Files
NewQuant/futures_trading_strategies/SA/TrendlineBreakoutStrategy/AtrVol/DualModeTrendlineHawkesStrategy.py
2025-10-05 00:09:59 +08:00

328 lines
17 KiB
Python

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from typing import Optional, Dict, Any, List, Union
import talib
from src.core_data import Bar, Order
from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
from src.indicators.indicators import Empty
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
from src.algo.TrendLine import calculate_latest_trendline_values
class _SignalGenerator:
"""
内部帮助类,用于封装单个策略(趋势或回归)的霍克斯过程信号生成所需的所有状态和逻辑。
"""
def __init__(self, hawkes_kappa: float, hawkes_lookback: int, volume_norm_n: int):
self.hawkes_kappa = hawkes_kappa
self.hawkes_lookback = hawkes_lookback
self.volume_norm_n = volume_norm_n
# 状态变量
self._last_hawkes_unscaled: float = 0.0
self._hawkes_window: np.ndarray = np.array([], dtype=np.float64)
self._hawkes_alpha: float = np.exp(-self.hawkes_kappa)
self._volume_window: np.ndarray = np.zeros(self.volume_norm_n, dtype=np.float64)
self._volume_sum: float = 0.0
self._volume_sum_sq: float = 0.0
self._volume_pointer: int = 0
self._is_volume_window_full: bool = False
def reset(self):
"""重置所有状态"""
self._last_hawkes_unscaled = 0.0
self._hawkes_window = np.array([], dtype=np.float64)
self._volume_window.fill(0)
self._volume_sum = 0.0
self._volume_sum_sq = 0.0
self._volume_pointer = 0
self._is_volume_window_full = False
def initialize_state(self, initial_volumes: np.ndarray):
"""用历史数据批量初始化状态"""
normalized_volumes = []
for vol in initial_volumes:
self._update_volume_stats_incrementally(vol)
mean, std = self._get_current_volume_stats()
z_score = 0.0 if std <= 1e-9 else (vol - mean) / std
normalized_volumes.append(z_score)
temp_hawkes_history = np.zeros_like(normalized_volumes, dtype=np.float64)
if len(normalized_volumes) > 0:
temp_hawkes_history[0] = normalized_volumes[0]
for i in range(1, len(normalized_volumes)):
temp_hawkes_history[i] = temp_hawkes_history[i - 1] * self._hawkes_alpha + normalized_volumes[i]
self._last_hawkes_unscaled = temp_hawkes_history[-1] if len(temp_hawkes_history) > 0 else 0.0
self._hawkes_window = (temp_hawkes_history * self.hawkes_kappa)[-self.hawkes_lookback:]
def update_state_incrementally(self, latest_volume: float):
"""在每个bar上增量更新状态"""
self._update_volume_stats_incrementally(latest_volume)
mean, std = self._get_current_volume_stats()
normalized_volume = 0.0 if std <= 1e-9 else (latest_volume - mean) / std
new_hawkes_unscaled = self._last_hawkes_unscaled * self._hawkes_alpha + normalized_volume
self._last_hawkes_unscaled = new_hawkes_unscaled
new_hawkes_scaled = new_hawkes_unscaled * self.hawkes_kappa
if self._hawkes_window.size < self.hawkes_lookback:
self._hawkes_window = np.append(self._hawkes_window, new_hawkes_scaled)
else:
self._hawkes_window = np.roll(self._hawkes_window, -1)
self._hawkes_window[-1] = new_hawkes_scaled
def _update_volume_stats_incrementally(self, latest_volume: float):
oldest_volume = self._volume_window[self._volume_pointer]
self._volume_sum += latest_volume - oldest_volume
self._volume_sum_sq += latest_volume ** 2 - oldest_volume ** 2
self._volume_window[self._volume_pointer] = latest_volume
self._volume_pointer = (self._volume_pointer + 1) % self.volume_norm_n
if not self._is_volume_window_full and self._volume_pointer == 0:
self._is_volume_window_full = True
def _get_current_volume_stats(self) -> (float, float):
n = self.volume_norm_n if self._is_volume_window_full else self._volume_pointer
if n == 0: return 0.0, 0.0
mean = self._volume_sum / n
variance = max(0, (self._volume_sum_sq / n) - mean ** 2)
std = np.sqrt(variance)
return mean, std
def get_latest_hawkes_value(self) -> Optional[float]:
return self._hawkes_window[-1] if self._hawkes_window.size > 0 else None
def get_hawkes_quantile(self, percentile: float) -> Optional[float]:
return np.quantile(self._hawkes_window, percentile) if self._hawkes_window.size > 0 else None
class DualModeTrendlineHawkesStrategy(Strategy):
"""
趋势线与霍克斯过程双重确认策略 (V11 - 完全独立信号版):
- 为趋势(Trend)和均值回归(Reversion)策略分别维护一套完全独立的信号生成器。
- 每个策略使用各自的 trendline_n, hawkes_kappa, hawkes_lookback, volume_norm_n 参数。
- 信号生成完全分离,确保逻辑独立性。
"""
def __init__(
self,
context: Any,
main_symbol: str,
trend_enabled: bool = True,
reversion_enabled: bool = True,
conflict_resolution_mode: str = 'trend_priority',
trend_params: Dict[str, Any] = None,
reversion_params: Dict[str, Any] = None,
enable_log: bool = True,
indicators: Union[Indicator, List[Indicator]] = None,
):
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
self.main_symbol = main_symbol
self.trend_enabled = trend_enabled
self.reversion_enabled = reversion_enabled
if conflict_resolution_mode not in ['trend_priority', 'reversion_priority', 'none']:
raise ValueError("conflict_resolution_mode 必须是 'trend_priority', 'reversion_priority', 或 'none'")
self.conflict_resolution_mode = conflict_resolution_mode
default_params = {
"trade_volume": 1,
"order_direction": ["BUY", "SELL"],
"hawkes_entry_percent": 0.95,
"hawkes_exit_percent": 0.50,
"enable_atr_stop_loss": True,
"atr_period": 14,
"atr_multiplier": 2.0,
"trendline_n": 50,
"hawkes_kappa": 0.1,
"hawkes_lookback": 50,
"volume_norm_n": 50,
}
self.trend_params = default_params.copy()
if trend_params: self.trend_params.update(trend_params)
self.reversion_params = default_params.copy()
if reversion_params: self.reversion_params.update(reversion_params)
# --- 【核心修改】创建两个独立的信号生成器实例 ---
self.trend_generator = _SignalGenerator(
hawkes_kappa=self.trend_params['hawkes_kappa'],
hawkes_lookback=self.trend_params['hawkes_lookback'],
volume_norm_n=self.trend_params['volume_norm_n']
)
self.reversion_generator = _SignalGenerator(
hawkes_kappa=self.reversion_params['hawkes_kappa'],
hawkes_lookback=self.reversion_params['hawkes_lookback'],
volume_norm_n=self.reversion_params['volume_norm_n']
)
self.pos_meta: Dict[str, Dict[str, Any]] = {}
self.indicators = indicators or [Empty(), Empty()]
self._is_initialized = False
def on_init(self):
super().on_init()
self.pos_meta.clear()
self.trend_generator.reset()
self.reversion_generator.reset()
self._is_initialized = False
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
min_bars_required = max(
self.trend_params['trendline_n'] + 2, self.reversion_params['trendline_n'] + 2,
self.trend_params['hawkes_lookback'] + 2, self.reversion_params['hawkes_lookback'] + 2,
self.trend_params['volume_norm_n'] + 2, self.reversion_params['volume_norm_n'] + 2,
self.trend_params['atr_period'] + 2, self.reversion_params['atr_period'] + 2
)
if len(bar_history) < min_bars_required:
return
latest_volume = float(bar_history[-1].volume)
# --- 【核心修改】初始化或更新两个独立的生成器 ---
if not self._is_initialized:
initial_volumes = np.array([b.volume for b in bar_history[:-1]], dtype=float)
self.log("首次运行,正在初始化趋势信号生成器...")
self.trend_generator.initialize_state(initial_volumes)
self.log("正在初始化回归信号生成器...")
self.reversion_generator.initialize_state(initial_volumes)
self._is_initialized = True
self.trend_generator.update_state_incrementally(latest_volume)
self.reversion_generator.update_state_incrementally(latest_volume)
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(symbol)
pos = self.get_current_positions().get(symbol, 0)
# --- 平仓逻辑 ---
meta = self.pos_meta.get(symbol)
if meta and pos != 0:
strategy_type = meta.get('strategy_type', 'trend')
# 根据开仓类型选择正确的参数和生成器
params, generator = (self.trend_params, self.trend_generator) if strategy_type == 'trend' \
else (self.reversion_params, self.reversion_generator)
latest_hawkes_value = generator.get_latest_hawkes_value()
latest_hawkes_lower = generator.get_hawkes_quantile(params['hawkes_exit_percent'])
close_reason = None
if latest_hawkes_value is not None and latest_hawkes_lower is not None and latest_hawkes_value < latest_hawkes_lower:
close_reason = f"[{strategy_type.upper()}] 霍克斯出场信号(强度: {latest_hawkes_value:.4f} < 阈值: {latest_hawkes_lower:.4f})"
if params['enable_atr_stop_loss'] and 'stop_loss_price' in meta and meta['stop_loss_price'] is not None:
if (meta['direction'] == "BUY" and bar_history[-1].close < meta['stop_loss_price']) or \
(meta['direction'] == "SELL" and bar_history[-1].close > meta['stop_loss_price']):
close_reason = f"[{strategy_type.upper()}] ATR止损触发"
if close_reason:
self.log(close_reason)
self.send_market_order("CLOSE_LONG" if meta['direction'] == "BUY" else "CLOSE_SHORT", abs(pos))
if symbol in self.pos_meta: del self.pos_meta[symbol]
return
# --- 开仓逻辑 ---
if pos == 0:
trend_signal, reversion_signal = None, None
close_prices = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history])
prev_close, last_close = bar_history[-2].close, bar_history[-1].close
# 1. 检查趋势策略信号
if self.trend_enabled:
prices_for_trendline = close_prices[-self.trend_params['trendline_n'] - 1:-1]
trend_upper, trend_lower = calculate_latest_trendline_values(prices_for_trendline)
if trend_upper is not None:
upper_break = last_close > trend_upper and prev_close < trend_upper
lower_break = last_close < trend_lower and prev_close > trend_lower
hawkes_val = self.trend_generator.get_latest_hawkes_value()
hawkes_thresh = self.trend_generator.get_hawkes_quantile(self.trend_params['hawkes_entry_percent'])
if hawkes_val is not None and hawkes_thresh is not None and hawkes_val > hawkes_thresh and (
upper_break or lower_break):
direction = "BUY" if upper_break else "SELL"
if direction in self.trend_params['order_direction']:
trend_signal = direction
# 2. 检查均值回归策略信号
if self.reversion_enabled:
prices_for_trendline = close_prices[-self.reversion_params['trendline_n'] - 1:-1]
trend_upper, trend_lower = calculate_latest_trendline_values(prices_for_trendline)
if trend_upper is not None:
upper_break = last_close > trend_upper and prev_close < trend_upper
lower_break = last_close < trend_lower and prev_close > trend_lower
hawkes_val = self.reversion_generator.get_latest_hawkes_value()
hawkes_thresh = self.reversion_generator.get_hawkes_quantile(
self.reversion_params['hawkes_entry_percent'])
if hawkes_val is not None and hawkes_thresh is not None and hawkes_val > hawkes_thresh and (
upper_break or lower_break):
direction = "SELL" if upper_break else "BUY" # 方向相反
if direction in self.reversion_params['order_direction']:
reversion_signal = direction
# 3. 解决信号冲突和下单
final_direction, final_params, strategy_type, generator = None, None, None, None
if trend_signal and not reversion_signal:
final_direction, final_params, strategy_type, generator = trend_signal, self.trend_params, 'trend', self.trend_generator
elif not trend_signal and reversion_signal:
final_direction, final_params, strategy_type, generator = reversion_signal, self.reversion_params, 'reversion', self.reversion_generator
elif trend_signal and reversion_signal:
self.log(
f"开仓信号冲突: 趋势={trend_signal}, 回归={reversion_signal}. 模式: {self.conflict_resolution_mode}")
if self.conflict_resolution_mode == 'trend_priority':
final_direction, final_params, strategy_type, generator = trend_signal, self.trend_params, 'trend', self.trend_generator
elif self.conflict_resolution_mode == 'reversion_priority':
final_direction, final_params, strategy_type, generator = reversion_signal, self.reversion_params, 'reversion', self.reversion_generator
if final_direction:
sl_price = None
if final_params['enable_atr_stop_loss']:
atr_val = self._calculate_atr(bar_history[:-1], final_params['atr_period'])
if atr_val is not None:
sl_price = open_price - atr_val * final_params[
'atr_multiplier'] if final_direction == "BUY" else open_price + atr_val * final_params[
'atr_multiplier']
self.log(
f"[{strategy_type.upper()}] 开仓信号确认 (霍克斯强度: {generator.get_latest_hawkes_value():.4f} > 阈值: {generator.get_hawkes_quantile(final_params['hawkes_entry_percent']):.4f})")
self.send_open_order(final_direction, open_price, final_params['trade_volume'], sl_price, strategy_type)
# --- 辅助函数 (与之前版本相同) ---
def _calculate_atr(self, bar_history: List[Bar], period: int) -> Optional[float]:
# ... (代码不变)
if len(bar_history) < period + 1: return None
highs = np.array([b.high for b in bar_history], dtype=float)
lows = np.array([b.low for b in bar_history], dtype=float)
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history], dtype=float)
atr_values = talib.ATR(highs, lows, closes, timeperiod=period)
return atr_values[-1] if not np.isnan(atr_values[-1]) else None
def send_open_order(self, direction: str, entry_price: float, volume: int, stop_loss_price: Optional[float],
strategy_type: str):
# ... (代码不变)
current_time = self.get_current_time()
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_{current_time.strftime('%Y%m%d%H%M%S')}"
order = Order(id=order_id, symbol=self.symbol, direction="BUY" if direction == "BUY" else "SELL", volume=volume,
price_type="MARKET",
submitted_time=current_time, offset="OPEN")
self.send_order(order)
self.pos_meta[self.symbol] = {"direction": direction, "volume": volume, "entry_price": entry_price,
"stop_loss_price": stop_loss_price, "strategy_type": strategy_type}
self.log(f"[{strategy_type.upper()}] 发送开仓订单: {direction} {volume}")
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int):
# ... (代码不变)
current_time = self.get_current_time()
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_{current_time.strftime('%Y%m%d%H%M%S')}"
order = Order(id=order_id, symbol=self.symbol, direction=direction, volume=volume, price_type="MARKET",
submitted_time=current_time, offset="CLOSE")
self.send_order(order)
self.log(f"发送平仓订单: {direction} {volume}")
def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
# ... (代码不变)
super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(new_symbol)
self.pos_meta.clear()