SpectralStrategy更新

futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py

@@ -0,0 +1,285 @@
+import numpy as np
+from scipy.signal import stft
+from datetime import datetime, timedelta
+from typing import Optional, Any, List, Dict
+
+from src.core_data import Bar, Order
+from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
+from src.indicators.indicators import Empty, NormalizedATR, AtrVolatility, ZScoreATR
+from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
+
+
+# =============================================================================
+#  策略实现 (SpectralTrendStrategy)
+# =============================================================================
+
+class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
+    """
+    频域能量相变策略 - 捕获肥尾趋势
+
+    核心哲学:
+    1. 显式傅里叶变换: 直接分离低频(趋势)、高频(噪音)能量
+    2. 相变临界点: 仅当低频能量占比 > 阈值时入场
+    3. 低频交易: 每月仅2-5次信号，持仓数日捕获肥尾
+    4. 完全参数化: 无硬编码，适配任何市场时间结构
+
+    参数说明:
+    - bars_per_day: 市场每日K线数量 (e.g., 23 for 15min US markets)
+    - low_freq_days: 低频定义下限 (天), 默认2.0
+    - high_freq_days: 高频定义上限 (天), 默认1.0
+    """
+
+    def __init__(
+            self,
+            context: Any,
+            main_symbol: str,
+            enable_log: bool,
+            trade_volume: int,
+            # --- 【市场结构参数】 ---
+            bars_per_day: int = 23,  # 关键: 适配23根/天的市场
+            # --- 【频域核心参数】 ---
+            spectral_window_days: float = 2.0,  # STFT窗口大小(天)
+            low_freq_days: float = 2.0,  # 低频下限(天)
+            high_freq_days: float = 1.0,  # 高频上限(天)
+            trend_strength_threshold: float = 0.1,  # 相变临界值
+            exit_threshold: float = 0.4,  # 退出阈值
+            # --- 【持仓管理】 ---
+            max_hold_days: int = 10,  # 最大持仓天数
+            # --- 其他 ---
+            order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
+            indicators: Optional[List[Indicator]] = None,
+            model_indicator: Indicator = None,
+    ):
+        super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
+        if order_direction is None:
+            order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
+        if indicators is None:
+            indicators = [Empty(), Empty()]  # 保持兼容性
+
+        # --- 参数赋值 (完全参数化) ---
+        self.trade_volume = trade_volume
+        self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
+        self.spectral_window_days = spectral_window_days
+        self.low_freq_days = low_freq_days
+        self.high_freq_days = high_freq_days
+        self.trend_strength_threshold = trend_strength_threshold
+        self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
+        self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
+        self.order_direction = order_direction
+        if model_indicator is None:
+            model_indicator = Empty()
+        self.model_indicator = model_indicator
+
+        # --- 动态计算参数 ---
+        self.spectral_window = int(self.spectral_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
+        # 确保窗口大小为偶数 (STFT要求)
+        self.spectral_window = self.spectral_window if self.spectral_window % 2 == 0 else self.spectral_window + 1
+
+        # 频率边界 (cycles/day)
+        self.low_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.low_freq_days if self.low_freq_days > 0 else float('inf')
+        self.high_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.high_freq_days if self.high_freq_days > 0 else 0.0
+
+        # --- 内部状态变量 ---
+        self.main_symbol = main_symbol
+        self.order_id_counter = 0
+        self.indicators = indicators
+        self.entry_time = None  # 入场时间
+        self.position_direction = None  # 'LONG' or 'SHORT'
+        self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
+        self.last_dominant_freq = 0.0  # 主导周期(天)
+
+        self.log(f"SpectralTrendStrategy Initialized (bars/day={bars_per_day}, window={self.spectral_window} bars)")
+
+    def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
+        """每根K线开盘时被调用"""
+        self.symbol = symbol
+        bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
+        current_time = self.get_current_time()
+
+        self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
+
+        # 需要足够的数据 (STFT窗口 + 缓冲)
+        if len(bar_history) < self.spectral_window + 10:
+            if self.enable_log and len(bar_history) % 50 == 0:
+                self.log(f"Waiting for  {len(bar_history)}/{self.spectral_window + 10} bars")
+            return
+
+        position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
+
+        # 获取历史价格 (使用完整历史)
+        closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
+
+        # 【核心】计算频域趋势强度 (显式傅里叶)
+        trend_strength, dominant_freq = self.calculate_trend_strength(closes)
+        self.last_trend_strength = trend_strength
+        self.last_dominant_freq = dominant_freq
+
+        # 检查最大持仓时间 (防止极端事件)
+        if self.entry_time and (current_time - self.entry_time) >= timedelta(days=self.max_hold_days):
+            self.log(f"Max hold time reached ({self.max_hold_days} days). Forcing exit.")
+            self.close_all_positions()
+            self.entry_time = None
+            self.position_direction = None
+            return
+
+        # 核心逻辑：相变入场/退出
+        if self.trading:
+            if position_volume == 0:
+                self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
+            else:
+                self.manage_open_position(position_volume, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
+
+    def calculate_trend_strength(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, float):
+        """
+        【显式傅里叶】计算低频能量占比 (完全参数化)
+
+        步骤:
+        1. 价格归一化 (窗口内)
+        2. 短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) - 采样率=bars_per_day
+        3. 动态计算频段边界 (基于bars_per_day)
+        4. 趋势强度 = 低频能量 / (低频+高频能量)
+        """
+        # 1. 验证数据长度
+        if len(prices) < self.spectral_window:
+            return 0.0, 0.0
+
+        # 2. 价格归一化 (仅使用窗口内数据)
+        window_data = prices[-self.spectral_window:]
+        normalized = (window_data - np.mean(window_data)) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-8)
+
+        # 3. STFT (采样率=bars_per_day)
+        try:
+            # fs: 每天的样本数 (bars_per_day)
+            f, t, Zxx = stft(
+                normalized,
+                fs=self.bars_per_day,  # 关键: 适配市场结构
+                nperseg=self.spectral_window,
+                noverlap=max(0, self.spectral_window // 2),
+                boundary=None,
+                padded=False
+            )
+        except Exception as e:
+            self.log(f"STFT calculation error: {str(e)}")
+            return 0.0, 0.0
+
+        # 4. 过滤无效频率 (STFT返回频率范围: 0 到 fs/2)
+        valid_mask = (f >= 0) & (f <= self.bars_per_day / 2)
+        f = f[valid_mask]
+        Zxx = Zxx[valid_mask, :]
+
+        if Zxx.size == 0 or Zxx.shape[1] == 0:
+            return 0.0, 0.0
+
+        # 5. 计算最新时间点的能量
+        current_energy = np.abs(Zxx[:, -1]) ** 2
+
+        # 6. 动态频段定义 (cycles/day)
+        # 低频: 周期 > low_freq_days → 频率 < 1/low_freq_days
+        low_freq_mask = f < self.low_freq_bound
+        # 高频: 周期 < high_freq_days → 频率 > 1/high_freq_days
+        high_freq_mask = f > self.high_freq_bound
+
+        # 7. 能量计算
+        low_energy = np.sum(current_energy[low_freq_mask]) if np.any(low_freq_mask) else 0.0
+        high_energy = np.sum(current_energy[high_freq_mask]) if np.any(high_freq_mask) else 0.0
+        total_energy = low_energy + high_energy + 1e-8  # 防除零
+
+        # 8. 趋势强度 = 低频能量占比
+        trend_strength = low_energy / total_energy
+
+        # 9. 计算主导趋势周期 (天)
+        dominant_freq = 0.0
+        if np.any(low_freq_mask) and low_energy > 0:
+            # 找到低频段最大能量对应的频率
+            low_energies = current_energy[low_freq_mask]
+            max_idx = np.argmax(low_energies)
+            dominant_freq = 1.0 / (f[low_freq_mask][max_idx] + 1e-8)  # 转换为周期(天)
+
+        return trend_strength, dominant_freq
+
+    def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
+        """评估相变入场信号"""
+        # 仅当趋势强度跨越临界点且有明确周期时入场
+        self.log(
+            f"Strength={trend_strength:.2f}")
+        if (trend_strength > self.trend_strength_threshold
+                and self.model_indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple())):
+            direction = None
+
+            indicator = self.model_indicator
+
+            # 做多信号: 价格在窗口均值上方
+            closes = np.array([b.close for b in self.get_bar_history()[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
+            if "BUY" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) > np.mean(closes):
+                direction = "BUY" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "SELL"
+            # 做空信号: 价格在窗口均值下方
+            elif "SELL" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) < np.mean(closes):
+                direction = "SELL" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "BUY"
+
+            if direction:
+                self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
+                self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
+                self.position_direction = "LONG" if direction == "BUY" else "SHORT"
+
+    def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
+        """管理持仓：仅当相变逆转时退出"""
+        # 相变逆转条件: 趋势强度 < 退出阈值
+        if trend_strength < self.exit_threshold:
+            direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
+            self.log(f"Phase Transition Exit: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} < {self.exit_threshold}")
+            self.close_position(direction, abs(volume))
+            self.entry_time = None
+            self.position_direction = None
+
+    # --- 辅助函数区 ---
+    def close_all_positions(self):
+        """强制平仓所有头寸"""
+        positions = self.get_current_positions()
+        if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
+            direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
+            self.close_position(direction, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
+            self.log(f"Forced exit of {abs(positions[self.symbol])} contracts")
+
+    def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
+        self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
+
+    def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
+        order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
+        self.order_id_counter += 1
+        order = Order(
+            id=order_id,
+            symbol=self.symbol,
+            direction=direction,
+            volume=volume,
+            price_type="MARKET",
+            submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
+            offset=offset
+        )
+        self.send_order(order)
+
+    def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
+        order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
+        self.order_id_counter += 1
+        order = Order(
+            id=order_id,
+            symbol=self.symbol,
+            direction=direction,
+            volume=volume,
+            price_type="LIMIT",
+            submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
+            offset=offset,
+            limit_price=limit_price
+        )
+        self.send_order(order)
+
+    def on_init(self):
+        super().on_init()
+        self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
+        self.log("Strategy initialized. Waiting for phase transition signals...")
+
+    def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
+        super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
+        self.log(f"Rollover from {old_symbol} to {new_symbol}. Resetting position state.")
+        self.entry_time = None
+        self.position_direction = None
+        self.last_trend_strength = 0.0

futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py

@@ -0,0 +1,200 @@
+from typing import Any
+
+import numpy as np
+import pywt
+
+from src.core_data import Order
+from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
+
+
+# =============================================================================
+#  策略实现 (WaveletDynamicsStrategy - 全新动态分析策略)
+# =============================================================================
+
+class WaveletSignalNoiseStrategy(Strategy):
+    """
+    小波信噪比策略 (最终版)
+
+    核心哲学:
+    1. 信任小波: 策略完全基于小波变换最独特的“信号/噪音”分离能力。
+    2. 简洁因子: 使用一个核心因子——趋势信噪比(TNR)，衡量趋势的质量。
+    3. 可靠逻辑:
+       - 当信噪比高（趋势清晰）时入场。
+       - 当信噪比低（噪音过大）时出场。
+    """
+
+    def __init__(
+            self,
+            context: Any,
+            main_symbol: str,
+            enable_log: bool,
+            trade_volume: int,
+            # --- 【核心参数】 ---
+            bars_per_day: int = 23,
+            analysis_window_days: float = 2.0,  # 窗口长度适中即可
+            wavelet_family: str = 'db4',
+            # --- 【信噪比交易阈值】 ---
+            tnr_entry_threshold: float = 5,  # 入场阈值：信号强度至少是噪音的2倍
+            tnr_exit_threshold: float = 5,  # 离场阈值：信号强度不再显著高于噪音
+            # --- 【持仓管理】 ---
+            max_hold_days: int = 10,
+    ):
+        super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
+        # ... (参数赋值) ...
+        self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
+        self.analysis_window_days = analysis_window_days
+        self.wavelet = wavelet_family
+        self.tnr_entry_threshold = tnr_entry_threshold
+        self.tnr_exit_threshold = tnr_exit_threshold
+        self.trade_volume = trade_volume
+        self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
+
+        self.analysis_window = int(self.analysis_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
+        self.decomposition_level = pywt.dwt_max_level(self.analysis_window, self.wavelet)
+
+        self.entry_time = None
+        self.order_id_counter = 0
+        self.log("WaveletSignalNoiseStrategy Initialized.")
+
+    def calculate_trend_noise_ratio(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, np.array):
+        """
+        【最终核心】计算趋势信噪比(TNR)和内在趋势线
+        返回: (tnr_factor, trend_signal)
+        """
+        if len(prices) < self.analysis_window:
+            return 0.0, None
+
+        window_data = prices[-self.analysis_window:]
+
+        try:
+            coeffs = pywt.wavedec(window_data, self.wavelet, level=self.decomposition_level)
+
+            # 1. 重构内在趋势信号 (Signal)
+            trend_coeffs = [coeffs[0]] + [np.zeros_like(d) for d in coeffs[1:]]
+            trend_signal = pywt.waverec(trend_coeffs, self.wavelet)
+            trend_signal = trend_signal[:len(window_data)]
+
+            # 2. 重构噪音信号 (Noise)
+            noise_coeffs = [np.zeros_like(coeffs[0])] + coeffs[1:]
+            noise_signal = pywt.waverec(noise_coeffs, self.wavelet)
+            noise_signal = noise_signal[:len(window_data)]
+
+            # 3. 计算各自的强度 (标准差)
+            strength_trend = np.std(trend_signal)
+            strength_noise = np.std(noise_signal)
+
+            # 4. 计算信噪比因子
+            if strength_noise < 1e-9:  # 避免除以零
+                tnr_factor = np.inf
+            else:
+                tnr_factor = strength_trend / strength_noise
+
+            return tnr_factor, trend_signal
+
+        except Exception as e:
+            self.log(f"TNR calculation error: {e}", "ERROR")
+            return 0.0, None
+
+    def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
+        self.symbol = symbol
+        bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
+        position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
+
+        self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
+
+        if len(bar_history) < self.analysis_window:
+            return
+
+        closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history], dtype=float)
+        tnr_factor, trend_signal = self.calculate_trend_noise_ratio(closes)
+
+        if trend_signal is None: return
+
+        if position_volume == 0:
+            self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, tnr_factor, trend_signal)
+        else:
+            self.manage_open_position(position_volume, tnr_factor)
+
+    def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, tnr_factor: float, trend_signal: np.array):
+        """入场逻辑：信噪比达标 + 方向确认"""
+        if tnr_factor < self.tnr_entry_threshold:
+            return
+
+        direction = None
+        # 方向判断：内在趋势线的斜率
+        # if len(trend_signal) < 5: return
+
+        if trend_signal[-1] > trend_signal[-5]:
+            direction = "SELL"
+        elif trend_signal[-1] < trend_signal[-5]:
+            direction = "BUY"
+
+        if direction:
+            self.log(f"Entry Signal: {direction} | Trend-Noise Ratio={tnr_factor:.2f}")
+            self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
+            self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
+
+    def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, tnr_factor: float):
+        """出场逻辑：信噪比低于退出阈值"""
+        if tnr_factor < self.tnr_exit_threshold:
+            direction_str = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
+            self.log(f"Exit Signal: TNR ({tnr_factor:.2f}) < Threshold ({self.tnr_exit_threshold})")
+            self.close_position(direction_str, abs(volume))
+            self.entry_time = None
+
+    # --- 辅助函数区 (与之前版本相同) ---
+    # (此处省略，以保持简洁)
+
+    # --- 辅助函数区 (与之前版本相同) ---
+    # --- 辅助函数区 ---
+    def close_all_positions(self):
+        """强制平仓所有头寸"""
+        positions = self.get_current_positions()
+        if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
+            direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
+            self.close_position(direction, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
+            self.log(f"Forced exit of {abs(positions[self.symbol])} contracts")
+
+    def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
+        self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
+
+    def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
+        order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
+        self.order_id_counter += 1
+        order = Order(
+            id=order_id,
+            symbol=self.symbol,
+            direction=direction,
+            volume=volume,
+            price_type="MARKET",
+            submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
+            offset=offset
+        )
+        self.send_order(order)
+
+    def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
+        order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
+        self.order_id_counter += 1
+        order = Order(
+            id=order_id,
+            symbol=self.symbol,
+            direction=direction,
+            volume=volume,
+            price_type="LIMIT",
+            submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
+            offset=offset,
+            limit_price=limit_price
+        )
+        self.send_order(order)
+
+    def on_init(self):
+        super().on_init()
+        self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
+        self.log("Strategy initialized. Waiting for phase transition signals...")
+
+    def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
+        super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
+        self.log(f"Rollover from {old_symbol} to {new_symbol}. Resetting position state.")
+        self.entry_time = None
+        self.position_direction = None
+        self.last_trend_strength = 0.0

futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/utils.py

@@ -0,0 +1,103 @@
+import multiprocessing
+from typing import Tuple, Dict, Any, Optional
+
+from src.analysis.result_analyzer import ResultAnalyzer
+from src.backtest_engine import BacktestEngine
+from src.data_manager import DataManager
+
+
+# --- 单个回测任务函数 ---
+# 这个函数将在每个独立的进程中运行，因此它必须是自包含的
+def run_single_backtest(
+        combination: Tuple[float, float],  # 传入当前参数组合
+        common_config: Dict[str, Any]  # 传入公共配置 (如数据路径, 初始资金等)
+) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
+    """
+    运行单个参数组合的回测任务。
+    此函数将在一个独立的进程中执行。
+    """
+    p1_value, p2_value = combination
+
+    # 从 common_config 中获取必要的配置
+    symbol = common_config['symbol']
+    data_path = common_config['data_path']
+    initial_capital = common_config['initial_capital']
+    slippage_rate = common_config['slippage_rate']
+    commission_rate = common_config['commission_rate']
+    start_time = common_config['start_time']
+    end_time = common_config['end_time']
+    roll_over_mode = common_config['roll_over_mode']
+    # bar_duration_seconds = common_config['bar_duration_seconds'] # 如果DataManager需要，可以再传
+    param1_name = common_config['param1_name']
+    param2_name = common_config['param2_name']
+
+    # 每个进程内部独立初始化 DataManager 和 BacktestEngine
+    # 确保每个进程有自己的数据副本和模拟状态
+    data_manager = DataManager(
+        file_path=data_path,
+        symbol=symbol,
+        # bar_duration_seconds=bar_duration_seconds, # 如果DataManager需要，根据数据文件路径推断或者额外参数传入
+        # start_date=start_time.date(), # DataManager 现在通过 file_path 和 symbol 处理数据
+        # end_date=end_time.date(),
+    )
+    # data_manager.load_data() # DataManager 内部加载数据
+
+    strategy_parameters = {
+        'main_symbol': common_config['main_symbol'],
+        'trade_volume': 1,
+        param1_name: p1_value,  # 15分钟扫荡K线下影线占其总范围的最小比例。
+        param2_name: p2_value,  # 15分钟限价单的入场点位于扫荡K线低点到收盘价的斐波那契回撤比例。
+        'order_direction': common_config['order_direction'],
+        'enable_log': False,  # 建议在调试和测试时开启日志
+    }
+    # 打印当前进程正在处理的组合信息
+    # 注意：多进程打印会交错显示
+    print(f"--- 正在运行组合: {strategy_parameters} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid}) ---")
+
+    try:
+        # 初始化回测引擎
+        engine = BacktestEngine(
+            data_manager=data_manager,
+            strategy_class=common_config['strategy'],
+            strategy_params=strategy_parameters,
+            initial_capital=initial_capital,
+            slippage_rate=slippage_rate,
+            commission_rate=commission_rate,
+            roll_over_mode=True,  # 保持换月模式
+            start_time=common_config['start_time'],
+            end_time=common_config['end_time']
+        )
+        # 运行回测，传入时间范围
+        engine.run_backtest()
+
+        # 获取回测结果并分析
+        results = engine.get_backtest_results()
+        portfolio_snapshots = results["portfolio_snapshots"]
+        trade_history = results["trade_history"]
+        bars = results["all_bars"]
+        initial_capital_result = results["initial_capital"]
+
+        if portfolio_snapshots:
+            analyzer = ResultAnalyzer(portfolio_snapshots, trade_history, bars, initial_capital_result)
+
+            # analyzer.generate_report()
+            # analyzer.plot_performance()
+            metrics = analyzer.calculate_all_metrics()
+
+            # 将当前组合的参数和性能指标存储起来
+            result_entry = {**strategy_parameters, **metrics}
+            return result_entry
+        else:
+            print(
+                f"  组合 {strategy_parameters} 没有生成投资组合快照，无法进行结果分析。(PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
+            # 返回一个包含参数和默认0值的结果，以便追踪失败组合
+            return {**strategy_parameters, "total_return": 0.0, "annualized_return": 0.0, "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,
+                    "max_drawdown": 0.0, "error": "No portfolio snapshots"}
+    except Exception as e:
+        import traceback
+        error_trace = traceback.format_exc()
+        print(
+            f"  组合 {strategy_parameters} 运行失败: {e}\n{error_trace} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
+        # 返回错误信息，以便后续处理
+        return {**strategy_parameters, "error": str(e), "traceback": error_trace}
+