.SH_MACD_hist', '000905.SH_MACD_hist', '399006.SZ_MACD_hist', '000852.SH_RSI', '000905.SH_RSI', '399006.SZ_RSI', '000852.SH_Signal_line', '000905.SH_Signal_line', '399006.SZ_Signal_line', '000852.SH_amount_change_rate', '000905.SH_amount_change_rate', '399006.SZ_amount_change_rate', '000852.SH_amount_mean', '000905.SH_amount_mean', '399006.SZ_amount_mean', '000852.SH_daily_return', '000905.SH_daily_return', '399006.SZ_daily_return', '000852.SH_up_ratio_20d', '000905.SH_up_ratio_20d', '399006.SZ_up_ratio_20d', '000852.SH_volatility', '000905.SH_volatility', '399006.SZ_volatility', '000852.SH_volume_change_rate', '000905.SH_volume_change_rate', '399006.SZ_volume_change_rate']\n",
|
||
"df最小日期: 2019-01-02\n",
|
||
"df最大日期: 2025-12-26\n",
|
||
"1345068\n",
|
||
"train_data最小日期: 2020-01-02\n",
|
||
"train_data最大日期: 2021-12-31\n",
|
||
"2940685\n",
|
||
"test_data最小日期: 2022-01-04\n",
|
||
"test_data最大日期: 2025-12-26\n",
|
||
" ts_code trade_date log_circ_mv\n",
|
||
"0 000001.SZ 2019-01-02 16.574219\n",
|
||
"1 000001.SZ 2019-01-03 16.583965\n",
|
||
"2 000001.SZ 2019-01-04 16.633371\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"split_date = '2023-01-01'\n",
|
||
"train_data = df[filter_index & (df['trade_date'] <= split_date) & (df['trade_date'] >= '2020-01-01')]\n",
|
||
"test_data = df[(df['trade_date'] >= split_date)]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"print(df[['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'log_circ_mv']].head(3))\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"industry_df = industry_df.sort_values(by=['trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"index_data = index_data.sort_values(by=['trade_date'])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# train_data = train_data.merge(industry_df, on=['cat_l2_code', 'trade_date'], how='left')\n",
|
||
"# train_data = train_data.merge(index_data, on='trade_date', how='left')\n",
|
||
"# test_data = test_data.merge(industry_df, on=['cat_l2_code', 'trade_date'], how='left')\n",
|
||
"# test_data = test_data.merge(index_data, on='trade_date', how='left')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"train_data, test_data = train_data.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan), test_data.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns_new = feature_columns[:]\n",
|
||
"# train_data, _ = create_deviation_within_dates(train_data, [col for col in feature_columns if col in train_data.columns])\n",
|
||
"# test_data, _ = create_deviation_within_dates(test_data, [col for col in feature_columns if col in train_data.columns])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns = [\n",
|
||
"# 'undist_profit_ps', \n",
|
||
"# 'AR_BR',\n",
|
||
"# 'pe_ttm',\n",
|
||
"# 'alpha_22_improved', \n",
|
||
"# 'alpha_003', \n",
|
||
"# 'alpha_007', \n",
|
||
"# 'alpha_013', \n",
|
||
"# 'cat_up_limit', \n",
|
||
"# 'cat_down_limit', \n",
|
||
"# 'up_limit_count_10d', \n",
|
||
"# 'down_limit_count_10d', \n",
|
||
"# 'consecutive_up_limit', \n",
|
||
"# 'vol_break', \n",
|
||
"# 'weight_roc5', \n",
|
||
"# 'price_cost_divergence', \n",
|
||
"# 'smallcap_concentration', \n",
|
||
"# 'cost_stability', \n",
|
||
"# 'high_cost_break_days', \n",
|
||
"# 'liquidity_risk', \n",
|
||
"# 'turnover_std', \n",
|
||
"# 'mv_volatility', \n",
|
||
"# 'volume_growth', \n",
|
||
"# 'mv_growth', \n",
|
||
"# 'lg_flow_mom_corr_20_60', \n",
|
||
"# 'lg_flow_accel', \n",
|
||
"# 'profit_pressure', \n",
|
||
"# 'underwater_resistance', \n",
|
||
"# 'cost_conc_std_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'profit_decay_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'vol_amp_loss_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'vol_drop_profit_cnt_5', \n",
|
||
"# 'lg_flow_vol_interact_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'cost_break_confirm_cnt_5', \n",
|
||
"# 'atr_norm_channel_pos_14', \n",
|
||
"# 'turnover_diff_skew_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'lg_sm_flow_diverge_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'pullback_strong_20_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'vol_wgt_hist_pos_20', \n",
|
||
"# 'vol_adj_roc_20',\n",
|
||
"# 'cashflow_to_ev_factor',\n",
|
||
"# 'ocfps',\n",
|
||
"# 'book_to_price_ratio',\n",
|
||
"# 'turnover_rate_mean_5',\n",
|
||
"# 'variance_20',\n",
|
||
"# 'bbi_ratio_factor'\n",
|
||
"# ]\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col in train_data.columns]\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if not col.startswith('_')]\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"numeric_columns = df.select_dtypes(include=['float64', 'int64']).columns\n",
|
||
"numeric_columns = [col for col in numeric_columns if col in feature_columns]\n",
|
||
"# feature_columns = select_top_features_by_rankic(df, numeric_columns, n=10)\n",
|
||
"print(feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# train_data = fill_nan_with_daily_median(train_data, feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"# test_data = fill_nan_with_daily_median(test_data, feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"train_data = train_data.dropna(subset=[col for col in feature_columns if col in train_data.columns])\n",
|
||
"train_data = train_data.dropna(subset=['label'])\n",
|
||
"train_data = train_data.reset_index(drop=True)\n",
|
||
"# print(test_data.tail())\n",
|
||
"test_data = test_data.dropna(subset=[col for col in feature_columns if col in train_data.columns])\n",
|
||
"# test_data = test_data.dropna(subset=['label'])\n",
|
||
"test_data = test_data.reset_index(drop=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"transform_feature_columns = feature_columns\n",
|
||
"transform_feature_columns = [col for col in transform_feature_columns if col in feature_columns and not col.startswith('cat') and col in train_data.columns]\n",
|
||
"# transform_feature_columns.remove('undist_profit_ps')\n",
|
||
"print('去除极值')\n",
|
||
"cs_mad_filter(train_data, transform_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"# print('中性化')\n",
|
||
"# cs_neutralize_market_cap_numpy(train_data, transform_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"# print('标准化')\n",
|
||
"# cs_zscore_standardize(train_data, transform_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"cs_mad_filter(test_data, transform_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"# cs_neutralize_market_cap_numpy(test_data, transform_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"# cs_zscore_standardize(test_data, transform_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"mad_filter_feature_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col not in transform_feature_columns and not col.startswith('cat') and col in train_data.columns]\n",
|
||
"cs_mad_filter(train_data, mad_filter_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"cs_mad_filter(test_data, mad_filter_feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"print(f'feature_columns: {feature_columns}')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"print(f\"df最小日期: {df['trade_date'].min().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}\")\n",
|
||
"print(f\"df最大日期: {df['trade_date'].max().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}\")\n",
|
||
"print(len(train_data))\n",
|
||
"print(f\"train_data最小日期: {train_data['trade_date'].min().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}\")\n",
|
||
"print(f\"train_data最大日期: {train_data['trade_date'].max().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}\")\n",
|
||
"print(len(test_data))\n",
|
||
"print(f\"test_data最小日期: {test_data['trade_date'].min().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}\")\n",
|
||
"print(f\"test_data最大日期: {test_data['trade_date'].max().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"cat_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col.startswith('cat')]\n",
|
||
"for col in cat_columns:\n",
|
||
" train_data[col] = train_data[col].astype('category')\n",
|
||
" test_data[col] = test_data[col].astype('category')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"print(df[['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'log_circ_mv']].head(3))\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 18,
|
||
"id": "3ff2d1c5",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler\n",
|
||
"from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression\n",
|
||
"import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # 保持 matplotlib 导入,尽管LightGBM的绘图功能已移除\n",
|
||
"from sklearn.decomposition import PCA\n",
|
||
"import datetime # 用于日期计算\n",
|
||
"from catboost import CatBoostClassifier\n",
|
||
"from catboost import Pool\n",
|
||
"import lightgbm as lgb\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def train_model(train_data_df, feature_columns,\n",
|
||
" print_info=True, # 调整参数名,更通用\n",
|
||
" validation_days=180, use_pca=False, split_date=None,\n",
|
||
" target_column='label', type='light'): # 增加目标列参数\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print('train data size: ', len(train_data_df))\n",
|
||
" print(train_data_df[['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'log_circ_mv']])\n",
|
||
" # 确保数据按时间排序\n",
|
||
" train_data_df = train_data_df.sort_values(by='trade_date')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 识别数值型特征列\n",
|
||
" numeric_feature_columns = train_data_df[feature_columns].select_dtypes(include=['float64', 'int64']).columns.tolist()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 去除标签为空的样本\n",
|
||
" initial_len = len(train_data_df)\n",
|
||
" train_data_df = train_data_df.dropna(subset=[target_column])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if print_info:\n",
|
||
" print(f'原始样本数: {initial_len}, 去除标签为空后样本数: {len(train_data_df)}')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 提取特征和标签,只取数值型特征用于线性回归\n",
|
||
" \n",
|
||
" if split_date is None:\n",
|
||
" all_dates = train_data_df['trade_date'].unique() # 获取所有唯一的 trade_date\n",
|
||
" split_date = all_dates[-validation_days] # 划分点为倒数第 validation_days 天\n",
|
||
" train_data_split = train_data_df[train_data_df['trade_date'] < split_date] # 训练集\n",
|
||
" val_data_split = train_data_df[train_data_df['trade_date'] >= split_date] # 验证集\n",
|
||
" \n",
|
||
" X_train = train_data_split[feature_columns]\n",
|
||
" y_train = train_data_split[target_column]\n",
|
||
" \n",
|
||
" X_val = val_data_split[feature_columns]\n",
|
||
" y_val = val_data_split['label']\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # # 标准化数值特征 (使用 StandardScaler 对训练集fit并transform, 对验证集只transform)\n",
|
||
" scaler = StandardScaler()\n",
|
||
" # X_train = scaler.fit_transform(X_train)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 训练线性回归模型\n",
|
||
" # model = LogisticRegression(random_state=42)\n",
|
||
" \n",
|
||
" # # 使用处理后的特征和样本权重进行训练\n",
|
||
" # model.fit(X_train, y_train)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if type == 'cat':\n",
|
||
" params = {\n",
|
||
" 'loss_function': 'Logloss', # 适用于二分类\n",
|
||
" 'eval_metric': 'Logloss', # 评估指标\n",
|
||
" 'iterations': 1500,\n",
|
||
" 'learning_rate': 0.01,\n",
|
||
" 'depth': 10, # 控制模型复杂度\n",
|
||
" 'l2_leaf_reg': 50, # L2 正则化\n",
|
||
" 'verbose': 5000,\n",
|
||
" 'early_stopping_rounds': 300,\n",
|
||
" # 'od_type': 'Iter', # Overfitting detector type\n",
|
||
" # 'od_wait': 300, # Number of iterations to wait after the bes\n",
|
||
" 'one_hot_max_size': 50,\n",
|
||
" 'class_weights': [0.6, 1.2],\n",
|
||
" 'task_type': 'GPU',\n",
|
||
" 'has_time': True,\n",
|
||
" 'random_seed': 7\n",
|
||
" }\n",
|
||
" cat_features = [i for i, col in enumerate(feature_columns) if col.startswith('cat')]\n",
|
||
" train_pool = Pool(data=X_train, label=y_train, cat_features=cat_features)\n",
|
||
" val_pool = Pool(data=X_val, label=y_val, cat_features=cat_features)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" model = CatBoostClassifier(**params)\n",
|
||
" model.fit(train_pool,\n",
|
||
" eval_set=val_pool, \n",
|
||
" plot=True, \n",
|
||
" use_best_model=True\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
" elif type == 'light':\n",
|
||
" params = {\n",
|
||
" 'objective': 'binary',\n",
|
||
" 'metric': 'average_precision',\n",
|
||
" 'learning_rate': 0.01,\n",
|
||
" 'is_unbalance': True,\n",
|
||
" 'num_leaves': 2048,\n",
|
||
" 'min_data_in_leaf': 1024,\n",
|
||
" 'max_depth': 32,\n",
|
||
" 'max_bin': 1024,\n",
|
||
" 'feature_fraction': 0.5,\n",
|
||
" 'bagging_fraction': 0.5,\n",
|
||
" 'bagging_freq': 1,\n",
|
||
" 'lambda_l1': 50,\n",
|
||
" 'lambda_l2': 50,\n",
|
||
" 'verbosity': -1,\n",
|
||
" 'num_threads' : 8\n",
|
||
" }\n",
|
||
" categorical_feature = [col for col in feature_columns if 'cat' in col]\n",
|
||
" train_dataset = lgb.Dataset(\n",
|
||
" X_train, label=y_train,\n",
|
||
" categorical_feature=categorical_feature\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
" val_dataset = lgb.Dataset(\n",
|
||
" X_val, label=y_val,\n",
|
||
" categorical_feature=categorical_feature\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" evals = {}\n",
|
||
" callbacks = [lgb.log_evaluation(period=1000),\n",
|
||
" lgb.callback.record_evaluation(evals),\n",
|
||
" lgb.early_stopping(100, first_metric_only=True)\n",
|
||
" ]\n",
|
||
" # 训练模型\n",
|
||
" model = lgb.train(\n",
|
||
" params, train_dataset, num_boost_round=1000,\n",
|
||
" valid_sets=[train_dataset, val_dataset], valid_names=['train', 'valid'],\n",
|
||
" callbacks=callbacks\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 打印特征重要性(如果需要)\n",
|
||
" if True:\n",
|
||
" lgb.plot_metric(evals)\n",
|
||
" lgb.plot_importance(model, importance_type='split', max_num_features=20)\n",
|
||
" plt.show()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return model, scaler, None # 返回训练好的模型、scaler 和 pca 对象"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 19,
|
||
"id": "c6eb5cd4-e714-420a-ac48-39af3e11ee81",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T15:03:18.426481Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T15:02:19.926352Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"train data size: 24300\n",
|
||
" ts_code trade_date log_circ_mv\n",
|
||
"0 600306.SH 2020-01-02 11.552040\n",
|
||
"1 603269.SH 2020-01-02 11.324801\n",
|
||
"2 002633.SZ 2020-01-02 11.759023\n",
|
||
"3 603991.SH 2020-01-02 11.181150\n",
|
||
"4 000691.SZ 2020-01-02 11.677910\n",
|
||
"... ... ... ...\n",
|
||
"24295 002862.SZ 2021-12-31 11.678858\n",
|
||
"24296 002494.SZ 2021-12-31 11.776090\n",
|
||
"24297 002849.SZ 2021-12-31 11.778088\n",
|
||
"24298 000632.SZ 2021-12-31 12.045706\n",
|
||
"24299 603725.SH 2021-12-31 12.027914\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"[24300 rows x 3 columns]\n",
|
||
"原始样本数: 24300, 去除标签为空后样本数: 24300\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"data": {
|
||
"application/vnd.jupyter.widget-view+json": {
|
||
"model_id": "9fe459ca63c24ce980e8163713effbab",
|
||
"version_major": 2,
|
||
"version_minor": 0
|
||
},
|
||
"text/plain": [
|
||
"MetricVisualizer(layout=Layout(align_self='stretch', height='500px'))"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"output_type": "display_data"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"0:\tlearn: 0.6886545\ttest: 0.6879590\tbest: 0.6879590 (0)\ttotal: 515ms\tremaining: 12m 51s\n",
|
||
"bestTest = 0.4521785262\n",
|
||
"bestIteration = 511\n",
|
||
"Shrink model to first 512 iterations.\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"gc.collect()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"use_pca = False\n",
|
||
"type = 'cat'\n",
|
||
"# feature_contri = [2 if feat.startswith('act_factor') or 'buy' in feat or 'sell' in feat else 1 for feat in feature_columns]\n",
|
||
"# light_params['feature_contri'] = feature_contri\n",
|
||
"# print(f'feature_contri: {feature_contri}')\n",
|
||
"model, scaler, pca = train_model(train_data\n",
|
||
" .dropna(subset=['label']).groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False)\n",
|
||
" .apply(lambda x: x.nsmallest(50, 'total_mv'))\n",
|
||
" .merge(industry_df, on=['cat_l2_code', 'trade_date'], how='left')\n",
|
||
" .merge(index_data, on='trade_date', how='left'), feature_columns, type=type)\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 20,
|
||
"id": "5d1522a7538db91b",
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"ExecuteTime": {
|
||
"end_time": "2025-04-03T15:04:39.656944Z",
|
||
"start_time": "2025-04-03T15:04:39.298483Z"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"score_df = test_data.groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False).apply(lambda x: x.nsmallest(300, 'total_mv'))\n",
|
||
"# score_df = fill_nan_with_daily_median(score_df, ['pe_ttm'])\n",
|
||
"# score_df = score_df[score_df['pe_ttm'] > 0]\n",
|
||
"score_df = score_df.merge(industry_df, on=['cat_l2_code', 'trade_date'], how='left')\n",
|
||
"score_df = score_df.merge(index_data, on='trade_date', how='left')\n",
|
||
"# score_df = score_df.groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False).apply(lambda x: x.nsmallest(50, 'total_mv')).reset_index()\n",
|
||
"numeric_columns = score_df.select_dtypes(include=['float64', 'int64']).columns\n",
|
||
"numeric_columns = [col for col in feature_columns if col in numeric_columns]\n",
|
||
"# score_df.loc[:, numeric_columns] = scaler.transform(score_df[numeric_columns])\n",
|
||
"# score_df = cross_sectional_standardization(score_df, numeric_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"if type == 'cat':\n",
|
||
" score_df['score'] = model.predict_proba(score_df[feature_columns])[:, 1]\n",
|
||
"elif type == 'light':\n",
|
||
" score_df['score'] = model.predict(score_df[feature_columns])\n",
|
||
"score_df['score_ranks'] = score_df.groupby('trade_date')['score'].rank(ascending=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"score_df = score_df.groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False).apply(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: x[x['score'] >= x['score'].quantile(0.90)] # 计算90%分位数作为阈值,筛选分数>=阈值的行\n",
|
||
").reset_index(drop=True) # drop=True 避免添加旧索引列\n",
|
||
"# save_df = score_df.groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False).apply(lambda x: x.nlargest(1, 'score')).reset_index()\n",
|
||
"save_df = score_df.groupby('trade_date', group_keys=False).apply(lambda x: x.nsmallest(2, 'total_mv')).reset_index()\n",
|
||
"save_df = save_df.sort_values(['trade_date', 'score'])\n",
|
||
"save_df[['trade_date', 'score', 'ts_code']].to_csv('predictions_test.tsv', index=False)\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 21,
|
||
"id": "c1c40917",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"current_date = datetime.datetime.now()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# 2. 格式化日期为字符串,例如 '2025-07-06'\n",
|
||
"# 你可以根据需要调整日期格式,例如 '%Y%m%d' 会得到 '20250706'\n",
|
||
"date_str = current_date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# 3. 构建包含日期的模型文件名\n",
|
||
"# model_filename = f'/mnt/d/PyProject/NewStock/main/train/catboost_model/catboost_model_2025-06-01.cbm'\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# model.save_model(model_filename)\n",
|
||
"# print(f\"模型已保存到: {model_filename}\")"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 22,
|
||
"id": "e53b209a",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"3244 1345068\n",
|
||
" ts_code trade_date turnover_rate\n",
|
||
"0 000001.SZ 2022-01-04 0.6025\n",
|
||
"1 000001.SZ 2022-01-05 1.0110\n",
|
||
"2 000001.SZ 2022-01-06 0.5709\n",
|
||
"3 000001.SZ 2022-01-07 0.5806\n",
|
||
"4 000001.SZ 2022-01-10 0.4688\n",
|
||
"... ... ... ...\n",
|
||
"2940680 605599.SH 2025-12-22 0.4745\n",
|
||
"2940681 605599.SH 2025-12-23 0.4022\n",
|
||
"2940682 605599.SH 2025-12-24 0.5145\n",
|
||
"2940683 605599.SH 2025-12-25 0.4805\n",
|
||
"2940684 605599.SH 2025-12-26 0.3122\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"[2940685 rows x 3 columns]\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"print(len(train_data[train_data['pct_chg'] > 7]), len(train_data))\n",
|
||
"print(test_data[['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'turnover_rate']])"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 23,
|
||
"id": "364e821a",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, precision_score, recall_score, f1_score, roc_auc_score, roc_curve\n",
|
||
"import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
|
||
"import numpy as np\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def calculate_binary_classification_metrics(df: pd.DataFrame, score_col: str, label_col: str, future_return_col: str = None, total_mv_col: str = None, n_mv_bins: int = 10, threshold: float = 0.5):\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 计算二分类模型的评估指标,可选择计算 score 和 future_return 的相关性,\n",
|
||
" 并可选择计算 score 在按总市值 (total_mv) 分为 n 份后的每个分组上的预测性能(ROC AUC)。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df: 包含 score (预测概率或置信度), label (真实二分类标签), 可选的 future_return 和 total_mv 的 Pandas DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" score_col: 包含模型预测 score 的列名。\n",
|
||
" label_col: 包含真实二分类标签 (0 或 1) 的列名。\n",
|
||
" future_return_col: (可选) 包含未来收益率的列名,用于计算相关性。\n",
|
||
" total_mv_col: (可选) 包含总市值的列名,用于按市值分 n 份分析预测性能。\n",
|
||
" n_mv_bins: (可选) 将总市值分为多少份,默认为 5。\n",
|
||
" threshold: 将 score 转换为预测类别的阈值,默认为 0.5。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Returns:\n",
|
||
" 一个包含以下评估指标的字典:\n",
|
||
" - accuracy: 准确率\n",
|
||
" - precision: 精确率\n",
|
||
" - recall: 召回率\n",
|
||
" - f1: F1 分数\n",
|
||
" - roc_auc: ROC AUC 值\n",
|
||
" - fpr: ROC 曲线的假正率 (False Positive Rate)\n",
|
||
" - tpr: ROC 曲线的真正率 (True Positive Rate)\n",
|
||
" - thresholds: ROC 曲线的阈值\n",
|
||
" - score_return_correlation: (如果 future_return_col 提供) score 和 future_return 的皮尔逊相关系数\n",
|
||
" - mv_roc_auc: (如果 total_mv_col 提供) 一个字典,包含按总市值分为 n 份后的每个市值分组对应的 ROC AUC 值\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" y_true = df[label_col].values\n",
|
||
" y_score = df[score_col].values\n",
|
||
" y_pred = (y_score >= threshold).astype(int)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" metrics = {}\n",
|
||
" metrics['accuracy'] = accuracy_score(y_true, y_pred)\n",
|
||
" metrics['precision'] = precision_score(y_true, y_pred)\n",
|
||
" metrics['recall'] = recall_score(y_true, y_pred)\n",
|
||
" metrics['f1'] = f1_score(y_true, y_pred)\n",
|
||
" metrics['roc_auc'] = roc_auc_score(y_true, y_score)\n",
|
||
" metrics['fpr'], metrics['tpr'], metrics['thresholds'] = roc_curve(y_true, y_score)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if future_return_col in df.columns:\n",
|
||
" metrics['score_return_correlation'] = df[score_col].corr(df[future_return_col])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if total_mv_col in df.columns and n_mv_bins > 1:\n",
|
||
" metrics['mv_roc_auc'] = {}\n",
|
||
" df['mv_quantile'] = pd.cut(df[total_mv_col], bins=n_mv_bins, labels=False, duplicates='drop')\n",
|
||
" for i in range(df['mv_quantile'].nunique()):\n",
|
||
" mv_group = df[df['mv_quantile'] == i]\n",
|
||
" if len(mv_group) > 0 and len(np.unique(mv_group[label_col])) > 1 and len(np.unique(mv_group[score_col])) > 1:\n",
|
||
" roc_auc_mv = roc_auc_score(mv_group[label_col], mv_group[score_col])\n",
|
||
" lower_bound = df[total_mv_col][df['mv_quantile'] == i].min()\n",
|
||
" upper_bound = df[total_mv_col][df['mv_quantile'] == i].max()\n",
|
||
" metrics['mv_roc_auc'][f'{lower_bound:.0e}-{upper_bound:.0e}'] = roc_auc_mv\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" lower_bound = df[total_mv_col][df['mv_quantile'] == i].min()\n",
|
||
" upper_bound = df[total_mv_col][df['mv_quantile'] == i].max()\n",
|
||
" metrics['mv_roc_auc'][f'{lower_bound:.0e}-{upper_bound:.0e}'] = np.nan\n",
|
||
" print(f'{lower_bound:.0e}-{upper_bound:.0e}')\n",
|
||
" df.drop(columns=['mv_quantile'], inplace=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return metrics\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def plot_roc_curve(metrics: dict):\n",
|
||
" plt.figure(figsize=(8, 6))\n",
|
||
" plt.plot(metrics['fpr'], metrics['tpr'], color='darkorange', lw=2, label=f'ROC curve (AUC = {metrics[\"roc_auc\"]:.2f})')\n",
|
||
" plt.plot([0, 1], [0, 1], color='navy', lw=2, linestyle='--')\n",
|
||
" plt.xlabel('False Positive Rate')\n",
|
||
" plt.ylabel('True Positive Rate')\n",
|
||
" plt.title('Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC)')\n",
|
||
" plt.legend(loc=\"lower right\")\n",
|
||
" plt.grid(True)\n",
|
||
" plt.show()\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 24,
|
||
"id": "1f6e6336",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"6e+04-9e+04\n",
|
||
"9e+04-1e+05\n",
|
||
"1e+05-1e+05\n",
|
||
"1e+05-2e+05\n",
|
||
"2e+05-2e+05\n",
|
||
"2e+05-2e+05\n",
|
||
"2e+05-2e+05\n",
|
||
"2e+05-3e+05\n",
|
||
"3e+05-3e+05\n",
|
||
"3e+05-3e+05\n",
|
||
"二分类评估指标:\n",
|
||
"accuracy: 0.6607\n",
|
||
"precision: 0.4707\n",
|
||
"recall: 0.2058\n",
|
||
"f1: 0.2864\n",
|
||
"roc_auc: 0.6113\n",
|
||
"fpr: (array of length 12329)\n",
|
||
"tpr: (array of length 12329)\n",
|
||
"thresholds: (array of length 12329)\n",
|
||
"score_return_correlation: -0.0256\n",
|
||
"mv_roc_auc: {'6e+04-9e+04': 0.5764925373134329, '9e+04-1e+05': 0.5824607329842932, '1e+05-1e+05': 0.5853884314061875, '1e+05-2e+05': 0.5701944637861504, '2e+05-2e+05': 0.611481089969462, '2e+05-3e+05': 0.6152227912178468, '3e+05-3e+05': 0.6330766655507197}\n"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"data": {
|
||
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",
|
||
"text/plain": [
|
||
"<Figure size 800x600 with 1 Axes>"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"output_type": "display_data"
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"for sd in [\n",
|
||
" # save_df1, \n",
|
||
" # save_df2, \n",
|
||
" score_df\n",
|
||
" ]:\n",
|
||
" # 计算二分类指标\n",
|
||
" evaluation_metrics = calculate_binary_classification_metrics(sd, score_col='score', label_col='label', threshold=0.6,\n",
|
||
" future_return_col='future_return', total_mv_col='total_mv')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 打印指标\n",
|
||
" print(\"二分类评估指标:\")\n",
|
||
" for metric, value in evaluation_metrics.items():\n",
|
||
" if isinstance(value, (float, int)):\n",
|
||
" print(f\"{metric}: {value:.4f}\")\n",
|
||
" elif isinstance(value, (list, tuple, np.ndarray)):\n",
|
||
" print(f\"{metric}: (array of length {len(value)})\")\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"{metric}: {value}\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 绘制 ROC 曲线\n",
|
||
" plot_roc_curve(evaluation_metrics)"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 25,
|
||
"id": "7e9023cc",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"def analyze_factors(\n",
|
||
" df: pd.DataFrame,\n",
|
||
" feature_columns: list[str],\n",
|
||
" target_column: str = 'target', # 假设目标列默认为 'target'\n",
|
||
" trade_date_col: str = 'trade_date', # 假设日期列默认为 'trade_date'\n",
|
||
" mcap_col: str = 'total_mv', # 新增: 市值列名称\n",
|
||
" mcap_bins: int = 5 # 新增: 市值分位数的数量 (例如 5 表示五分位数)\n",
|
||
") -> pd.DataFrame:\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 分析DataFrame中指定特征列的各种指标,包括基本统计、相关性、日间IC、ICIR以及在不同市值分位数上的IC。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" df (pd.DataFrame): 包含日期、目标列、特征列和市值列的DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" 需要包含 trade_date_col, target_column, feature_columns 和 mcap_col 中的所有列。\n",
|
||
" feature_columns (list[str]): 需要分析的特征列名称列表。\n",
|
||
" target_column (str): 目标变量列的名称。\n",
|
||
" trade_date_col (str): 交易日期列的名称。\n",
|
||
" mcap_col (str): 市值列的名称。\n",
|
||
" mcap_bins (int): 市值分位数的数量 (例如 5 表示五分位数)。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Returns:\n",
|
||
" pd.DataFrame: 包含各个因子分析指标的汇总DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" 同时打印因子在不同市值分位数上的平均IC表格。\n",
|
||
" 如果输入数据或列有问题,可能返回空或包含NaN的DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 数据校验 ---\n",
|
||
" required_cols = [trade_date_col, target_column, mcap_col] + feature_columns\n",
|
||
" if not all(col in df.columns for col in required_cols):\n",
|
||
" missing = [col for col in required_cols if col not in df.columns]\n",
|
||
" print(f\"错误: 输入DataFrame缺少必需的列: {missing}\")\n",
|
||
" return pd.DataFrame() # 返回空DataFrame\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 确保日期列是 datetime 类型\n",
|
||
" df = df.copy() # 在副本上操作\n",
|
||
" df[trade_date_col] = pd.to_datetime(df[trade_date_col], errors='coerce')\n",
|
||
" df.dropna(subset=[trade_date_col], inplace=True) # 移除日期转换失败的行\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 过滤掉那些在 feature_columns, target_column, mcap_col 上有 NaN 的行,以确保后续计算是在完整数据上\n",
|
||
" # 直接在 df 副本上进行清洗\n",
|
||
" initial_rows_before_clean = len(df)\n",
|
||
" df.dropna(subset=feature_columns + [target_column, mcap_col], inplace=True)\n",
|
||
" rows_dropped_clean = initial_rows_before_clean - len(df)\n",
|
||
" if rows_dropped_clean > 0:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 移除了 {rows_dropped_clean} 行,因为其特征、目标或市值列存在空值。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if df.empty:\n",
|
||
" print(\"错误: 清理缺失值后数据为空,无法进行因子分析。\")\n",
|
||
" return pd.DataFrame() # 返回空DataFrame\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(f\"开始分析 {len(feature_columns)} 个因子指标...\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 1. 基本因子统计量 ---\n",
|
||
" basic_stats = df[feature_columns].describe().T\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(\"\\n--- 基本因子统计量 ---\")\n",
|
||
" print(basic_stats)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 2. 因子与目标变量的整体相关性 ---\n",
|
||
" overall_correlation = {}\n",
|
||
" for feature in feature_columns:\n",
|
||
" # 在清理后的 df 上计算相关性\n",
|
||
" if df[[feature, target_column]].dropna().shape[0] > 1: # 确保至少有两个有效数据点\n",
|
||
" overall_correlation[feature] = {\n",
|
||
" 'Pearson_Correlation_with_Target': df[feature].corr(df[target_column], method='pearson'),\n",
|
||
" 'Spearman_Correlation_with_Target': df[feature].corr(df[target_column], method='spearman')\n",
|
||
" }\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" overall_correlation[feature] = {\n",
|
||
" 'Pearson_Correlation_with_Target': np.nan,\n",
|
||
" 'Spearman_Correlation_with_Target': np.nan\n",
|
||
" }\n",
|
||
" overall_corr_df = pd.DataFrame.from_dict(overall_correlation, orient='index')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(\"\\n--- 因子与目标变量的整体相关性 ---\")\n",
|
||
" print(overall_corr_df)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 3. 因子之间的相关性矩阵 ---\n",
|
||
" # 在清理后的 df 上计算相关性\n",
|
||
" factor_correlation_matrix = df[feature_columns].corr(method='spearman') # 改回 Spearman\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(\"\\n--- 因子之间的相关性矩阵 (Spearman) ---\") # 修正打印信息\n",
|
||
" print(factor_correlation_matrix)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 4. 日间 IC 和 ICIR ---\n",
|
||
" print(\"\\n--- 计算日间 IC (Spearman 相关性) 和 ICIR ---\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 直接在清理后的 df 上计算每日 IC\n",
|
||
" if df.empty: # 理论上上面已经检查过,这里再检查一次更安全\n",
|
||
" daily_ic_series = pd.Series(dtype=float) # 空 Series\n",
|
||
" ic_stats = pd.DataFrame({\n",
|
||
" 'Mean_IC (Spearman)': np.nan, 'Std_Dev_IC': np.nan, 'ICIR': np.nan\n",
|
||
" }, index=feature_columns)\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" daily_ic_series = df.groupby(trade_date_col).apply(\n",
|
||
" lambda day_group: {\n",
|
||
" feature: day_group[feature].corr(day_group[target_column], method='spearman')\n",
|
||
" for feature in feature_columns if day_group.shape[0] > 1 # 确保每日数据点多于1才能计算相关性\n",
|
||
" }\n",
|
||
" ).apply(pd.Series) # 将字典结果转换为 DataFrame\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算 IC 的统计量\n",
|
||
" if not daily_ic_series.empty:\n",
|
||
" ic_mean = daily_ic_series.mean()\n",
|
||
" ic_std = daily_ic_series.std()\n",
|
||
" # 避免除以零\n",
|
||
" ic_ir = ic_mean / ic_std.replace(0, np.nan) # 使用 replace 0 为 NaN\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" ic_stats = pd.DataFrame({\n",
|
||
" 'Mean_IC (Spearman)': ic_mean,\n",
|
||
" 'Std_Dev_IC': ic_std,\n",
|
||
" 'ICIR': ic_ir\n",
|
||
" })\n",
|
||
" print(\"\\n--- 日间 IC 和 ICIR (Spearman) ---\")\n",
|
||
" print(ic_stats)\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" ic_stats = pd.DataFrame({\n",
|
||
" 'Mean_IC (Spearman)': np.nan, 'Std_Dev_IC': np.nan, 'ICIR': np.nan\n",
|
||
" }, index=feature_columns)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 5. 因子在不同市值分位数上的平均 IC ---\n",
|
||
" print(f\"\\n--- 计算因子在 {mcap_bins} 个市值分位数上的平均 IC (Spearman) ---\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 在清理后的 df 上计算每日市值分位数,直接添加到 df 中\n",
|
||
" # 使用 transform() 和 qcut() 在每个日期分组内计算分位数\n",
|
||
" # labels=False 返回整数 0 to mcap_bins-1\n",
|
||
" # duplicates='drop' 处理在某些日期股票数量少于 bins 导致分位数边缘重复的情况,会返回 NaN\n",
|
||
" # 添加一个临时列来存储分位数\n",
|
||
" mcap_bin_col_name = f'_mcap_bin_{mcap_bins}'\n",
|
||
" df[mcap_bin_col_name] = df.groupby(trade_date_col)[mcap_col].transform(\n",
|
||
" lambda x: pd.qcut(x, q=mcap_bins, labels=False, duplicates='drop') if len(x) >= mcap_bins else np.nan # 确保股票数量足够进行分位数划分\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 过滤掉无法划分分位数 (NaN) 的行,进行分位数 IC 计算\n",
|
||
" # 创建一个临时 DataFrame df_binned_analysis\n",
|
||
" df_binned_analysis = df.dropna(subset=[mcap_bin_col_name]).copy()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if df_binned_analysis.empty:\n",
|
||
" print(\"错误: 划分市值分位数后数据为空,无法计算分位数上的 IC。\")\n",
|
||
" avg_ic_by_bin = pd.DataFrame(index=range(mcap_bins), columns=feature_columns) # Placeholder\n",
|
||
" else:\n",
|
||
" # 按日期和市值分位数分组,计算每个分组内的因子与目标变量的截面相关性 (分位数IC)\n",
|
||
" binned_ic_by_day = df_binned_analysis.groupby([trade_date_col, mcap_bin_col_name]).apply(\n",
|
||
" lambda group: {\n",
|
||
" feature: group[feature].corr(group[target_column], method='spearman')\n",
|
||
" for feature in feature_columns if group.shape[0] > 1 # 确保分位数组内数据点多于1\n",
|
||
" }\n",
|
||
" ).apply(pd.Series) # 将嵌套结果转为 DataFrame\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 对每个分位数组的每日 IC 求平均\n",
|
||
" # unstack(level=mcap_bin_col_name) 将 mcap_bin 作为列\n",
|
||
" # mean(axis=0) 对日期索引求平均\n",
|
||
" avg_ic_by_bin = binned_ic_by_day.unstack(level=mcap_bin_col_name).mean(axis=0).unstack()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 重命名索引和列,使表格更清晰\n",
|
||
" if not avg_ic_by_bin.empty:\n",
|
||
" # Index name will be the original column name used for grouping ('_mcap_bin_X')\n",
|
||
" # Rename the index name explicitly\n",
|
||
" avg_ic_by_bin.index.name = 'MarketCap_Bin'\n",
|
||
" avg_ic_by_bin.columns.name = 'Feature'\n",
|
||
" # 可以根据需要对分位数 bin 索引进行排序 (虽然 pd.qcut labels=False usually sorts)\n",
|
||
" avg_ic_by_bin = avg_ic_by_bin.sort_index()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(avg_ic_by_bin)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 6. 汇总所有指标 ---\n",
|
||
" # 将基本统计、整体相关性、IC/ICIR 合并到一个 DataFrame\n",
|
||
" # 注意:合并时需要根据索引进行对齐 (因子名称)\n",
|
||
" summary_df = basic_stats\n",
|
||
" summary_df = summary_df.merge(overall_corr_df, left_index=True, right_index=True, how='left')\n",
|
||
" summary_df = summary_df.merge(ic_stats, left_index=True, right_index=True, how='left')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # print(\"\\n--- 因子分析汇总报告 ---\")\n",
|
||
" # print(summary_df)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 清理临时列 'mcap_bin' ---\n",
|
||
" # 修正:在函数结束时从我们一直在操作的 df 副本中删除临时列\n",
|
||
" if mcap_bin_col_name in df.columns:\n",
|
||
" df.drop(columns=[mcap_bin_col_name], inplace=True)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" return summary_df # 主要返回汇总报告,分位数IC单独打印\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# # 运行分析函数\n",
|
||
"# factor_analysis_report = analyze_factors(test_data.copy(), feature_columns, 'future_return')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# print(\"\\n--- 最终汇总报告 DataFrame ---\")\n",
|
||
"# print(factor_analysis_report)"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": 26,
|
||
"id": "a0000d75",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"ename": "ModuleNotFoundError",
|
||
"evalue": "No module named 'seaborn'",
|
||
"output_type": "error",
|
||
"traceback": [
|
||
"\u001b[31m---------------------------------------------------------------------------\u001b[39m",
|
||
"\u001b[31mModuleNotFoundError\u001b[39m Traceback (most recent call last)",
|
||
"\u001b[36mCell\u001b[39m\u001b[36m \u001b[39m\u001b[32mIn[26]\u001b[39m\u001b[32m, line 2\u001b[39m\n\u001b[32m 1\u001b[39m \u001b[38;5;28;01mimport\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[34;01mmatplotlib\u001b[39;00m\u001b[34;01m.\u001b[39;00m\u001b[34;01mpyplot\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[38;5;28;01mas\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[34;01mplt\u001b[39;00m\n\u001b[32m----> \u001b[39m\u001b[32m2\u001b[39m \u001b[38;5;28;01mimport\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[34;01mseaborn\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[38;5;28;01mas\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[34;01msns\u001b[39;00m\n\u001b[32m 3\u001b[39m \u001b[38;5;28;01mfrom\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[34;01mscipy\u001b[39;00m\u001b[34;01m.\u001b[39;00m\u001b[34;01mstats\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[38;5;28;01mimport\u001b[39;00m spearmanr\n\u001b[32m 4\u001b[39m \u001b[38;5;28;01mfrom\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[34;01mtqdm\u001b[39;00m\u001b[38;5;250m \u001b[39m\u001b[38;5;28;01mimport\u001b[39;00m tqdm \u001b[38;5;66;03m# 用于显示进度条 (可选)\u001b[39;00m\n",
|
||
"\u001b[31mModuleNotFoundError\u001b[39m: No module named 'seaborn'"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
|
||
"import seaborn as sns\n",
|
||
"from scipy.stats import spearmanr\n",
|
||
"from tqdm import tqdm # 用于显示进度条 (可选)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# 设置 Matplotlib/Seaborn 样式 (可选)\n",
|
||
"sns.set_theme(style=\"whitegrid\")\n",
|
||
"plt.rcParams['font.sans-serif'] = ['SimHei'] # 或者其他支持中文的字体\n",
|
||
"plt.rcParams['axes.unicode_minus'] = False # 解决负号显示问题\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"def analyze_score_performance_2d(score_df: pd.DataFrame,\n",
|
||
" score_col: str = 'score',\n",
|
||
" label_col: str = 'label',\n",
|
||
" condition1_col: str = 'circ_mv',\n",
|
||
" condition2_col: str = 'future_return',\n",
|
||
" n_bins: int = 100,\n",
|
||
" min_samples_per_bin: int = 30): # 每个格子最少样本数\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" 分析 score 在两个条件下 (如市值、未来收益) 的二维分箱表现。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Args:\n",
|
||
" score_df (pd.DataFrame): 包含分数、标签和条件列的 DataFrame。\n",
|
||
" score_col (str): 预测分数所在的列名。\n",
|
||
" label_col (str): 目标标签所在的列名 (应为数值或可排序类别)。\n",
|
||
" condition1_col (str): 第一个条件列名 (例如 'circ_mv')。\n",
|
||
" condition2_col (str): 第二个条件列名 (例如 'future_return')。\n",
|
||
" n_bins (int): 每个条件划分的箱数 (分位数数量)。\n",
|
||
" min_samples_per_bin (int): 计算指标所需的最小样本数,小于此数目的格子结果将被屏蔽。\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" Returns:\n",
|
||
" tuple: 包含 (performance_pivot, count_pivot, fig)\n",
|
||
" performance_pivot: 以二维分箱为索引/列的 Spearman 相关系数矩阵。\n",
|
||
" count_pivot: 每个二维分箱的样本数量矩阵。\n",
|
||
" fig: 生成的热力图 Matplotlib Figure 对象。\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"\n",
|
||
" print(f\"开始分析 '{score_col}' 在 '{condition1_col}' 和 '{condition2_col}' 下的表现...\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" required_cols = [score_col, label_col, condition1_col, condition2_col]\n",
|
||
" if not all(col in score_df.columns for col in required_cols):\n",
|
||
" missing = [col for col in required_cols if col not in score_df.columns]\n",
|
||
" raise ValueError(f\"输入 DataFrame 缺少必需列: {missing}\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 1. 数据准备和清洗 ---\n",
|
||
" print(\"准备数据,处理 NaN 值...\")\n",
|
||
" # 只保留需要的列,并移除包含 NaN 的行,避免影响分箱和计算\n",
|
||
" analysis_df = score_df[required_cols].dropna().copy()\n",
|
||
" n_original = len(score_df)\n",
|
||
" n_after_drop = len(analysis_df)\n",
|
||
" print(f\"原始数据 {n_original} 行,移除 NaN 后剩余 {n_after_drop} 行用于分析。\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" if n_after_drop < min_samples_per_bin * n_bins: # 检查数据量是否过少\n",
|
||
" print(f\"警告: 清理 NaN 后数据量 ({n_after_drop}) 可能不足以支持 {n_bins}x{n_bins} 的精细分箱分析。\")\n",
|
||
" if n_after_drop < min_samples_per_bin:\n",
|
||
" print(\"错误: 有效数据过少,无法进行分析。\")\n",
|
||
" return None, None, None\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 2. 二维分箱 ---\n",
|
||
" print(f\"对 '{condition1_col}' 和 '{condition2_col}' 进行 {n_bins} 分位数分箱...\")\n",
|
||
" bin1_col = f'{condition1_col}_bin'\n",
|
||
" bin2_col = f'{condition2_col}_bin'\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" try:\n",
|
||
" # 使用 qcut 进行分位数分箱,labels=False 返回 0 到 n_bins-1 的整数标签\n",
|
||
" # duplicates='drop' 会丢弃导致边界不唯一的重复值所在的箱子,可能导致某些箱号缺失\n",
|
||
" # 对于可视化,这通常可以接受,但如果需要严格的等分,需先 rank\n",
|
||
" analysis_df[bin1_col] = pd.qcut(analysis_df[condition1_col], q=n_bins, labels=False, duplicates='drop')\n",
|
||
" analysis_df[bin2_col] = pd.qcut(analysis_df[condition2_col], q=n_bins, labels=False, duplicates='drop')\n",
|
||
" except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"错误: 分箱失败,请检查数据分布或减少 n_bins。错误信息: {e}\")\n",
|
||
" # 可以尝试先 rank 再 qcut\n",
|
||
" # analysis_df[bin1_col] = pd.qcut(analysis_df[condition1_col].rank(method='first'), q=n_bins, labels=False, duplicates='raise')\n",
|
||
" # analysis_df[bin2_col] = pd.qcut(analysis_df[condition2_col].rank(method='first'), q=n_bins, labels=False, duplicates='raise')\n",
|
||
" return None, None, None\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 3. 分组计算表现指标 (Spearman Rank IC) ---\n",
|
||
" print(\"按二维分箱分组计算 Spearman Rank IC...\")\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" def safe_spearmanr(x, y):\n",
|
||
" \"\"\"安全计算 Spearman 相关性,处理数据量过少的情况\"\"\"\n",
|
||
" if len(x) < max(2, min_samples_per_bin): # 要求至少有 min_samples_per_bin 个点才计算\n",
|
||
" return np.nan\n",
|
||
" corr, p_value = spearmanr(x, y)\n",
|
||
" return corr if not np.isnan(corr) else np.nan # 确保返回 NaN 而不是 None 或其他\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 按两个分箱列分组\n",
|
||
" grouped = analysis_df.groupby([bin1_col, bin2_col])\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算每个格子的 Spearman 相关系数\n",
|
||
" # apply 可能较慢,但计算相关性通常需要 apply\n",
|
||
" performance_series = grouped.apply(lambda sub: safe_spearmanr(sub[score_col], sub[label_col]))\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 计算每个格子的样本数量\n",
|
||
" count_series = grouped.size()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 4. 结果整理成 Pivot Table (用于绘图) ---\n",
|
||
" print(\"整理结果用于绘图...\")\n",
|
||
" try:\n",
|
||
" # 将 performance_series 转换成二维矩阵\n",
|
||
" # index 为 condition1_bin, columns 为 condition2_bin\n",
|
||
" performance_pivot = performance_series.unstack(level=0) # level=0 对应第一个 groupby key (bin1_col)\n",
|
||
" count_pivot = count_series.unstack(level=0)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 可选:按列和索引排序,确保顺序正确\n",
|
||
" performance_pivot = performance_pivot.sort_index(axis=0).sort_index(axis=1)\n",
|
||
" count_pivot = count_pivot.sort_index(axis=0).sort_index(axis=1)\n",
|
||
" \n",
|
||
" print(performance_pivot)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"错误: 无法将结果转换为二维矩阵,可能因为分箱不均匀或数据问题: {e}\")\n",
|
||
" return None, None, None\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # --- 5. 可视化:绘制热力图 ---\n",
|
||
" print(\"生成热力图...\")\n",
|
||
" fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(16, 12)) # 调整图像大小\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 使用 count_pivot 创建一个 mask,屏蔽掉样本量过小的格子\n",
|
||
" mask = count_pivot < min_samples_per_bin\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 绘制热力图\n",
|
||
" sns.heatmap(performance_pivot,\n",
|
||
" annot=False, # 100x100 个格子加注释会太密集\n",
|
||
" fmt=\".2f\",\n",
|
||
" cmap=\"viridis\", # 选择颜色映射, 'viridis', 'coolwarm', 'RdYlGn' 等都不错\n",
|
||
" linewidths=.5,\n",
|
||
" linecolor='lightgray',\n",
|
||
" # mask=mask, # 应用 mask\n",
|
||
" ax=ax,\n",
|
||
" cbar_kws={'label': f'Spearman Rank IC ({score_col} vs {label_col})'}) # 颜色条标签\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 设置标题和轴标签\n",
|
||
" ax.set_title(f'{score_col} 表现分析 (Rank IC vs {label_col})\\n基于 {condition1_col} 和 {condition2_col} {n_bins}x{n_bins} 分箱', fontsize=16)\n",
|
||
" ax.set_xlabel(f'{condition1_col} 分位数 (0 -> 高)', fontsize=12)\n",
|
||
" ax.set_ylabel(f'{condition2_col} 分位数 (0 -> 高)', fontsize=12)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 可选:调整刻度标签,避免显示所有 100 个刻度\n",
|
||
" if n_bins > 20:\n",
|
||
" tick_interval = n_bins // 10 # 大约显示 10 个刻度\n",
|
||
" ax.set_xticks(np.arange(0, n_bins, tick_interval) + 0.5)\n",
|
||
" ax.set_yticks(np.arange(0, n_bins, tick_interval) + 0.5)\n",
|
||
" ax.set_xticklabels(np.arange(0, n_bins, tick_interval))\n",
|
||
" ax.set_yticklabels(np.arange(0, n_bins, tick_interval))\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" plt.xticks(rotation=45, ha='right')\n",
|
||
" plt.yticks(rotation=0)\n",
|
||
" plt.tight_layout() # 调整布局\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" print(\"分析完成。\")\n",
|
||
" return performance_pivot, count_pivot, fig\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# --- 如何使用 ---\n",
|
||
"# 假设你的包含预测结果和所需列的 DataFrame 是 final_predictions_df\n",
|
||
"# 确保它包含 'score', 'label', 'circ_mv', 'future_return'\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"# # 示例调用 (你需要有实际的 score_df)\n",
|
||
"try:\n",
|
||
" # 确保数据类型正确\n",
|
||
" cols_to_numeric = ['score', 'label', 'circ_mv', 'future_return']\n",
|
||
" for col in cols_to_numeric:\n",
|
||
" if col in score_df.columns:\n",
|
||
" score_df[col] = pd.to_numeric(score_df[col], errors='coerce')\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 调用分析函数\n",
|
||
" performance_matrix, count_matrix, heatmap_figure = analyze_score_performance_2d(\n",
|
||
" score_df,\n",
|
||
" n_bins=100, # 你要求的100分箱\n",
|
||
" min_samples_per_bin=50 # 每个格子至少需要50个样本才显示IC,可以调整\n",
|
||
" )\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 显示图像\n",
|
||
" if heatmap_figure:\n",
|
||
" plt.show()\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
" # 可以查看具体的 performance_matrix 和 count_matrix\n",
|
||
" # print(\"\\nPerformance Matrix (Spearman IC):\")\n",
|
||
" # print(performance_matrix)\n",
|
||
" # print(\"\\nCount Matrix:\")\n",
|
||
" # print(count_matrix)\n",
|
||
"\n",
|
||
"except ValueError as ve:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"数据错误: {ve}\")\n",
|
||
"except Exception as e:\n",
|
||
" print(f\"发生未知错误: {e}\")"
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"cell_type": "code",
|
||
"execution_count": null,
|
||
"id": "a436dba4",
|
||
"metadata": {},
|
||
"outputs": [
|
||
{
|
||
"name": "stdout",
|
||
"output_type": "stream",
|
||
"text": [
|
||
"Empty DataFrame\n",
|
||
"Columns: [ts_code, trade_date, is_st]\n",
|
||
"Index: []\n"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"source": [
|
||
"print(df[(df['ts_code'] == '600242.SH') & (df['trade_date'] >= '2023-06-01')][['ts_code', 'trade_date', 'is_st']])"
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
],
|
||
"metadata": {
|
||
"kernelspec": {
|
||
"display_name": "stock",
|
||
"language": "python",
|
||
"name": "python3"
|
||
},
|
||
"language_info": {
|
||
"codemirror_mode": {
|
||
"name": "ipython",
|
||
"version": 3
|
||
},
|
||
"file_extension": ".py",
|
||
"mimetype": "text/x-python",
|
||
"name": "python",
|
||
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
|
||
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
|
||
"version": "3.12.11"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
"nbformat": 4,
|
||
"nbformat_minor": 5
|
||
}
|