SpectralStrategy更新
This commit is contained in:
1375
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.ipynb
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1375
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.ipynb
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futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py
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futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py
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import numpy as np
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from scipy.signal import stft
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta
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from typing import Optional, Any, List, Dict
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from src.core_data import Bar, Order
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from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
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from src.indicators.indicators import Empty, NormalizedATR, AtrVolatility, ZScoreATR
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from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
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# =============================================================================
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# 策略实现 (SpectralTrendStrategy)
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# =============================================================================
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class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
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"""
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频域能量相变策略 - 捕获肥尾趋势
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核心哲学:
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1. 显式傅里叶变换: 直接分离低频(趋势)、高频(噪音)能量
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2. 相变临界点: 仅当低频能量占比 > 阈值时入场
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3. 低频交易: 每月仅2-5次信号,持仓数日捕获肥尾
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4. 完全参数化: 无硬编码,适配任何市场时间结构
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参数说明:
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- bars_per_day: 市场每日K线数量 (e.g., 23 for 15min US markets)
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- low_freq_days: 低频定义下限 (天), 默认2.0
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- high_freq_days: 高频定义上限 (天), 默认1.0
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"""
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def __init__(
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self,
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context: Any,
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main_symbol: str,
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enable_log: bool,
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trade_volume: int,
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# --- 【市场结构参数】 ---
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bars_per_day: int = 23, # 关键: 适配23根/天的市场
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# --- 【频域核心参数】 ---
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spectral_window_days: float = 2.0, # STFT窗口大小(天)
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low_freq_days: float = 2.0, # 低频下限(天)
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high_freq_days: float = 1.0, # 高频上限(天)
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trend_strength_threshold: float = 0.1, # 相变临界值
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exit_threshold: float = 0.4, # 退出阈值
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# --- 【持仓管理】 ---
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max_hold_days: int = 10, # 最大持仓天数
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# --- 其他 ---
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order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
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indicators: Indicator = None,
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model_indicator: Indicator = None,
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reverse: bool = False,
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):
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super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
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if order_direction is None:
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order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
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if indicators is None:
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indicators = Empty() # 保持兼容性
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# --- 参数赋值 (完全参数化) ---
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self.trade_volume = trade_volume
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self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
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self.spectral_window_days = spectral_window_days
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self.low_freq_days = low_freq_days
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self.high_freq_days = high_freq_days
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self.trend_strength_threshold = trend_strength_threshold
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self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
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self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
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self.order_direction = order_direction
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if model_indicator is None:
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model_indicator = Empty()
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self.model_indicator = model_indicator
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# --- 动态计算参数 ---
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self.spectral_window = int(self.spectral_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
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# 确保窗口大小为偶数 (STFT要求)
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self.spectral_window = self.spectral_window if self.spectral_window % 2 == 0 else self.spectral_window + 1
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# 频率边界 (cycles/day)
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self.low_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.low_freq_days if self.low_freq_days > 0 else float('inf')
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self.high_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.high_freq_days if self.high_freq_days > 0 else 0.0
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# --- 内部状态变量 ---
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self.main_symbol = main_symbol
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self.order_id_counter = 0
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self.indicators = indicators
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self.entry_time = None # 入场时间
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self.position_direction = None # 'LONG' or 'SHORT'
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self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
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self.last_dominant_freq = 0.0 # 主导周期(天)
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self.reverse = reverse
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self.log(f"SpectralTrendStrategy Initialized (bars/day={bars_per_day}, window={self.spectral_window} bars)")
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def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
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"""每根K线开盘时被调用"""
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self.symbol = symbol
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bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
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current_time = self.get_current_time()
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self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
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# 需要足够的数据 (STFT窗口 + 缓冲)
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if len(bar_history) < self.spectral_window + 10:
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if self.enable_log and len(bar_history) % 50 == 0:
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self.log(f"Waiting for {len(bar_history)}/{self.spectral_window + 10} bars")
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return
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position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
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# 获取历史价格 (使用完整历史)
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closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
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# 【核心】计算频域趋势强度 (显式傅里叶)
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trend_strength, dominant_freq = self.calculate_trend_strength(closes)
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self.last_trend_strength = trend_strength
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self.last_dominant_freq = dominant_freq
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# 检查最大持仓时间 (防止极端事件)
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if self.entry_time and (current_time - self.entry_time) >= timedelta(days=self.max_hold_days):
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self.log(f"Max hold time reached ({self.max_hold_days} days). Forcing exit.")
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self.close_all_positions()
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self.entry_time = None
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self.position_direction = None
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return
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# 核心逻辑:相变入场/退出
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if self.trading:
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if position_volume == 0:
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self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
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else:
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self.manage_open_position(position_volume, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
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def calculate_trend_strength(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, float):
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"""
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【显式傅里叶】计算低频能量占比 (完全参数化)
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步骤:
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1. 价格归一化 (窗口内)
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2. 短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) - 采样率=bars_per_day
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3. 动态计算频段边界 (基于bars_per_day)
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4. 趋势强度 = 低频能量 / (低频+高频能量)
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"""
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# 1. 验证数据长度
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if len(prices) < self.spectral_window:
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return 0.0, 0.0
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# 2. 价格归一化 (仅使用窗口内数据)
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window_data = prices[-self.spectral_window * 10:]
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normalized = (window_data - np.mean(window_data)) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-8)
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normalized = normalized[-self.spectral_window:]
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# 3. STFT (采样率=bars_per_day)
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try:
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# fs: 每天的样本数 (bars_per_day)
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f, t, Zxx = stft(
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normalized,
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fs=self.bars_per_day, # 关键: 适配市场结构
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nperseg=self.spectral_window,
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noverlap=max(0, self.spectral_window // 2),
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boundary=None,
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padded=False
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)
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except Exception as e:
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self.log(f"STFT calculation error: {str(e)}")
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return 0.0, 0.0
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# 4. 过滤无效频率 (STFT返回频率范围: 0 到 fs/2)
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valid_mask = (f >= 0) & (f <= self.bars_per_day / 2)
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f = f[valid_mask]
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Zxx = Zxx[valid_mask, :]
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if Zxx.size == 0 or Zxx.shape[1] == 0:
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return 0.0, 0.0
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# 5. 计算最新时间点的能量
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current_energy = np.abs(Zxx[:, -1]) ** 2
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# 6. 动态频段定义 (cycles/day)
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# 低频: 周期 > low_freq_days → 频率 < 1/low_freq_days
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low_freq_mask = f < self.low_freq_bound
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# 高频: 周期 < high_freq_days → 频率 > 1/high_freq_days
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high_freq_mask = f > self.high_freq_bound
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# 7. 能量计算
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low_energy = np.sum(current_energy[low_freq_mask]) if np.any(low_freq_mask) else 0.0
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high_energy = np.sum(current_energy[high_freq_mask]) if np.any(high_freq_mask) else 0.0
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total_energy = low_energy + high_energy + 1e-8 # 防除零
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# 8. 趋势强度 = 低频能量占比
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trend_strength = low_energy / total_energy
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# 9. 计算主导趋势周期 (天)
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dominant_freq = 0.0
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if np.any(low_freq_mask) and low_energy > 0:
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# 找到低频段最大能量对应的频率
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low_energies = current_energy[low_freq_mask]
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max_idx = np.argmax(low_energies)
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dominant_freq = 1.0 / (f[low_freq_mask][max_idx] + 1e-8) # 转换为周期(天)
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return trend_strength, dominant_freq
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def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
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"""评估相变入场信号"""
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# 仅当趋势强度跨越临界点且有明确周期时入场
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self.log(
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f"Strength={trend_strength:.2f}")
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if trend_strength > self.trend_strength_threshold:
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direction = None
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indicator = self.model_indicator
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# 做多信号: 价格在窗口均值上方
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closes = np.array([b.close for b in self.get_bar_history()[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
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if "BUY" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) > np.mean(closes):
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direction = "BUY" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "SELL"
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# 做空信号: 价格在窗口均值下方
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elif "SELL" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) < np.mean(closes):
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direction = "SELL" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "BUY"
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if direction and self.indicators.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()):
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if self.reverse:
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direction = "SELL" if direction == "BUY" else "BUY"
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self.log(f"Direction={direction}, Open Position")
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self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
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self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
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self.position_direction = "LONG" if direction == "BUY" else "SHORT"
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def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
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"""管理持仓:仅当相变逆转时退出"""
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# 相变逆转条件: 趋势强度 < 退出阈值
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if trend_strength < self.exit_threshold:
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direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
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self.log(f"Phase Transition Exit: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} < {self.exit_threshold}")
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self.close_position(direction, abs(volume))
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self.entry_time = None
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self.position_direction = None
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# --- 辅助函数区 ---
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def close_all_positions(self):
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"""强制平仓所有头寸"""
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positions = self.get_current_positions()
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if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
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direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
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self.close_position(direction, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
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self.log(f"Forced exit of {abs(positions[self.symbol])} contracts")
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def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
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self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
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def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
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order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
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self.order_id_counter += 1
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order = Order(
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id=order_id,
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symbol=self.symbol,
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direction=direction,
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volume=volume,
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price_type="MARKET",
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submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
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offset=offset
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)
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self.send_order(order)
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def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
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order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
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self.order_id_counter += 1
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order = Order(
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id=order_id,
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symbol=self.symbol,
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direction=direction,
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volume=volume,
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price_type="LIMIT",
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submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
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offset=offset,
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limit_price=limit_price
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)
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self.send_order(order)
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def on_init(self):
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super().on_init()
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self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
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self.log("Strategy initialized. Waiting for phase transition signals...")
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def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
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super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
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self.log(f"Rollover from {old_symbol} to {new_symbol}. Resetting position state.")
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self.entry_time = None
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self.position_direction = None
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self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
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1915
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.ipynb
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1915
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.ipynb
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File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
255
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py
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futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py
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import numpy as np
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import talib
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from scipy.signal import stft
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta
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from typing import Optional, Any, List, Dict
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from src.core_data import Bar, Order
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from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
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from src.indicators.indicators import Empty
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from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
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class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
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"""
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频域能量相变策略 - 极简回归版
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核心哲学:
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1. 频域 (STFT): 负责"判势" —— 现在的市场是震荡(噪音主导)还是趋势(低频主导)?
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2. 时域 (Regression): 负责"定向" —— 这个低频趋势是向上的还是向下的?
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这种组合避免了频域相位计算的复杂性和不稳定性,回归了量化的本质。
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"""
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def __init__(
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self,
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context: Any,
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main_symbol: str,
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enable_log: bool,
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trade_volume: int,
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# --- 市场参数 ---
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bars_per_day: int = 23,
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# --- 策略参数 ---
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spectral_window_days: float = 2.0,
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low_freq_days: float = 2.0,
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high_freq_days: float = 1.0,
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trend_strength_threshold: float = 0.2, # 强度阈值
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exit_threshold: float = 0.1, # 退出阈值
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slope_threshold: float = 0.0, # 斜率阈值 (0.05表示每根K线移动0.05个标准差)
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max_hold_days: int = 10,
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# --- 其他 ---
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order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
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indicators: Indicator = None,
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model_indicator: Indicator = None,
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reverse: bool = False,
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):
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super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
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if order_direction is None:
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order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
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self.trade_volume = trade_volume
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self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
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self.spectral_window_days = spectral_window_days
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self.low_freq_days = low_freq_days
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self.high_freq_days = high_freq_days
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self.trend_strength_threshold = trend_strength_threshold
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self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
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self.slope_threshold = slope_threshold
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self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
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self.order_direction = order_direction
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self.model_indicator = model_indicator or Empty()
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self.indicators = indicators or Empty()
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self.reverse = reverse
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# 计算窗口大小
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self.spectral_window = int(self.spectral_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
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# 确保偶数 (STFT偏好)
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if self.spectral_window % 2 != 0:
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self.spectral_window += 1
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# 频率边界
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self.low_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.low_freq_days if self.low_freq_days > 0 else float('inf')
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self.high_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.high_freq_days if self.high_freq_days > 0 else 0.0
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self.order_id_counter = 0
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self.entry_time = None
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self.position_direction = None
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||||
self.log(f"SpectralTrendStrategy (Regression) Init. Window: {self.spectral_window} bars")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
self.symbol = symbol
|
||||
bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
current_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
if len(bar_history) < self.spectral_window + 5:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 强制平仓检查
|
||||
if self.entry_time and (current_time - self.entry_time) >= timedelta(days=self.max_hold_days):
|
||||
self.close_all_positions()
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取数据并归一化
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算核心指标
|
||||
trend_strength, trend_slope = self.calculate_market_state(closes)
|
||||
|
||||
position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
if self.trading:
|
||||
if position_volume == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, trend_strength, trend_slope)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.manage_open_position(position_volume, trend_strength, trend_slope)
|
||||
|
||||
def calculate_market_state(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
【显式傅里叶】计算低频能量占比 (完全参数化)
|
||||
|
||||
步骤:
|
||||
1. 价格归一化 (窗口内)
|
||||
2. 短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) - 采样率=bars_per_day
|
||||
3. 动态计算频段边界 (基于bars_per_day)
|
||||
4. 趋势强度 = 低频能量 / (低频+高频能量)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
# 1. 验证数据长度
|
||||
if len(prices) < self.spectral_window:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 价格归一化 (仅使用窗口内数据)
|
||||
window_data = prices[-self.spectral_window:]
|
||||
normalized = (window_data - np.mean(window_data)) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-8)
|
||||
normalized = normalized[-self.spectral_window:]
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. STFT (采样率=bars_per_day)
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# fs: 每天的样本数 (bars_per_day)
|
||||
f, t, Zxx = stft(
|
||||
normalized,
|
||||
fs=self.bars_per_day, # 关键: 适配市场结构
|
||||
nperseg=self.spectral_window,
|
||||
noverlap=max(0, self.spectral_window // 2),
|
||||
boundary=None,
|
||||
padded=False
|
||||
)
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
self.log(f"STFT calculation error: {str(e)}")
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 过滤无效频率 (STFT返回频率范围: 0 到 fs/2)
|
||||
valid_mask = (f >= 0) & (f <= self.bars_per_day / 2)
|
||||
f = f[valid_mask]
|
||||
Zxx = Zxx[valid_mask, :]
|
||||
|
||||
if Zxx.size == 0 or Zxx.shape[1] == 0:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 计算最新时间点的能量
|
||||
current_energy = np.abs(Zxx[:, -1]) ** 2
|
||||
|
||||
# 6. 动态频段定义 (cycles/day)
|
||||
# 低频: 周期 > low_freq_days → 频率 < 1/low_freq_days
|
||||
low_freq_mask = f < self.low_freq_bound
|
||||
# 高频: 周期 < high_freq_days → 频率 > 1/high_freq_days
|
||||
high_freq_mask = f > self.high_freq_bound
|
||||
|
||||
# 7. 能量计算
|
||||
low_energy = np.sum(current_energy[low_freq_mask]) if np.any(low_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
high_energy = np.sum(current_energy[high_freq_mask]) if np.any(high_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
total_energy = low_energy + high_energy + 1e-8 # 防除零
|
||||
|
||||
# 8. 趋势强度 = 低频能量占比
|
||||
trend_strength = low_energy / total_energy
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 3. 时域分析 (Regression) - 只负责"方向" ---
|
||||
# 使用最小二乘法拟合一条直线 y = kx + b
|
||||
# x 是时间序列 [0, 1, 2...], y 是归一化价格
|
||||
# slope 代表:每经过一根K线,价格变化多少个标准差
|
||||
x = np.arange(len(normalized))
|
||||
slope, intercept = np.polyfit(x, normalized, 1)
|
||||
|
||||
return trend_strength, slope
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, trend_strength: float, trend_slope: float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
入场逻辑:
|
||||
当频域告诉我们"有趋势"(Strength高),且时域告诉我们"方向明确"(Slope陡峭)时入场。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
# 1. 滤除噪音震荡 (STFT关卡)
|
||||
if trend_strength > self.trend_strength_threshold:
|
||||
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 确认方向 (回归关卡)
|
||||
# slope > 0.05 意味着趋势向上且有一定力度
|
||||
if "BUY" in self.order_direction and trend_slope > self.slope_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "BUY"
|
||||
# slope < -0.05 意味着趋势向下且有一定力度
|
||||
elif "SELL" in self.order_direction and trend_slope < -self.slope_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "SELL"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction:
|
||||
# 辅助指标过滤
|
||||
if not self.indicators.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()):
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 反向逻辑
|
||||
direction = direction
|
||||
if not self.model_indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()):
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if direction == "BUY" else "BUY"
|
||||
if self.reverse:
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if direction == "BUY" else "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"Signal: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} | Slope={trend_slope:.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
self.position_direction = "LONG" if direction == "BUY" else "SHORT"
|
||||
|
||||
def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, trend_strength: float, trend_slope: float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
离场逻辑:
|
||||
仅依赖频域能量。只要低频能量依然主导,说明趋势(无论方向)未被破坏。
|
||||
一旦能量降到 exit_threshold 以下,说明市场进入混乱/震荡,离场观望。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
if trend_strength < self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"Exit: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} < {self.exit_threshold}")
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(volume))
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 交易辅助 ---
|
||||
def close_all_positions(self):
|
||||
positions = self.get_current_positions()
|
||||
if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
|
||||
dir = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.close_position(dir, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
|
||||
|
||||
def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MKT_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id, symbol=self.symbol, direction=direction, volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET", submitted_time=self.get_current_time(), offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_LMT_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id, symbol=self.symbol, direction=direction, volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="LIMIT", submitted_time=self.get_current_time(), offset=offset,
|
||||
limit_price=limit_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
193
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy3.py
Normal file
193
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy3.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,193 @@
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
from typing import Optional, Any, List
|
||||
from src.core_data import Bar, Order
|
||||
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class SemiVarianceAsymmetryStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
已实现半方差不对称策略 (RSVA)
|
||||
|
||||
核心原理:
|
||||
放弃"阈值计数",改用"波动能量占比"。
|
||||
因子 = (上行波动能量 - 下行波动能量) / 总波动能量
|
||||
|
||||
优势:
|
||||
1. 自适应:自动适应2021的高波动和2023的低波动,无需调整阈值。
|
||||
2. 灵敏:能捕捉到没有大阳线但持续上涨的"蠕动趋势"。
|
||||
3. 稳健:使用平方项(Variance)而非三次方(Skewness),对异常值更鲁棒。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
context: Any,
|
||||
main_symbol: str,
|
||||
enable_log: bool,
|
||||
trade_volume: int,
|
||||
# --- 窗口参数 ---
|
||||
season_days: int = 20, # 计算日内季节性基准的回溯天数
|
||||
calc_window: int = 120, # 计算不对称因子的窗口 (约5天)
|
||||
cycle_length: int = 23, # 固定周期 (每天23根Bar)
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 信号阈值 ---
|
||||
# RSVA 范围是 [-1, 1]。
|
||||
# 0.2 表示上涨能量比下跌能量多20% (即 60% vs 40%),是一个显著的失衡信号。
|
||||
entry_threshold: float = 0.2,
|
||||
exit_threshold: float = 0.05,
|
||||
|
||||
order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
|
||||
):
|
||||
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
|
||||
if order_direction is None:
|
||||
order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
|
||||
|
||||
self.trade_volume = trade_volume
|
||||
self.season_days = season_days
|
||||
self.calc_window = calc_window
|
||||
self.cycle_length = cycle_length
|
||||
self.entry_threshold = entry_threshold
|
||||
self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
|
||||
self.order_direction = order_direction
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算最小历史需求
|
||||
# 我们需要: calc_window 个标准化数据
|
||||
# 每个标准化数据需要回溯: season_days * cycle_length
|
||||
self.min_history = self.calc_window + (self.season_days * self.cycle_length)
|
||||
|
||||
# 缓冲区设大一点,避免频繁触发边界检查
|
||||
self.calc_buffer_size = self.min_history + 100
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"RSVA Strategy Init: Window={calc_window}, Thresh={entry_threshold}")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
# 1. 获取历史数据 (切片优化)
|
||||
all_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
total_len = len(all_history)
|
||||
|
||||
if total_len < self.min_history:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 只取计算所需的最后一段数据,保证计算复杂度恒定
|
||||
start_idx = max(0, total_len - self.calc_buffer_size)
|
||||
relevant_bars = all_history[start_idx:]
|
||||
|
||||
# 转为 numpy array
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in relevant_bars])
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 计算对数收益率 (Log Returns)
|
||||
# 对数收益率消除了价格水平(Price Level)的影响
|
||||
log_rets = np.diff(np.log(closes))
|
||||
current_idx = len(log_rets) - 1
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. 标准化收益率计算 (De-seasonalization)
|
||||
# 这一步至关重要:剔除日内季节性(早盘波动大、午盘波动小)的干扰
|
||||
std_rets = []
|
||||
|
||||
# 循环计算过去 calc_window 个点的标准化值
|
||||
for i in range(self.calc_window):
|
||||
target_idx = current_idx - i
|
||||
|
||||
# 高效切片:利用 stride=cycle_length 提取同一时间槽的历史
|
||||
# slot_history 包含 [t, t-23, t-46, ...]
|
||||
slot_history = log_rets[target_idx::-self.cycle_length]
|
||||
|
||||
# 截取 season_days
|
||||
if len(slot_history) > self.season_days:
|
||||
slot_history = slot_history[:self.season_days]
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算该时刻的基准波动率
|
||||
if len(slot_history) < 5:
|
||||
# 降级处理:样本不足时用近期全局波动率
|
||||
slot_vol = np.std(log_rets[-self.cycle_length:]) + 1e-9
|
||||
else:
|
||||
slot_vol = np.std(slot_history) + 1e-9
|
||||
|
||||
# 标准化 (Z-Score)
|
||||
std_ret = log_rets[target_idx] / slot_vol
|
||||
std_rets.append(std_ret)
|
||||
|
||||
# 转为数组 (注意:std_rets 是倒序的,但这不影响平方和计算)
|
||||
std_rets_arr = np.array(std_rets)
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 【核心】计算已实现半方差不对称性 (RSVA)
|
||||
|
||||
# 分离正收益和负收益
|
||||
pos_rets = std_rets_arr[std_rets_arr > 0]
|
||||
neg_rets = std_rets_arr[std_rets_arr < 0]
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算上行能量 (Upside Variance) 和 下行能量 (Downside Variance)
|
||||
rv_pos = np.sum(pos_rets ** 2)
|
||||
rv_neg = np.sum(neg_rets ** 2)
|
||||
total_rv = rv_pos + rv_neg + 1e-9 # 防止除零
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算因子: [-1, 1]
|
||||
# > 0 说明上涨更有力(或更频繁),< 0 说明下跌主导
|
||||
rsva_factor = (rv_pos - rv_neg) / total_rv
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 交易逻辑
|
||||
current_pos = self.get_current_positions().get(symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
self.log_status(rsva_factor, rv_pos, rv_neg, current_pos)
|
||||
|
||||
if current_pos == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry(rsva_factor)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.evaluate_exit(current_pos, rsva_factor)
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry(self, factor: float):
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# 因子 > 0.2: 哪怕没有极端K线,只要累计的上涨能量显著压过下跌能量,就开仓
|
||||
if factor > self.entry_threshold:
|
||||
if "BUY" in self.order_direction:
|
||||
direction = "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
elif factor < -self.entry_threshold:
|
||||
if "SELL" in self.order_direction:
|
||||
direction = "SELL"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction:
|
||||
self.log(f"ENTRY: {direction} | RSVA={factor:.4f}")
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_exit(self, volume: int, factor: float):
|
||||
do_exit = False
|
||||
reason = ""
|
||||
|
||||
# 当多空能量趋于平衡 (因子回到 0 附近),说明趋势动能耗尽,平仓
|
||||
# 这种离场方式对震荡市非常友好:一旦陷入震荡,rv_pos 和 rv_neg 会迅速接近,因子归零
|
||||
if volume > 0 and factor < self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
do_exit = True
|
||||
reason = f"Bull Energy Fade (RSVA={factor:.4f})"
|
||||
|
||||
elif volume < 0 and factor > -self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
do_exit = True
|
||||
reason = f"Bear Energy Fade (RSVA={factor:.4f})"
|
||||
|
||||
if do_exit:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"EXIT: {reason}")
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, abs(volume), "CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
# 严格遵守要求:使用 get_current_time()
|
||||
current_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=f"{self.main_symbol}_{direction}_{current_time.timestamp()}",
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET",
|
||||
submitted_time=current_time,
|
||||
offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def log_status(self, factor: float, pos_e: float, neg_e: float, current_pos: int):
|
||||
if self.enable_log:
|
||||
# 仅在有持仓或信号明显时打印
|
||||
if current_pos != 0 or abs(factor) > self.entry_threshold * 0.8:
|
||||
self.log(f"Status: Pos={current_pos} | RSVA={factor:.4f} | Energy(+/-)={pos_e:.1f}/{neg_e:.1f}")
|
||||
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
108
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/utils.py
Normal file
108
futures_trading_strategies/MA/Spectral/utils.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
|
||||
import multiprocessing
|
||||
from typing import Tuple, Dict, Any, Optional
|
||||
|
||||
from src.analysis.result_analyzer import ResultAnalyzer
|
||||
from src.backtest_engine import BacktestEngine
|
||||
from src.data_manager import DataManager
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 单个回测任务函数 ---
|
||||
# 这个函数将在每个独立的进程中运行,因此它必须是自包含的
|
||||
def run_single_backtest(
|
||||
combination: Tuple[float, float], # 传入当前参数组合
|
||||
common_config: Dict[str, Any] # 传入公共配置 (如数据路径, 初始资金等)
|
||||
) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
运行单个参数组合的回测任务。
|
||||
此函数将在一个独立的进程中执行。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
p1_value, p2_value = combination
|
||||
|
||||
# 从 common_config 中获取必要的配置
|
||||
symbol = common_config['symbol']
|
||||
data_path = common_config['data_path']
|
||||
initial_capital = common_config['initial_capital']
|
||||
slippage_rate = common_config['slippage_rate']
|
||||
commission_rate = common_config['commission_rate']
|
||||
start_time = common_config['start_time']
|
||||
end_time = common_config['end_time']
|
||||
roll_over_mode = common_config['roll_over_mode']
|
||||
# bar_duration_seconds = common_config['bar_duration_seconds'] # 如果DataManager需要,可以再传
|
||||
param1_name = common_config['param1_name']
|
||||
param2_name = common_config['param2_name']
|
||||
|
||||
# 每个进程内部独立初始化 DataManager 和 BacktestEngine
|
||||
# 确保每个进程有自己的数据副本和模拟状态
|
||||
data_manager = DataManager(
|
||||
file_path=data_path,
|
||||
symbol=symbol,
|
||||
# bar_duration_seconds=bar_duration_seconds, # 如果DataManager需要,根据数据文件路径推断或者额外参数传入
|
||||
# start_date=start_time.date(), # DataManager 现在通过 file_path 和 symbol 处理数据
|
||||
# end_date=end_time.date(),
|
||||
)
|
||||
# data_manager.load_data() # DataManager 内部加载数据
|
||||
|
||||
strategy_parameters = {
|
||||
'main_symbol': common_config['main_symbol'],
|
||||
'trade_volume': 1,
|
||||
param1_name: p1_value, # 15分钟扫荡K线下影线占其总范围的最小比例。
|
||||
param2_name: p2_value, # 15分钟限价单的入场点位于扫荡K线低点到收盘价的斐波那契回撤比例。
|
||||
'order_direction': common_config['order_direction'],
|
||||
'enable_log': False, # 建议在调试和测试时开启日志
|
||||
}
|
||||
# strategy_parameters['spectral_window_days'] = 2
|
||||
strategy_parameters['low_freq_days'] = strategy_parameters['spectral_window_days']
|
||||
strategy_parameters['high_freq_days'] = int(strategy_parameters['spectral_window_days'] / 2)
|
||||
strategy_parameters['exit_threshold'] = max(strategy_parameters['trend_strength_threshold'] - 0.3, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
# 打印当前进程正在处理的组合信息
|
||||
# 注意:多进程打印会交错显示
|
||||
print(f"--- 正在运行组合: {strategy_parameters} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid}) ---")
|
||||
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# 初始化回测引擎
|
||||
engine = BacktestEngine(
|
||||
data_manager=data_manager,
|
||||
strategy_class=common_config['strategy'],
|
||||
strategy_params=strategy_parameters,
|
||||
initial_capital=initial_capital,
|
||||
slippage_rate=slippage_rate,
|
||||
commission_rate=commission_rate,
|
||||
roll_over_mode=True, # 保持换月模式
|
||||
start_time=common_config['start_time'],
|
||||
end_time=common_config['end_time']
|
||||
)
|
||||
# 运行回测,传入时间范围
|
||||
engine.run_backtest()
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取回测结果并分析
|
||||
results = engine.get_backtest_results()
|
||||
portfolio_snapshots = results["portfolio_snapshots"]
|
||||
trade_history = results["trade_history"]
|
||||
bars = results["all_bars"]
|
||||
initial_capital_result = results["initial_capital"]
|
||||
|
||||
if portfolio_snapshots:
|
||||
analyzer = ResultAnalyzer(portfolio_snapshots, trade_history, bars, initial_capital_result)
|
||||
|
||||
# analyzer.generate_report()
|
||||
# analyzer.plot_performance()
|
||||
metrics = analyzer.calculate_all_metrics()
|
||||
|
||||
# 将当前组合的参数和性能指标存储起来
|
||||
result_entry = {**strategy_parameters, **metrics}
|
||||
return result_entry
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print(
|
||||
f" 组合 {strategy_parameters} 没有生成投资组合快照,无法进行结果分析。(PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
|
||||
# 返回一个包含参数和默认0值的结果,以便追踪失败组合
|
||||
return {**strategy_parameters, "total_return": 0.0, "annualized_return": 0.0, "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,
|
||||
"max_drawdown": 0.0, "error": "No portfolio snapshots"}
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
import traceback
|
||||
error_trace = traceback.format_exc()
|
||||
print(
|
||||
f" 组合 {strategy_parameters} 运行失败: {e}\n{error_trace} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
|
||||
# 返回错误信息,以便后续处理
|
||||
return {**strategy_parameters, "error": str(e), "traceback": error_trace}
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取历史价格 (使用完整历史)
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history], dtype=float)
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
|
||||
# 【核心】计算频域趋势强度 (显式傅里叶)
|
||||
trend_strength, dominant_freq = self.calculate_trend_strength(closes)
|
||||
|
||||
26332
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.ipynb
Normal file
26332
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.ipynb
Normal file
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
285
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py
Normal file
285
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,285 @@
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
from scipy.signal import stft
|
||||
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
||||
from typing import Optional, Any, List, Dict
|
||||
|
||||
from src.core_data import Bar, Order
|
||||
from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
|
||||
from src.indicators.indicators import Empty, NormalizedATR, AtrVolatility, ZScoreATR
|
||||
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# =============================================================================
|
||||
# 策略实现 (SpectralTrendStrategy)
|
||||
# =============================================================================
|
||||
|
||||
class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
频域能量相变策略 - 捕获肥尾趋势
|
||||
|
||||
核心哲学:
|
||||
1. 显式傅里叶变换: 直接分离低频(趋势)、高频(噪音)能量
|
||||
2. 相变临界点: 仅当低频能量占比 > 阈值时入场
|
||||
3. 低频交易: 每月仅2-5次信号,持仓数日捕获肥尾
|
||||
4. 完全参数化: 无硬编码,适配任何市场时间结构
|
||||
|
||||
参数说明:
|
||||
- bars_per_day: 市场每日K线数量 (e.g., 23 for 15min US markets)
|
||||
- low_freq_days: 低频定义下限 (天), 默认2.0
|
||||
- high_freq_days: 高频定义上限 (天), 默认1.0
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
context: Any,
|
||||
main_symbol: str,
|
||||
enable_log: bool,
|
||||
trade_volume: int,
|
||||
# --- 【市场结构参数】 ---
|
||||
bars_per_day: int = 23, # 关键: 适配23根/天的市场
|
||||
# --- 【频域核心参数】 ---
|
||||
spectral_window_days: float = 2.0, # STFT窗口大小(天)
|
||||
low_freq_days: float = 2.0, # 低频下限(天)
|
||||
high_freq_days: float = 1.0, # 高频上限(天)
|
||||
trend_strength_threshold: float = 0.1, # 相变临界值
|
||||
exit_threshold: float = 0.4, # 退出阈值
|
||||
# --- 【持仓管理】 ---
|
||||
max_hold_days: int = 10, # 最大持仓天数
|
||||
# --- 其他 ---
|
||||
order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
|
||||
indicators: Optional[List[Indicator]] = None,
|
||||
model_indicator: Indicator = None,
|
||||
):
|
||||
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
|
||||
if order_direction is None:
|
||||
order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
|
||||
if indicators is None:
|
||||
indicators = [Empty(), Empty()] # 保持兼容性
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 参数赋值 (完全参数化) ---
|
||||
self.trade_volume = trade_volume
|
||||
self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
|
||||
self.spectral_window_days = spectral_window_days
|
||||
self.low_freq_days = low_freq_days
|
||||
self.high_freq_days = high_freq_days
|
||||
self.trend_strength_threshold = trend_strength_threshold
|
||||
self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
|
||||
self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
|
||||
self.order_direction = order_direction
|
||||
if model_indicator is None:
|
||||
model_indicator = Empty()
|
||||
self.model_indicator = model_indicator
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 动态计算参数 ---
|
||||
self.spectral_window = int(self.spectral_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
|
||||
# 确保窗口大小为偶数 (STFT要求)
|
||||
self.spectral_window = self.spectral_window if self.spectral_window % 2 == 0 else self.spectral_window + 1
|
||||
|
||||
# 频率边界 (cycles/day)
|
||||
self.low_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.low_freq_days if self.low_freq_days > 0 else float('inf')
|
||||
self.high_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.high_freq_days if self.high_freq_days > 0 else 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 内部状态变量 ---
|
||||
self.main_symbol = main_symbol
|
||||
self.order_id_counter = 0
|
||||
self.indicators = indicators
|
||||
self.entry_time = None # 入场时间
|
||||
self.position_direction = None # 'LONG' or 'SHORT'
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
|
||||
self.last_dominant_freq = 0.0 # 主导周期(天)
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"SpectralTrendStrategy Initialized (bars/day={bars_per_day}, window={self.spectral_window} bars)")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
"""每根K线开盘时被调用"""
|
||||
self.symbol = symbol
|
||||
bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
current_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
# 需要足够的数据 (STFT窗口 + 缓冲)
|
||||
if len(bar_history) < self.spectral_window + 10:
|
||||
if self.enable_log and len(bar_history) % 50 == 0:
|
||||
self.log(f"Waiting for {len(bar_history)}/{self.spectral_window + 10} bars")
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取历史价格 (使用完整历史)
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
|
||||
# 【核心】计算频域趋势强度 (显式傅里叶)
|
||||
trend_strength, dominant_freq = self.calculate_trend_strength(closes)
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = trend_strength
|
||||
self.last_dominant_freq = dominant_freq
|
||||
|
||||
# 检查最大持仓时间 (防止极端事件)
|
||||
if self.entry_time and (current_time - self.entry_time) >= timedelta(days=self.max_hold_days):
|
||||
self.log(f"Max hold time reached ({self.max_hold_days} days). Forcing exit.")
|
||||
self.close_all_positions()
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 核心逻辑:相变入场/退出
|
||||
if self.trading:
|
||||
if position_volume == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.manage_open_position(position_volume, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
|
||||
|
||||
def calculate_trend_strength(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
【显式傅里叶】计算低频能量占比 (完全参数化)
|
||||
|
||||
步骤:
|
||||
1. 价格归一化 (窗口内)
|
||||
2. 短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) - 采样率=bars_per_day
|
||||
3. 动态计算频段边界 (基于bars_per_day)
|
||||
4. 趋势强度 = 低频能量 / (低频+高频能量)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
# 1. 验证数据长度
|
||||
if len(prices) < self.spectral_window:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 价格归一化 (仅使用窗口内数据)
|
||||
window_data = prices[-self.spectral_window:]
|
||||
normalized = (window_data - np.mean(window_data)) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-8)
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. STFT (采样率=bars_per_day)
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# fs: 每天的样本数 (bars_per_day)
|
||||
f, t, Zxx = stft(
|
||||
normalized,
|
||||
fs=self.bars_per_day, # 关键: 适配市场结构
|
||||
nperseg=self.spectral_window,
|
||||
noverlap=max(0, self.spectral_window // 2),
|
||||
boundary=None,
|
||||
padded=False
|
||||
)
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
self.log(f"STFT calculation error: {str(e)}")
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 过滤无效频率 (STFT返回频率范围: 0 到 fs/2)
|
||||
valid_mask = (f >= 0) & (f <= self.bars_per_day / 2)
|
||||
f = f[valid_mask]
|
||||
Zxx = Zxx[valid_mask, :]
|
||||
|
||||
if Zxx.size == 0 or Zxx.shape[1] == 0:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 计算最新时间点的能量
|
||||
current_energy = np.abs(Zxx[:, -1]) ** 2
|
||||
|
||||
# 6. 动态频段定义 (cycles/day)
|
||||
# 低频: 周期 > low_freq_days → 频率 < 1/low_freq_days
|
||||
low_freq_mask = f < self.low_freq_bound
|
||||
# 高频: 周期 < high_freq_days → 频率 > 1/high_freq_days
|
||||
high_freq_mask = f > self.high_freq_bound
|
||||
|
||||
# 7. 能量计算
|
||||
low_energy = np.sum(current_energy[low_freq_mask]) if np.any(low_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
high_energy = np.sum(current_energy[high_freq_mask]) if np.any(high_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
total_energy = low_energy + high_energy + 1e-8 # 防除零
|
||||
|
||||
# 8. 趋势强度 = 低频能量占比
|
||||
trend_strength = low_energy / total_energy
|
||||
|
||||
# 9. 计算主导趋势周期 (天)
|
||||
dominant_freq = 0.0
|
||||
if np.any(low_freq_mask) and low_energy > 0:
|
||||
# 找到低频段最大能量对应的频率
|
||||
low_energies = current_energy[low_freq_mask]
|
||||
max_idx = np.argmax(low_energies)
|
||||
dominant_freq = 1.0 / (f[low_freq_mask][max_idx] + 1e-8) # 转换为周期(天)
|
||||
|
||||
return trend_strength, dominant_freq
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
|
||||
"""评估相变入场信号"""
|
||||
# 仅当趋势强度跨越临界点且有明确周期时入场
|
||||
self.log(
|
||||
f"Strength={trend_strength:.2f}")
|
||||
if (trend_strength > self.trend_strength_threshold
|
||||
and self.model_indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple())):
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
indicator = self.model_indicator
|
||||
|
||||
# 做多信号: 价格在窗口均值上方
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in self.get_bar_history()[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
if "BUY" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) > np.mean(closes):
|
||||
direction = "BUY" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "SELL"
|
||||
# 做空信号: 价格在窗口均值下方
|
||||
elif "SELL" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) < np.mean(closes):
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction:
|
||||
self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
self.position_direction = "LONG" if direction == "BUY" else "SHORT"
|
||||
|
||||
def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
|
||||
"""管理持仓:仅当相变逆转时退出"""
|
||||
# 相变逆转条件: 趋势强度 < 退出阈值
|
||||
if trend_strength < self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"Phase Transition Exit: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} < {self.exit_threshold}")
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(volume))
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 辅助函数区 ---
|
||||
def close_all_positions(self):
|
||||
"""强制平仓所有头寸"""
|
||||
positions = self.get_current_positions()
|
||||
if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
|
||||
self.log(f"Forced exit of {abs(positions[self.symbol])} contracts")
|
||||
|
||||
def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id,
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET",
|
||||
submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
|
||||
offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id,
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="LIMIT",
|
||||
submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
|
||||
offset=offset,
|
||||
limit_price=limit_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def on_init(self):
|
||||
super().on_init()
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
self.log("Strategy initialized. Waiting for phase transition signals...")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
|
||||
super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
|
||||
self.log(f"Rollover from {old_symbol} to {new_symbol}. Resetting position state.")
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
|
||||
200
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py
Normal file
200
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,200 @@
|
||||
from typing import Any
|
||||
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
import pywt
|
||||
|
||||
from src.core_data import Order
|
||||
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# =============================================================================
|
||||
# 策略实现 (WaveletDynamicsStrategy - 全新动态分析策略)
|
||||
# =============================================================================
|
||||
|
||||
class WaveletSignalNoiseStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
小波信噪比策略 (最终版)
|
||||
|
||||
核心哲学:
|
||||
1. 信任小波: 策略完全基于小波变换最独特的“信号/噪音”分离能力。
|
||||
2. 简洁因子: 使用一个核心因子——趋势信噪比(TNR),衡量趋势的质量。
|
||||
3. 可靠逻辑:
|
||||
- 当信噪比高(趋势清晰)时入场。
|
||||
- 当信噪比低(噪音过大)时出场。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
context: Any,
|
||||
main_symbol: str,
|
||||
enable_log: bool,
|
||||
trade_volume: int,
|
||||
# --- 【核心参数】 ---
|
||||
bars_per_day: int = 23,
|
||||
analysis_window_days: float = 2.0, # 窗口长度适中即可
|
||||
wavelet_family: str = 'db4',
|
||||
# --- 【信噪比交易阈值】 ---
|
||||
tnr_entry_threshold: float = 5, # 入场阈值:信号强度至少是噪音的2倍
|
||||
tnr_exit_threshold: float = 5, # 离场阈值:信号强度不再显著高于噪音
|
||||
# --- 【持仓管理】 ---
|
||||
max_hold_days: int = 10,
|
||||
):
|
||||
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
|
||||
# ... (参数赋值) ...
|
||||
self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
|
||||
self.analysis_window_days = analysis_window_days
|
||||
self.wavelet = wavelet_family
|
||||
self.tnr_entry_threshold = tnr_entry_threshold
|
||||
self.tnr_exit_threshold = tnr_exit_threshold
|
||||
self.trade_volume = trade_volume
|
||||
self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
|
||||
|
||||
self.analysis_window = int(self.analysis_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
|
||||
self.decomposition_level = pywt.dwt_max_level(self.analysis_window, self.wavelet)
|
||||
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.order_id_counter = 0
|
||||
self.log("WaveletSignalNoiseStrategy Initialized.")
|
||||
|
||||
def calculate_trend_noise_ratio(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, np.array):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
【最终核心】计算趋势信噪比(TNR)和内在趋势线
|
||||
返回: (tnr_factor, trend_signal)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
if len(prices) < self.analysis_window:
|
||||
return 0.0, None
|
||||
|
||||
window_data = prices[-self.analysis_window:]
|
||||
|
||||
try:
|
||||
coeffs = pywt.wavedec(window_data, self.wavelet, level=self.decomposition_level)
|
||||
|
||||
# 1. 重构内在趋势信号 (Signal)
|
||||
trend_coeffs = [coeffs[0]] + [np.zeros_like(d) for d in coeffs[1:]]
|
||||
trend_signal = pywt.waverec(trend_coeffs, self.wavelet)
|
||||
trend_signal = trend_signal[:len(window_data)]
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 重构噪音信号 (Noise)
|
||||
noise_coeffs = [np.zeros_like(coeffs[0])] + coeffs[1:]
|
||||
noise_signal = pywt.waverec(noise_coeffs, self.wavelet)
|
||||
noise_signal = noise_signal[:len(window_data)]
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. 计算各自的强度 (标准差)
|
||||
strength_trend = np.std(trend_signal)
|
||||
strength_noise = np.std(noise_signal)
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 计算信噪比因子
|
||||
if strength_noise < 1e-9: # 避免除以零
|
||||
tnr_factor = np.inf
|
||||
else:
|
||||
tnr_factor = strength_trend / strength_noise
|
||||
|
||||
return tnr_factor, trend_signal
|
||||
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
self.log(f"TNR calculation error: {e}", "ERROR")
|
||||
return 0.0, None
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
self.symbol = symbol
|
||||
bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
if len(bar_history) < self.analysis_window:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history], dtype=float)
|
||||
tnr_factor, trend_signal = self.calculate_trend_noise_ratio(closes)
|
||||
|
||||
if trend_signal is None: return
|
||||
|
||||
if position_volume == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, tnr_factor, trend_signal)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.manage_open_position(position_volume, tnr_factor)
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, tnr_factor: float, trend_signal: np.array):
|
||||
"""入场逻辑:信噪比达标 + 方向确认"""
|
||||
if tnr_factor < self.tnr_entry_threshold:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
# 方向判断:内在趋势线的斜率
|
||||
# if len(trend_signal) < 5: return
|
||||
|
||||
if trend_signal[-1] > trend_signal[-5]:
|
||||
direction = "SELL"
|
||||
elif trend_signal[-1] < trend_signal[-5]:
|
||||
direction = "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction:
|
||||
self.log(f"Entry Signal: {direction} | Trend-Noise Ratio={tnr_factor:.2f}")
|
||||
self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
|
||||
def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, tnr_factor: float):
|
||||
"""出场逻辑:信噪比低于退出阈值"""
|
||||
if tnr_factor < self.tnr_exit_threshold:
|
||||
direction_str = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"Exit Signal: TNR ({tnr_factor:.2f}) < Threshold ({self.tnr_exit_threshold})")
|
||||
self.close_position(direction_str, abs(volume))
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 辅助函数区 (与之前版本相同) ---
|
||||
# (此处省略,以保持简洁)
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 辅助函数区 (与之前版本相同) ---
|
||||
# --- 辅助函数区 ---
|
||||
def close_all_positions(self):
|
||||
"""强制平仓所有头寸"""
|
||||
positions = self.get_current_positions()
|
||||
if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
|
||||
self.log(f"Forced exit of {abs(positions[self.symbol])} contracts")
|
||||
|
||||
def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id,
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET",
|
||||
submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
|
||||
offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id,
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="LIMIT",
|
||||
submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
|
||||
offset=offset,
|
||||
limit_price=limit_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def on_init(self):
|
||||
super().on_init()
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
self.log("Strategy initialized. Waiting for phase transition signals...")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
|
||||
super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
|
||||
self.log(f"Rollover from {old_symbol} to {new_symbol}. Resetting position state.")
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
|
||||
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
103
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/utils.py
Normal file
103
futures_trading_strategies/rb/Spectral/utils.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,103 @@
|
||||
import multiprocessing
|
||||
from typing import Tuple, Dict, Any, Optional
|
||||
|
||||
from src.analysis.result_analyzer import ResultAnalyzer
|
||||
from src.backtest_engine import BacktestEngine
|
||||
from src.data_manager import DataManager
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 单个回测任务函数 ---
|
||||
# 这个函数将在每个独立的进程中运行,因此它必须是自包含的
|
||||
def run_single_backtest(
|
||||
combination: Tuple[float, float], # 传入当前参数组合
|
||||
common_config: Dict[str, Any] # 传入公共配置 (如数据路径, 初始资金等)
|
||||
) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
运行单个参数组合的回测任务。
|
||||
此函数将在一个独立的进程中执行。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
p1_value, p2_value = combination
|
||||
|
||||
# 从 common_config 中获取必要的配置
|
||||
symbol = common_config['symbol']
|
||||
data_path = common_config['data_path']
|
||||
initial_capital = common_config['initial_capital']
|
||||
slippage_rate = common_config['slippage_rate']
|
||||
commission_rate = common_config['commission_rate']
|
||||
start_time = common_config['start_time']
|
||||
end_time = common_config['end_time']
|
||||
roll_over_mode = common_config['roll_over_mode']
|
||||
# bar_duration_seconds = common_config['bar_duration_seconds'] # 如果DataManager需要,可以再传
|
||||
param1_name = common_config['param1_name']
|
||||
param2_name = common_config['param2_name']
|
||||
|
||||
# 每个进程内部独立初始化 DataManager 和 BacktestEngine
|
||||
# 确保每个进程有自己的数据副本和模拟状态
|
||||
data_manager = DataManager(
|
||||
file_path=data_path,
|
||||
symbol=symbol,
|
||||
# bar_duration_seconds=bar_duration_seconds, # 如果DataManager需要,根据数据文件路径推断或者额外参数传入
|
||||
# start_date=start_time.date(), # DataManager 现在通过 file_path 和 symbol 处理数据
|
||||
# end_date=end_time.date(),
|
||||
)
|
||||
# data_manager.load_data() # DataManager 内部加载数据
|
||||
|
||||
strategy_parameters = {
|
||||
'main_symbol': common_config['main_symbol'],
|
||||
'trade_volume': 1,
|
||||
param1_name: p1_value, # 15分钟扫荡K线下影线占其总范围的最小比例。
|
||||
param2_name: p2_value, # 15分钟限价单的入场点位于扫荡K线低点到收盘价的斐波那契回撤比例。
|
||||
'order_direction': common_config['order_direction'],
|
||||
'enable_log': False, # 建议在调试和测试时开启日志
|
||||
}
|
||||
# 打印当前进程正在处理的组合信息
|
||||
# 注意:多进程打印会交错显示
|
||||
print(f"--- 正在运行组合: {strategy_parameters} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid}) ---")
|
||||
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# 初始化回测引擎
|
||||
engine = BacktestEngine(
|
||||
data_manager=data_manager,
|
||||
strategy_class=common_config['strategy'],
|
||||
strategy_params=strategy_parameters,
|
||||
initial_capital=initial_capital,
|
||||
slippage_rate=slippage_rate,
|
||||
commission_rate=commission_rate,
|
||||
roll_over_mode=True, # 保持换月模式
|
||||
start_time=common_config['start_time'],
|
||||
end_time=common_config['end_time']
|
||||
)
|
||||
# 运行回测,传入时间范围
|
||||
engine.run_backtest()
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取回测结果并分析
|
||||
results = engine.get_backtest_results()
|
||||
portfolio_snapshots = results["portfolio_snapshots"]
|
||||
trade_history = results["trade_history"]
|
||||
bars = results["all_bars"]
|
||||
initial_capital_result = results["initial_capital"]
|
||||
|
||||
if portfolio_snapshots:
|
||||
analyzer = ResultAnalyzer(portfolio_snapshots, trade_history, bars, initial_capital_result)
|
||||
|
||||
# analyzer.generate_report()
|
||||
# analyzer.plot_performance()
|
||||
metrics = analyzer.calculate_all_metrics()
|
||||
|
||||
# 将当前组合的参数和性能指标存储起来
|
||||
result_entry = {**strategy_parameters, **metrics}
|
||||
return result_entry
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print(
|
||||
f" 组合 {strategy_parameters} 没有生成投资组合快照,无法进行结果分析。(PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
|
||||
# 返回一个包含参数和默认0值的结果,以便追踪失败组合
|
||||
return {**strategy_parameters, "total_return": 0.0, "annualized_return": 0.0, "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,
|
||||
"max_drawdown": 0.0, "error": "No portfolio snapshots"}
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
import traceback
|
||||
error_trace = traceback.format_exc()
|
||||
print(
|
||||
f" 组合 {strategy_parameters} 运行失败: {e}\n{error_trace} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
|
||||
# 返回错误信息,以便后续处理
|
||||
return {**strategy_parameters, "error": str(e), "traceback": error_trace}
|
||||
|
||||
1479
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.ipynb
Normal file
1479
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.ipynb
Normal file
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
291
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py
Normal file
291
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,291 @@
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
from scipy.signal import stft
|
||||
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
||||
from typing import Optional, Any, List, Dict
|
||||
|
||||
from src.core_data import Bar, Order
|
||||
from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
|
||||
from src.indicators.indicators import Empty, NormalizedATR, AtrVolatility, ZScoreATR
|
||||
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# =============================================================================
|
||||
# 策略实现 (SpectralTrendStrategy)
|
||||
# =============================================================================
|
||||
|
||||
class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
频域能量相变策略 - 捕获肥尾趋势
|
||||
|
||||
核心哲学:
|
||||
1. 显式傅里叶变换: 直接分离低频(趋势)、高频(噪音)能量
|
||||
2. 相变临界点: 仅当低频能量占比 > 阈值时入场
|
||||
3. 低频交易: 每月仅2-5次信号,持仓数日捕获肥尾
|
||||
4. 完全参数化: 无硬编码,适配任何市场时间结构
|
||||
|
||||
参数说明:
|
||||
- bars_per_day: 市场每日K线数量 (e.g., 23 for 15min US markets)
|
||||
- low_freq_days: 低频定义下限 (天), 默认2.0
|
||||
- high_freq_days: 高频定义上限 (天), 默认1.0
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
context: Any,
|
||||
main_symbol: str,
|
||||
enable_log: bool,
|
||||
trade_volume: int,
|
||||
# --- 【市场结构参数】 ---
|
||||
bars_per_day: int = 23, # 关键: 适配23根/天的市场
|
||||
# --- 【频域核心参数】 ---
|
||||
spectral_window_days: float = 2.0, # STFT窗口大小(天)
|
||||
low_freq_days: float = 2.0, # 低频下限(天)
|
||||
high_freq_days: float = 1.0, # 高频上限(天)
|
||||
trend_strength_threshold: float = 0.1, # 相变临界值
|
||||
exit_threshold: float = 0.4, # 退出阈值
|
||||
# --- 【持仓管理】 ---
|
||||
max_hold_days: int = 10, # 最大持仓天数
|
||||
# --- 其他 ---
|
||||
order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
|
||||
indicators: Indicator = None,
|
||||
model_indicator: Indicator = None,
|
||||
reverse: bool = False,
|
||||
):
|
||||
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
|
||||
if order_direction is None:
|
||||
order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
|
||||
if indicators is None:
|
||||
indicators = Empty() # 保持兼容性
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 参数赋值 (完全参数化) ---
|
||||
self.trade_volume = trade_volume
|
||||
self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
|
||||
self.spectral_window_days = spectral_window_days
|
||||
self.low_freq_days = low_freq_days
|
||||
self.high_freq_days = high_freq_days
|
||||
self.trend_strength_threshold = trend_strength_threshold
|
||||
self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
|
||||
self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
|
||||
self.order_direction = order_direction
|
||||
if model_indicator is None:
|
||||
model_indicator = Empty()
|
||||
self.model_indicator = model_indicator
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 动态计算参数 ---
|
||||
self.spectral_window = int(self.spectral_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
|
||||
# 确保窗口大小为偶数 (STFT要求)
|
||||
self.spectral_window = self.spectral_window if self.spectral_window % 2 == 0 else self.spectral_window + 1
|
||||
|
||||
# 频率边界 (cycles/day)
|
||||
self.low_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.low_freq_days if self.low_freq_days > 0 else float('inf')
|
||||
self.high_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.high_freq_days if self.high_freq_days > 0 else 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 内部状态变量 ---
|
||||
self.main_symbol = main_symbol
|
||||
self.order_id_counter = 0
|
||||
self.indicators = indicators
|
||||
self.entry_time = None # 入场时间
|
||||
self.position_direction = None # 'LONG' or 'SHORT'
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
|
||||
self.last_dominant_freq = 0.0 # 主导周期(天)
|
||||
|
||||
self.reverse = reverse
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"SpectralTrendStrategy Initialized (bars/day={bars_per_day}, window={self.spectral_window} bars)")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
"""每根K线开盘时被调用"""
|
||||
self.symbol = symbol
|
||||
bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
current_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
# 需要足够的数据 (STFT窗口 + 缓冲)
|
||||
if len(bar_history) < self.spectral_window + 10:
|
||||
if self.enable_log and len(bar_history) % 50 == 0:
|
||||
self.log(f"Waiting for {len(bar_history)}/{self.spectral_window + 10} bars")
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取历史价格 (使用完整历史)
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
|
||||
# 【核心】计算频域趋势强度 (显式傅里叶)
|
||||
trend_strength, dominant_freq = self.calculate_trend_strength(closes)
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = trend_strength
|
||||
self.last_dominant_freq = dominant_freq
|
||||
|
||||
# 检查最大持仓时间 (防止极端事件)
|
||||
if self.entry_time and (current_time - self.entry_time) >= timedelta(days=self.max_hold_days):
|
||||
self.log(f"Max hold time reached ({self.max_hold_days} days). Forcing exit.")
|
||||
self.close_all_positions()
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 核心逻辑:相变入场/退出
|
||||
if self.trading:
|
||||
if position_volume == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.manage_open_position(position_volume, trend_strength, dominant_freq)
|
||||
|
||||
def calculate_trend_strength(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
【显式傅里叶】计算低频能量占比 (完全参数化)
|
||||
|
||||
步骤:
|
||||
1. 价格归一化 (窗口内)
|
||||
2. 短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) - 采样率=bars_per_day
|
||||
3. 动态计算频段边界 (基于bars_per_day)
|
||||
4. 趋势强度 = 低频能量 / (低频+高频能量)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
# 1. 验证数据长度
|
||||
if len(prices) < self.spectral_window:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 价格归一化 (仅使用窗口内数据)
|
||||
window_data = prices[-self.spectral_window * 10:]
|
||||
normalized = (window_data - np.mean(window_data)) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-8)
|
||||
normalized = normalized[-self.spectral_window:]
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. STFT (采样率=bars_per_day)
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# fs: 每天的样本数 (bars_per_day)
|
||||
f, t, Zxx = stft(
|
||||
normalized,
|
||||
fs=self.bars_per_day, # 关键: 适配市场结构
|
||||
nperseg=self.spectral_window,
|
||||
noverlap=max(0, self.spectral_window // 2),
|
||||
boundary=None,
|
||||
padded=False
|
||||
)
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
self.log(f"STFT calculation error: {str(e)}")
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 过滤无效频率 (STFT返回频率范围: 0 到 fs/2)
|
||||
valid_mask = (f >= 0) & (f <= self.bars_per_day / 2)
|
||||
f = f[valid_mask]
|
||||
Zxx = Zxx[valid_mask, :]
|
||||
|
||||
if Zxx.size == 0 or Zxx.shape[1] == 0:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 计算最新时间点的能量
|
||||
current_energy = np.abs(Zxx[:, -1]) ** 2
|
||||
|
||||
# 6. 动态频段定义 (cycles/day)
|
||||
# 低频: 周期 > low_freq_days → 频率 < 1/low_freq_days
|
||||
low_freq_mask = f < self.low_freq_bound
|
||||
# 高频: 周期 < high_freq_days → 频率 > 1/high_freq_days
|
||||
high_freq_mask = f > self.high_freq_bound
|
||||
|
||||
# 7. 能量计算
|
||||
low_energy = np.sum(current_energy[low_freq_mask]) if np.any(low_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
high_energy = np.sum(current_energy[high_freq_mask]) if np.any(high_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
total_energy = low_energy + high_energy + 1e-8 # 防除零
|
||||
|
||||
# 8. 趋势强度 = 低频能量占比
|
||||
trend_strength = low_energy / total_energy
|
||||
|
||||
# 9. 计算主导趋势周期 (天)
|
||||
dominant_freq = 0.0
|
||||
if np.any(low_freq_mask) and low_energy > 0:
|
||||
# 找到低频段最大能量对应的频率
|
||||
low_energies = current_energy[low_freq_mask]
|
||||
max_idx = np.argmax(low_energies)
|
||||
dominant_freq = 1.0 / (f[low_freq_mask][max_idx] + 1e-8) # 转换为周期(天)
|
||||
|
||||
return trend_strength, dominant_freq
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
|
||||
"""评估相变入场信号"""
|
||||
# 仅当趋势强度跨越临界点且有明确周期时入场
|
||||
self.log(
|
||||
f"Strength={trend_strength:.2f}")
|
||||
if trend_strength > self.trend_strength_threshold:
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
indicator = self.model_indicator
|
||||
|
||||
# 做多信号: 价格在窗口均值上方
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in self.get_bar_history()[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
if "BUY" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) > np.mean(closes):
|
||||
direction = "BUY" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "SELL"
|
||||
# 做空信号: 价格在窗口均值下方
|
||||
elif "SELL" in self.order_direction and np.mean(closes[-5:]) < np.mean(closes):
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()) else "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction and self.indicators.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()):
|
||||
if self.reverse:
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if direction == "BUY" else "BUY"
|
||||
self.log(f"Direction={direction}, Open Position")
|
||||
self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
self.position_direction = "LONG" if direction == "BUY" else "SHORT"
|
||||
|
||||
def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, trend_strength: float, dominant_freq: float):
|
||||
"""管理持仓:仅当相变逆转时退出"""
|
||||
# 相变逆转条件: 趋势强度 < 退出阈值
|
||||
if trend_strength < self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"Phase Transition Exit: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} < {self.exit_threshold}")
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(volume))
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 辅助函数区 ---
|
||||
def close_all_positions(self):
|
||||
"""强制平仓所有头寸"""
|
||||
positions = self.get_current_positions()
|
||||
if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
|
||||
self.log(f"Forced exit of {abs(positions[self.symbol])} contracts")
|
||||
|
||||
def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id,
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET",
|
||||
submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
|
||||
offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MARKET_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id,
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="LIMIT",
|
||||
submitted_time=self.get_current_time(),
|
||||
offset=offset,
|
||||
limit_price=limit_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def on_init(self):
|
||||
super().on_init()
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
self.log("Strategy initialized. Waiting for phase transition signals...")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_rollover(self, old_symbol: str, new_symbol: str):
|
||||
super().on_rollover(old_symbol, new_symbol)
|
||||
self.log(f"Rollover from {old_symbol} to {new_symbol}. Resetting position state.")
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
self.last_trend_strength = 0.0
|
||||
1915
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.ipynb
Normal file
1915
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.ipynb
Normal file
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
255
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py
Normal file
255
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy2.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,255 @@
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
import talib
|
||||
from scipy.signal import stft
|
||||
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
||||
from typing import Optional, Any, List, Dict
|
||||
|
||||
from src.core_data import Bar, Order
|
||||
from src.indicators.base_indicators import Indicator
|
||||
from src.indicators.indicators import Empty
|
||||
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class SpectralTrendStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
频域能量相变策略 - 极简回归版
|
||||
|
||||
核心哲学:
|
||||
1. 频域 (STFT): 负责"判势" —— 现在的市场是震荡(噪音主导)还是趋势(低频主导)?
|
||||
2. 时域 (Regression): 负责"定向" —— 这个低频趋势是向上的还是向下的?
|
||||
|
||||
这种组合避免了频域相位计算的复杂性和不稳定性,回归了量化的本质。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
context: Any,
|
||||
main_symbol: str,
|
||||
enable_log: bool,
|
||||
trade_volume: int,
|
||||
# --- 市场参数 ---
|
||||
bars_per_day: int = 23,
|
||||
# --- 策略参数 ---
|
||||
spectral_window_days: float = 2.0,
|
||||
low_freq_days: float = 2.0,
|
||||
high_freq_days: float = 1.0,
|
||||
trend_strength_threshold: float = 0.2, # 强度阈值
|
||||
exit_threshold: float = 0.1, # 退出阈值
|
||||
slope_threshold: float = 0.0, # 斜率阈值 (0.05表示每根K线移动0.05个标准差)
|
||||
max_hold_days: int = 10,
|
||||
# --- 其他 ---
|
||||
order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
|
||||
indicators: Indicator = None,
|
||||
model_indicator: Indicator = None,
|
||||
reverse: bool = False,
|
||||
):
|
||||
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
|
||||
if order_direction is None:
|
||||
order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
|
||||
|
||||
self.trade_volume = trade_volume
|
||||
self.bars_per_day = bars_per_day
|
||||
self.spectral_window_days = spectral_window_days
|
||||
self.low_freq_days = low_freq_days
|
||||
self.high_freq_days = high_freq_days
|
||||
self.trend_strength_threshold = trend_strength_threshold
|
||||
self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
|
||||
self.slope_threshold = slope_threshold
|
||||
self.max_hold_days = max_hold_days
|
||||
self.order_direction = order_direction
|
||||
self.model_indicator = model_indicator or Empty()
|
||||
self.indicators = indicators or Empty()
|
||||
self.reverse = reverse
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算窗口大小
|
||||
self.spectral_window = int(self.spectral_window_days * self.bars_per_day)
|
||||
# 确保偶数 (STFT偏好)
|
||||
if self.spectral_window % 2 != 0:
|
||||
self.spectral_window += 1
|
||||
|
||||
# 频率边界
|
||||
self.low_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.low_freq_days if self.low_freq_days > 0 else float('inf')
|
||||
self.high_freq_bound = 1.0 / self.high_freq_days if self.high_freq_days > 0 else 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
self.order_id_counter = 0
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"SpectralTrendStrategy (Regression) Init. Window: {self.spectral_window} bars")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
self.symbol = symbol
|
||||
bar_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
current_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(self.main_symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
if len(bar_history) < self.spectral_window + 5:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 强制平仓检查
|
||||
if self.entry_time and (current_time - self.entry_time) >= timedelta(days=self.max_hold_days):
|
||||
self.close_all_positions()
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取数据并归一化
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in bar_history[-self.spectral_window:]], dtype=float)
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算核心指标
|
||||
trend_strength, trend_slope = self.calculate_market_state(closes)
|
||||
|
||||
position_volume = self.get_current_positions().get(self.symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
if self.trading:
|
||||
if position_volume == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry_signal(open_price, trend_strength, trend_slope)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.manage_open_position(position_volume, trend_strength, trend_slope)
|
||||
|
||||
def calculate_market_state(self, prices: np.array) -> (float, float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
【显式傅里叶】计算低频能量占比 (完全参数化)
|
||||
|
||||
步骤:
|
||||
1. 价格归一化 (窗口内)
|
||||
2. 短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) - 采样率=bars_per_day
|
||||
3. 动态计算频段边界 (基于bars_per_day)
|
||||
4. 趋势强度 = 低频能量 / (低频+高频能量)
|
||||
"""
|
||||
# 1. 验证数据长度
|
||||
if len(prices) < self.spectral_window:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 价格归一化 (仅使用窗口内数据)
|
||||
window_data = prices[-self.spectral_window:]
|
||||
normalized = (window_data - np.mean(window_data)) / (np.std(window_data) + 1e-8)
|
||||
normalized = normalized[-self.spectral_window:]
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. STFT (采样率=bars_per_day)
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# fs: 每天的样本数 (bars_per_day)
|
||||
f, t, Zxx = stft(
|
||||
normalized,
|
||||
fs=self.bars_per_day, # 关键: 适配市场结构
|
||||
nperseg=self.spectral_window,
|
||||
noverlap=max(0, self.spectral_window // 2),
|
||||
boundary=None,
|
||||
padded=False
|
||||
)
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
self.log(f"STFT calculation error: {str(e)}")
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 过滤无效频率 (STFT返回频率范围: 0 到 fs/2)
|
||||
valid_mask = (f >= 0) & (f <= self.bars_per_day / 2)
|
||||
f = f[valid_mask]
|
||||
Zxx = Zxx[valid_mask, :]
|
||||
|
||||
if Zxx.size == 0 or Zxx.shape[1] == 0:
|
||||
return 0.0, 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 计算最新时间点的能量
|
||||
current_energy = np.abs(Zxx[:, -1]) ** 2
|
||||
|
||||
# 6. 动态频段定义 (cycles/day)
|
||||
# 低频: 周期 > low_freq_days → 频率 < 1/low_freq_days
|
||||
low_freq_mask = f < self.low_freq_bound
|
||||
# 高频: 周期 < high_freq_days → 频率 > 1/high_freq_days
|
||||
high_freq_mask = f > self.high_freq_bound
|
||||
|
||||
# 7. 能量计算
|
||||
low_energy = np.sum(current_energy[low_freq_mask]) if np.any(low_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
high_energy = np.sum(current_energy[high_freq_mask]) if np.any(high_freq_mask) else 0.0
|
||||
total_energy = low_energy + high_energy + 1e-8 # 防除零
|
||||
|
||||
# 8. 趋势强度 = 低频能量占比
|
||||
trend_strength = low_energy / total_energy
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 3. 时域分析 (Regression) - 只负责"方向" ---
|
||||
# 使用最小二乘法拟合一条直线 y = kx + b
|
||||
# x 是时间序列 [0, 1, 2...], y 是归一化价格
|
||||
# slope 代表:每经过一根K线,价格变化多少个标准差
|
||||
x = np.arange(len(normalized))
|
||||
slope, intercept = np.polyfit(x, normalized, 1)
|
||||
|
||||
return trend_strength, slope
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry_signal(self, open_price: float, trend_strength: float, trend_slope: float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
入场逻辑:
|
||||
当频域告诉我们"有趋势"(Strength高),且时域告诉我们"方向明确"(Slope陡峭)时入场。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
# 1. 滤除噪音震荡 (STFT关卡)
|
||||
if trend_strength > self.trend_strength_threshold:
|
||||
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 确认方向 (回归关卡)
|
||||
# slope > 0.05 意味着趋势向上且有一定力度
|
||||
if "BUY" in self.order_direction and trend_slope > self.slope_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "BUY"
|
||||
# slope < -0.05 意味着趋势向下且有一定力度
|
||||
elif "SELL" in self.order_direction and trend_slope < -self.slope_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "SELL"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction:
|
||||
# 辅助指标过滤
|
||||
if not self.indicators.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()):
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 反向逻辑
|
||||
direction = direction
|
||||
if not self.model_indicator.is_condition_met(*self.get_indicator_tuple()):
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if direction == "BUY" else "BUY"
|
||||
if self.reverse:
|
||||
direction = "SELL" if direction == "BUY" else "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"Signal: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} | Slope={trend_slope:.4f}")
|
||||
|
||||
self.send_limit_order(direction, open_price, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
self.entry_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
self.position_direction = "LONG" if direction == "BUY" else "SHORT"
|
||||
|
||||
def manage_open_position(self, volume: int, trend_strength: float, trend_slope: float):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
离场逻辑:
|
||||
仅依赖频域能量。只要低频能量依然主导,说明趋势(无论方向)未被破坏。
|
||||
一旦能量降到 exit_threshold 以下,说明市场进入混乱/震荡,离场观望。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
if trend_strength < self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"Exit: {direction} | Strength={trend_strength:.2f} < {self.exit_threshold}")
|
||||
self.close_position(direction, abs(volume))
|
||||
self.entry_time = None
|
||||
self.position_direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 交易辅助 ---
|
||||
def close_all_positions(self):
|
||||
positions = self.get_current_positions()
|
||||
if self.symbol in positions and positions[self.symbol] != 0:
|
||||
dir = "CLOSE_LONG" if positions[self.symbol] > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.close_position(dir, abs(positions[self.symbol]))
|
||||
|
||||
def close_position(self, direction: str, volume: int):
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, volume, offset="CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_MKT_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id, symbol=self.symbol, direction=direction, volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET", submitted_time=self.get_current_time(), offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def send_limit_order(self, direction: str, limit_price: float, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
order_id = f"{self.symbol}_{direction}_LMT_{self.order_id_counter}"
|
||||
self.order_id_counter += 1
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=order_id, symbol=self.symbol, direction=direction, volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="LIMIT", submitted_time=self.get_current_time(), offset=offset,
|
||||
limit_price=limit_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
193
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy3.py
Normal file
193
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/SpectralTrendStrategy3.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,193 @@
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
from typing import Optional, Any, List
|
||||
from src.core_data import Bar, Order
|
||||
from src.strategies.base_strategy import Strategy
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class SemiVarianceAsymmetryStrategy(Strategy):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
已实现半方差不对称策略 (RSVA)
|
||||
|
||||
核心原理:
|
||||
放弃"阈值计数",改用"波动能量占比"。
|
||||
因子 = (上行波动能量 - 下行波动能量) / 总波动能量
|
||||
|
||||
优势:
|
||||
1. 自适应:自动适应2021的高波动和2023的低波动,无需调整阈值。
|
||||
2. 灵敏:能捕捉到没有大阳线但持续上涨的"蠕动趋势"。
|
||||
3. 稳健:使用平方项(Variance)而非三次方(Skewness),对异常值更鲁棒。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(
|
||||
self,
|
||||
context: Any,
|
||||
main_symbol: str,
|
||||
enable_log: bool,
|
||||
trade_volume: int,
|
||||
# --- 窗口参数 ---
|
||||
season_days: int = 20, # 计算日内季节性基准的回溯天数
|
||||
calc_window: int = 120, # 计算不对称因子的窗口 (约5天)
|
||||
cycle_length: int = 23, # 固定周期 (每天23根Bar)
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 信号阈值 ---
|
||||
# RSVA 范围是 [-1, 1]。
|
||||
# 0.2 表示上涨能量比下跌能量多20% (即 60% vs 40%),是一个显著的失衡信号。
|
||||
entry_threshold: float = 0.2,
|
||||
exit_threshold: float = 0.05,
|
||||
|
||||
order_direction: Optional[List[str]] = None,
|
||||
):
|
||||
super().__init__(context, main_symbol, enable_log)
|
||||
if order_direction is None:
|
||||
order_direction = ['BUY', 'SELL']
|
||||
|
||||
self.trade_volume = trade_volume
|
||||
self.season_days = season_days
|
||||
self.calc_window = calc_window
|
||||
self.cycle_length = cycle_length
|
||||
self.entry_threshold = entry_threshold
|
||||
self.exit_threshold = exit_threshold
|
||||
self.order_direction = order_direction
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算最小历史需求
|
||||
# 我们需要: calc_window 个标准化数据
|
||||
# 每个标准化数据需要回溯: season_days * cycle_length
|
||||
self.min_history = self.calc_window + (self.season_days * self.cycle_length)
|
||||
|
||||
# 缓冲区设大一点,避免频繁触发边界检查
|
||||
self.calc_buffer_size = self.min_history + 100
|
||||
|
||||
self.log(f"RSVA Strategy Init: Window={calc_window}, Thresh={entry_threshold}")
|
||||
|
||||
def on_open_bar(self, open_price: float, symbol: str):
|
||||
self.cancel_all_pending_orders(symbol)
|
||||
|
||||
# 1. 获取历史数据 (切片优化)
|
||||
all_history = self.get_bar_history()
|
||||
total_len = len(all_history)
|
||||
|
||||
if total_len < self.min_history:
|
||||
return
|
||||
|
||||
# 只取计算所需的最后一段数据,保证计算复杂度恒定
|
||||
start_idx = max(0, total_len - self.calc_buffer_size)
|
||||
relevant_bars = all_history[start_idx:]
|
||||
|
||||
# 转为 numpy array
|
||||
closes = np.array([b.close for b in relevant_bars])
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. 计算对数收益率 (Log Returns)
|
||||
# 对数收益率消除了价格水平(Price Level)的影响
|
||||
log_rets = np.diff(np.log(closes))
|
||||
current_idx = len(log_rets) - 1
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. 标准化收益率计算 (De-seasonalization)
|
||||
# 这一步至关重要:剔除日内季节性(早盘波动大、午盘波动小)的干扰
|
||||
std_rets = []
|
||||
|
||||
# 循环计算过去 calc_window 个点的标准化值
|
||||
for i in range(self.calc_window):
|
||||
target_idx = current_idx - i
|
||||
|
||||
# 高效切片:利用 stride=cycle_length 提取同一时间槽的历史
|
||||
# slot_history 包含 [t, t-23, t-46, ...]
|
||||
slot_history = log_rets[target_idx::-self.cycle_length]
|
||||
|
||||
# 截取 season_days
|
||||
if len(slot_history) > self.season_days:
|
||||
slot_history = slot_history[:self.season_days]
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算该时刻的基准波动率
|
||||
if len(slot_history) < 5:
|
||||
# 降级处理:样本不足时用近期全局波动率
|
||||
slot_vol = np.std(log_rets[-self.cycle_length:]) + 1e-9
|
||||
else:
|
||||
slot_vol = np.std(slot_history) + 1e-9
|
||||
|
||||
# 标准化 (Z-Score)
|
||||
std_ret = log_rets[target_idx] / slot_vol
|
||||
std_rets.append(std_ret)
|
||||
|
||||
# 转为数组 (注意:std_rets 是倒序的,但这不影响平方和计算)
|
||||
std_rets_arr = np.array(std_rets)
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. 【核心】计算已实现半方差不对称性 (RSVA)
|
||||
|
||||
# 分离正收益和负收益
|
||||
pos_rets = std_rets_arr[std_rets_arr > 0]
|
||||
neg_rets = std_rets_arr[std_rets_arr < 0]
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算上行能量 (Upside Variance) 和 下行能量 (Downside Variance)
|
||||
rv_pos = np.sum(pos_rets ** 2)
|
||||
rv_neg = np.sum(neg_rets ** 2)
|
||||
total_rv = rv_pos + rv_neg + 1e-9 # 防止除零
|
||||
|
||||
# 计算因子: [-1, 1]
|
||||
# > 0 说明上涨更有力(或更频繁),< 0 说明下跌主导
|
||||
rsva_factor = (rv_pos - rv_neg) / total_rv
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. 交易逻辑
|
||||
current_pos = self.get_current_positions().get(symbol, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
self.log_status(rsva_factor, rv_pos, rv_neg, current_pos)
|
||||
|
||||
if current_pos == 0:
|
||||
self.evaluate_entry(rsva_factor)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
self.evaluate_exit(current_pos, rsva_factor)
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_entry(self, factor: float):
|
||||
direction = None
|
||||
|
||||
# 因子 > 0.2: 哪怕没有极端K线,只要累计的上涨能量显著压过下跌能量,就开仓
|
||||
if factor > self.entry_threshold:
|
||||
if "BUY" in self.order_direction:
|
||||
direction = "BUY"
|
||||
|
||||
elif factor < -self.entry_threshold:
|
||||
if "SELL" in self.order_direction:
|
||||
direction = "SELL"
|
||||
|
||||
if direction:
|
||||
self.log(f"ENTRY: {direction} | RSVA={factor:.4f}")
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, self.trade_volume, "OPEN")
|
||||
|
||||
def evaluate_exit(self, volume: int, factor: float):
|
||||
do_exit = False
|
||||
reason = ""
|
||||
|
||||
# 当多空能量趋于平衡 (因子回到 0 附近),说明趋势动能耗尽,平仓
|
||||
# 这种离场方式对震荡市非常友好:一旦陷入震荡,rv_pos 和 rv_neg 会迅速接近,因子归零
|
||||
if volume > 0 and factor < self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
do_exit = True
|
||||
reason = f"Bull Energy Fade (RSVA={factor:.4f})"
|
||||
|
||||
elif volume < 0 and factor > -self.exit_threshold:
|
||||
do_exit = True
|
||||
reason = f"Bear Energy Fade (RSVA={factor:.4f})"
|
||||
|
||||
if do_exit:
|
||||
direction = "CLOSE_LONG" if volume > 0 else "CLOSE_SHORT"
|
||||
self.log(f"EXIT: {reason}")
|
||||
self.send_market_order(direction, abs(volume), "CLOSE")
|
||||
|
||||
def send_market_order(self, direction: str, volume: int, offset: str):
|
||||
# 严格遵守要求:使用 get_current_time()
|
||||
current_time = self.get_current_time()
|
||||
|
||||
order = Order(
|
||||
id=f"{self.main_symbol}_{direction}_{current_time.timestamp()}",
|
||||
symbol=self.symbol,
|
||||
direction=direction,
|
||||
volume=volume,
|
||||
price_type="MARKET",
|
||||
submitted_time=current_time,
|
||||
offset=offset
|
||||
)
|
||||
self.send_order(order)
|
||||
|
||||
def log_status(self, factor: float, pos_e: float, neg_e: float, current_pos: int):
|
||||
if self.enable_log:
|
||||
# 仅在有持仓或信号明显时打印
|
||||
if current_pos != 0 or abs(factor) > self.entry_threshold * 0.8:
|
||||
self.log(f"Status: Pos={current_pos} | RSVA={factor:.4f} | Energy(+/-)={pos_e:.1f}/{neg_e:.1f}")
|
||||
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
108
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/utils.py
Normal file
108
futures_trading_strategies/ru/Spectral/utils.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
|
||||
import multiprocessing
|
||||
from typing import Tuple, Dict, Any, Optional
|
||||
|
||||
from src.analysis.result_analyzer import ResultAnalyzer
|
||||
from src.backtest_engine import BacktestEngine
|
||||
from src.data_manager import DataManager
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 单个回测任务函数 ---
|
||||
# 这个函数将在每个独立的进程中运行,因此它必须是自包含的
|
||||
def run_single_backtest(
|
||||
combination: Tuple[float, float], # 传入当前参数组合
|
||||
common_config: Dict[str, Any] # 传入公共配置 (如数据路径, 初始资金等)
|
||||
) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
|
||||
"""
|
||||
运行单个参数组合的回测任务。
|
||||
此函数将在一个独立的进程中执行。
|
||||
"""
|
||||
p1_value, p2_value = combination
|
||||
|
||||
# 从 common_config 中获取必要的配置
|
||||
symbol = common_config['symbol']
|
||||
data_path = common_config['data_path']
|
||||
initial_capital = common_config['initial_capital']
|
||||
slippage_rate = common_config['slippage_rate']
|
||||
commission_rate = common_config['commission_rate']
|
||||
start_time = common_config['start_time']
|
||||
end_time = common_config['end_time']
|
||||
roll_over_mode = common_config['roll_over_mode']
|
||||
# bar_duration_seconds = common_config['bar_duration_seconds'] # 如果DataManager需要,可以再传
|
||||
param1_name = common_config['param1_name']
|
||||
param2_name = common_config['param2_name']
|
||||
|
||||
# 每个进程内部独立初始化 DataManager 和 BacktestEngine
|
||||
# 确保每个进程有自己的数据副本和模拟状态
|
||||
data_manager = DataManager(
|
||||
file_path=data_path,
|
||||
symbol=symbol,
|
||||
# bar_duration_seconds=bar_duration_seconds, # 如果DataManager需要,根据数据文件路径推断或者额外参数传入
|
||||
# start_date=start_time.date(), # DataManager 现在通过 file_path 和 symbol 处理数据
|
||||
# end_date=end_time.date(),
|
||||
)
|
||||
# data_manager.load_data() # DataManager 内部加载数据
|
||||
|
||||
strategy_parameters = {
|
||||
'main_symbol': common_config['main_symbol'],
|
||||
'trade_volume': 1,
|
||||
param1_name: p1_value, # 15分钟扫荡K线下影线占其总范围的最小比例。
|
||||
param2_name: p2_value, # 15分钟限价单的入场点位于扫荡K线低点到收盘价的斐波那契回撤比例。
|
||||
'order_direction': common_config['order_direction'],
|
||||
'enable_log': False, # 建议在调试和测试时开启日志
|
||||
}
|
||||
# strategy_parameters['spectral_window_days'] = 2
|
||||
strategy_parameters['low_freq_days'] = strategy_parameters['spectral_window_days']
|
||||
strategy_parameters['high_freq_days'] = int(strategy_parameters['spectral_window_days'] / 2)
|
||||
strategy_parameters['exit_threshold'] = max(strategy_parameters['trend_strength_threshold'] - 0.3, 0)
|
||||
|
||||
# 打印当前进程正在处理的组合信息
|
||||
# 注意:多进程打印会交错显示
|
||||
print(f"--- 正在运行组合: {strategy_parameters} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid}) ---")
|
||||
|
||||
try:
|
||||
# 初始化回测引擎
|
||||
engine = BacktestEngine(
|
||||
data_manager=data_manager,
|
||||
strategy_class=common_config['strategy'],
|
||||
strategy_params=strategy_parameters,
|
||||
initial_capital=initial_capital,
|
||||
slippage_rate=slippage_rate,
|
||||
commission_rate=commission_rate,
|
||||
roll_over_mode=True, # 保持换月模式
|
||||
start_time=common_config['start_time'],
|
||||
end_time=common_config['end_time']
|
||||
)
|
||||
# 运行回测,传入时间范围
|
||||
engine.run_backtest()
|
||||
|
||||
# 获取回测结果并分析
|
||||
results = engine.get_backtest_results()
|
||||
portfolio_snapshots = results["portfolio_snapshots"]
|
||||
trade_history = results["trade_history"]
|
||||
bars = results["all_bars"]
|
||||
initial_capital_result = results["initial_capital"]
|
||||
|
||||
if portfolio_snapshots:
|
||||
analyzer = ResultAnalyzer(portfolio_snapshots, trade_history, bars, initial_capital_result)
|
||||
|
||||
# analyzer.generate_report()
|
||||
# analyzer.plot_performance()
|
||||
metrics = analyzer.calculate_all_metrics()
|
||||
|
||||
# 将当前组合的参数和性能指标存储起来
|
||||
result_entry = {**strategy_parameters, **metrics}
|
||||
return result_entry
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print(
|
||||
f" 组合 {strategy_parameters} 没有生成投资组合快照,无法进行结果分析。(PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
|
||||
# 返回一个包含参数和默认0值的结果,以便追踪失败组合
|
||||
return {**strategy_parameters, "total_return": 0.0, "annualized_return": 0.0, "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,
|
||||
"max_drawdown": 0.0, "error": "No portfolio snapshots"}
|
||||
except Exception as e:
|
||||
import traceback
|
||||
error_trace = traceback.format_exc()
|
||||
print(
|
||||
f" 组合 {strategy_parameters} 运行失败: {e}\n{error_trace} (PID: {multiprocessing.current_process().pid})")
|
||||
# 返回错误信息,以便后续处理
|
||||
return {**strategy_parameters, "error": str(e), "traceback": error_trace}
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user